Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BEVERLY'S CHARGE 5 5 52 42   41½ 1hd (habeeb donald)MORALES EDGAR 115 4.00 19% 4.40 2.94 W
1  WEST WARPATH 1 2 1½ 1nk   11 2hd (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 5.00 3.83  
5  HEAVENLY TRIP 4 3 31½ 31   21 3½ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70 7.50 S
4  VIOLENT GIGI 3 1 2½ 2nk   31 41¾ (con)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 2.00 ★ 0.84  
2  CHASIN CHARLIE 2 4 66 67   56 56 (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 11% 8.10 18.70  
8  ELI 6 6 42 54   613 629¾ (macias ado)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 23.05  
SCR  TILLIS               (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES               (vaughn terry)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MUST BE THE MONEY 3 11 811 57½   33½ 11 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★ 1.58  
2  INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 5 44 42½   21 21 (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 ★ 8.24 P
10  CORTESE 9 2 11½ 12   11 33¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.81 S
11  PERFECT UPSTART 10 6 913½ 811½   710 48¼ (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 37.29  
5  WINTERS LION 5 3 56½ 68   68 58¾ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 21.15  
12  SATURN BOY 11 1 21½ 22   44 69 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 52% 0.90 5.12  
1  MAKING MOVES 1 4 32 32   54½ 712 (barkley jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 23.24  
6  HITSVILLE 6 12 1013¾ 911¾   810½ 812¼ (waltz bri)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 55.78  
7  KLIMTOMANIAC 7 9 1215¾ 1115¼   1013½ 913¼ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 10.00 25.15  
8  PLENTY OF TIME 8 10 1115¾ 1215¼   1114 1013¼ (drury thoma)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 27.69  
4  EIGHT STRAIGHT 4 8 79 79½   912 1115¼ (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 37.67  
13  RANSEUR 12 7 69 1014¼   1219 1228¼ (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 15.18  
SCR  FREEZING POINT               (lejzerowic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN REIGN               (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  MONCRIEF               (moquett ronal)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:22 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EPICUREAN 5 4 21 1nk   12½ 12 (west w)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 29% 2.50 5.31 W
7  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 7 5 42 31½   22½ 22 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 ★ 4.64 P
8  EDGEE ANGEL 8 2 64 64   56 36 (kin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 5% 17.90 26.96 S
3  NANA'S GRAY 3 6 52½ 42   34½ 46 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 20% 3.90 2.70  
2  FABRICATE 2 7 74½ 74¼   66¼ 56¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 19% 4.20 2.73  
1  BLOSSOM ROAD 1 3 31 52½   76¾ 69 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5.90  
6  JOY ENAMORADA 6 1 11 2nk   44½ 711¼ (duvall e)COURT K 118 20.00 39.26  
4  SMILE AT THE STORM 4 8 86½ 810¼   814¾ 829¼ (demeritte )VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00 6.48  
 
CD-4   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:134 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THRU THE VINE 4 2 22 21½ 11 14 16½ (house gary)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 8.27  
6  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 6 6 85½ 85 21 24 26½ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 4.17  
2  IMPROBABLE STORY 2 1 43½ 32½ 85½ 57½ 39 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 7% 14.30 14.50 S
5  RYE HUMOR 5 5 75 64 65 37 410 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 8% 11.60 12.70  
1  ALTERED 1 7 53½ 53½ 43 47 510¼ (lauer mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
7  MAJORS VINDICATION 7 8 64 74 75 710 612½ (stall m)JOHNSON M 122 12.00 37.33  
3  MOLIERE 3 9 98 97 97 69½ 713¼ (barkley )SANTANA JR 122 3.00 2.38  
8  JURISDICTION 8 3 32½ 43 54 814 822¾ (miller jerome)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 44.13  
9  KNIGHT'S CROSS 9 4 12 11½ 32½ 915 937½ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 35% 1.90 2.50  
SCR  JINGLE               (lauer michael)COURT K 122 4.00    
 
CD-5   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRETTI XTREME 3 1 32½ 41½ 3½ 12½ 15 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 ★ 3.86  
2  FAMILY TIME 2 2 21½ 21 1½ 22½ 25 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 2.37  
1  BIG BAD DIVA 1 4 42½ 31½ 42 36 38 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 65% 0.50 1.84 S
7  SHE'S A DIME 5 3 11½ 11 2½ 48½ 414½ (o'neill do)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 ★ 4.01  
8  MALIBU MARLEE 6 5 54½ 54 69½ 517½ 525¾ (king l)MILLER CHASE 122 12.00 ★ 25.55  
4  SUNNY ISLE BEACH 4 6 65 64½ 58 619 639¼ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 7.20  
SCR  DONTYOUREMEMBER               (lauer michae)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  MY BETS               (sims a)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
CD-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PROTEGE 5 4 32½ 31½   11½ 11¾ (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.55  
4  LUGAN KNIGHT 3 2 2½ 11   21½ 21¾ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 7.39  
11  SEAS OF NORMANDY 11 11 64½ 53½   34½ 37¾ (jones larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 6.41  
1  DIVERSIFUL 10 3 53½ 43½   45½ 49½ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 28.57  
5  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 4 5 42½ 64   57 512 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 8% 11.60 7.50  
9  MACHO VILLA 8 8 107¼ 77½   69 613 (lukas wa)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 7% 12.60 33.79  
8  MY IMAGINATION 7 9 1213¼ 1114   1116½ 713¾ (morey william)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 50.61  
2  SINGLE DOT YAHT 1 10 75 910½   812 814½ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.24  
7  KING D'ORO 6 7 85¼ 1011½   914 917¾ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.67  
12  STREET SWAGG 12 6 95¼ 88½   1014 1022 (walsh bre)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 4.00  
3  GOLDEN FATE 2 1 1½ 21   711½ 1124¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 8.33  
10  EGYPTIAN KING 9 12 1112¼ 1216½   1219½ 1229 (glyshaw t)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 77.41  
SCR  FLIPARINO               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE               (flint bernar)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  MABUHAY               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-7   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEVERLY PARK 4 1 1½ 1nk   12½ 1¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 50% 1.00 3.55 W
5  THE QUEENS JULES 3 6 42 32   32½ 2¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 8% 11.90 15.73 P
1  MEDICINE TAIL 1 7 76 66¾   43½ 32½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 121 12.00 7.05  
10  DON'T FORGET 7 5 66 54¾   55½ 45 (shorter aa)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 ★ 13.17 DH
8  ALEXANDROS 5 2 2½ 2nk   22½ 45 (duncan van)COURT K 121 10.00 5.16 DH
3  FLAMINGO HAWK 2 4 54 77¼   66 66½ (falcone )SANTANA JR 121 3.50 ★ 1.51  
9  WILD BEHAVIOR 6 3 31 42¼   78 714 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 21% 3.70 4.62  
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT               (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD               (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KAVOD 4 1 2½ 11   11½ 1½ (hartman ch)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.40 4.06 W
8  HOIST THE GOLD 7 6 32 41½   32 2½ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 17% 4.90 1.17 P
7  TEJANO TWIST 6 4 79½ 65½   44 32¼ (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 4.01  
3  RUGGS 3 3 1½ 21   21½ 43 (moquett )SANTANA JR 118 10.00 13% 6.70 9.84  
1  OVERTAXED 1 5 54½ 54   65½ 56¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 15% 5.60 8.48  
2  TEXAS RED HOT 2 7 66½ 76   77 68¾ (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 ★ 17.17  
6  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 5 2 42 31½   55 79½ (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.76  
SCR  LONGSHADOW               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :451 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RIGHT OF RUSH 5 8 98 85¼   22 12¾ (jazdzewski)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 20.00 26.22  
10  BARONNE 7 1 2nk 1½   12 22¾ (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 7.83  
6  T MONEY 4 6 64½ 74¼   86½ 34¼ (vaccarezza ca)PENA JONUELLE 114 3.00 25% 2.90 2.40 S
5  MR. MARIAH 3 9 86 54   54 44¼ (pittman bonni)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00 48.59  
14  AWESOME CHARGE 9 2 43 43½   65 56 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.26  
1  IKE AND JACK 1 7 32 31   43 66½ (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 28.36  
12  RIKIO 8 4 75 64   75½ 78 (beckman d )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 5.38  
9  OFFUTT COLE 6 3 1nk 2½   32½ 812¼ (barkley )SANTANA JR 121 2.50 27% 2.80 2.29  
4  GENIUS 2 5 53½ 910¾   916½ 923¼ (vance d)COURT K 121 15.00 14.56  
SCR  LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN               (bre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PITCH DARK               (bright de)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  PRIVATE CONNIE               (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  PYRITE               (cowans wi)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TRIPLE CHROME               (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.