Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($77K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK TO ACCUSE Aug26         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 ★    
2  CHULLIGAN Aug26         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 1.20 50% 1.00    
3  DROMOLAND         (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
4  ATLANTA'S ACUNA Sep05         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
5  FLASHY ALEX Sep18 Sep05 Aug26     (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 ★    
6  MR. MARLIN Sep05 Aug11       (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
BAQ-2   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHT AND SAND Sep17 Aug10       (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
2  SINFUL DANCER Aug31 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 Apr30 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  MARTINEZ Sep25 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May28 (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
4  HERONEANDONLY Sep13 Aug26 Jul30     (goodwin gabr)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
5  A LISTER Sep24 May06 Apr22 Mar19 Feb12 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 30.00    
6  SHARP SENSATION Sep11 Jul31 Jul14 May28 Apr23 (kirby t)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  STEERAGE Aug27 Jul31 Jun19     (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00    
8  BRENNAN'S WAR Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 May28   (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  KINGSTOWN Aug24 Jun10 May15 Apr02   (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
10  CUMBERLAND BLUES Aug31         (falcone n)RIDER TBA 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
 
BAQ-3   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jul31 Jul03 May05 Mar06 Feb11 (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★    
2  RISK PROFILE Aug24 Aug20 Mar11 Feb12 Jan08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  R BOY CHEEKUM Sep20 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jul04 (thompson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 15.00 ★    
4  DOCTOR LOVE (FR) Sep24 Aug27 Aug14 Jul24 Jun22 (clarke dylan)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  COUSIN ANDREW Aug10 Jul28 Jun25 May27 May19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  QUICKFLASH Sep22 Aug26 Jul30 Jun11 May08 (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
BAQ-4   10/07/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAIL OUT Aug15 Jul15 Jun05 May15 Apr15 (eng)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 15.00    
2  SUNDAESWITHSANDY Sep04 Jul21 May01 Apr07   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
SCR  FIELDSTONE Sep02 Aug07 Jun09 Apr21   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 8% 11.10    
4  GINNSU WARRIOR Sep02 Aug03 Jul28 Jun25 May27 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
5  SEBARAY Aug20 Jul29 Jun12 Apr26 Mar22 (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 May28 Apr30 (abreu r)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  FAST GORDON Aug25         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
8  EAGLE IN LOVE Aug12 Jul16 Jun16 Apr08 Mar19 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
SCR  GOOCH GO BRAGH Jul15 Jun05 Apr02 Mar06 Jan08 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00    
SCR  MASETA Sep05 Aug07 Jun24 May13 Apr23 (morey e)LUZZI J 118 12.00    
11  MILANO Sep03 Aug25 Jun12 May01   (klesaris robe)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00 7% 13.70    
12  DREAM OF A DAY Sep02 Aug07 Jul10 May20 Mar26 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
13  TIMBUKTU Sep04 Aug10 Jun24 Apr30   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul03 Jun25 (dini mike)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
SCR  EDDIE THE GREAT Sep25 Sep04 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR JOHN Aug27 Aug06       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  KIYOMORI Sep24         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
3  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Sep17 Aug15 Jun23 May22 Apr29 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
4  CENTRAL PRIDE Sep23 Jul30 May21 Apr28 Feb12 (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  MAGIC TRUCK Aug24         (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
6  MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Sep23         (klesaris st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 ★    
7  BERT BERT BERT Aug06 Jul09 Jan09     (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
 
BAQ-6   10/07/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURESS Aug31 Jul10 Jun03 May12   (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 ★    
2  XY SPEED Aug31 Jun22 May22 Mar30 Feb19 (schosberg rich)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 16% 5.30    
3  SHIRAZ Aug31 Jul24 Jun26 Jun16   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 ★    
4  STRIKING SPEED Sep25 Sep16 Aug20 Jul01 Jun19 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
5  OLDIES BUT GOODIES Aug20 Jun11 May30     (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
6  LONG TERM THINKING Sep17 Sep01 Jul22 Jul16 Jul01 (avila c)SAMUEL L 121 30.00    
SCR  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) Jul21 Jun23 May13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.40 27% 2.70    
8  NOT PHAR NOW Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 (cox h)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  REJECTED AGAIN Aug18 Jul23 Jun23 May19 Apr30 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 121 3.00    
SCR  GANDY DANCING Aug26 Aug05 May21 May14 Mar31 (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE SHOT Aug31 Jul16 Jun16 May21 Apr03 (falcone n)RIDER TBA 123 4.00    
SCR  QUICK RETURN Sep23 Aug17 Jul28 Jun22 May12 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 123 1.80    
 
BAQ-7   10/07/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD RYE GUY Aug25 Jun30 Apr24 Mar17 Feb19 (camejo jose)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 5% 17.40    
2  ROYAL SPIRIT Aug25 Jul16 Jun12 Apr02 Feb05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 8% 12.30    
SCR  HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Oct02 Mar18 Feb20     (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
4  RECKLESS SPIRIT Aug14 Jul01 Jun05     (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 7% 14.30    
SCR  MACH ONE Sep16 Aug21 Aug14 Jul29 Jul09 (persaud eddie)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
6  RALLY SQUIRREL Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Feb17 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
7  WAR STRATEGY Aug14 Jul17 Jun26     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
8  VOLIERO Jul22 Jun09 Apr24 Feb17 Jan13 (camejo m)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
9  TOPIC CHANGER Sep02 Jul23 Jun30 May20   (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
10  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Aug07         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  SELL SOMETHING Aug18 Jul29 Jun23 May28 Apr29 (sciacca gar)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 30.00    
SCR  SHINSUN Aug17 Jul23 Jun17     (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  CAGNEY (BRZ) Aug17 Jun23 May20 Apr01 Feb25 (schettino domin)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
SCR  RELATE Aug14 Jun19 Feb24 Feb05 Jan01 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
SCR  CHARGER Sep04 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 Apr07 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  RIA'S ANGEL Sep25 Sep03 Jul22 Jun17 May01 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
BAQ-8   10/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BOURBON CALLING Sep28 Aug19 Jul03     (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.80 27% 2.80    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Sep30 Sep14 Jun26 May13 Mar26 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 ★    
2  FIRE SWORD Aug14 Jun17       (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 ★    
3  MARKET ALERT Aug12 Jul10 May28 Apr30 Mar27 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 ★    
4  KING KUMBALAY Aug22 May24 Apr08 Mar04 Feb07 (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 126 15.00 20% 4.10    
5  BABY YODA Aug27 Jul16 Jun10 May05 Apr14 (mott william)CASTELLANO J 122 0.80 33% 2.10    
 
BAQ-9   10/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK POWER NAP Sep03 Jul23 Jun25     (rodriguez rudy )CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  DIVA READY Aug19 Jul16 Jul03 May25 Apr27 (klesaris)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 12.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ROMANOSA (GB) Jul08 Jun04       (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00    
4  CLASSIC LYNNE Sep01 Aug12 Jul20     (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  AUNT VIRGINIA Aug26 Jul20 Jun02     (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  PROPER GRAMMAR Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 May22 Apr14 (pregman john)SAMUEL L 121 50.00    
SCR  ARABELLAS GIRL Feb25 Jan28       (marti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 May30 Apr14 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
9  I'M BUZZY Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 Apr27 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
10  FAST COREY Aug04 Jul14 Jun11 Apr16 Mar10 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 10% 9.40    
11  UNION DOLLY Sep05 Jul30 Jun04 Apr09   (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 6.00 ★    
12  LEMON TAFFY Sep05 Aug17 Jul16 Jun17   (winney melvi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.