Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY'S CHARGE 5 5 52 42   4 1hd (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 115 4.00 19% 4.40 2.94 W
WEST WARPATH 1 2 1½ 1nk   11 2hd (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 5.00 3.83  
HEAVENLY TRIP 4 3 3 31   21 3½ (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70 7.50 S
VIOLENT GIGI 3 1 2½ 2nk   31 4 (contr)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 2.00 0.84  
CHASIN CHARLIE 2 4 66 67   56 56 (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 11% 8.10 18.70  
ELI 6 6 42 54   613 629¾ (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00 23.05  
SCR  TILLIS               (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES               (vaughn terry)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:213 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUST BE THE MONEY 3 11 811 5   3 11 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 1.58  
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER 2 5 44 4   21 21 (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50 8.24 P
10  CORTESE 9 2 1 12   11 3 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.81 S
11  PERFECT UPSTART 10 6 913½ 811½   710 4 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 37.29  
WINTERS LION 5 3 5 68   68 5 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 21.15  
12  SATURN BOY 11 1 2 22   44 69 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 52% 0.90 5.12  
MAKING MOVES 1 4 32 32   5 712 (barkley jason)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 23.24  
HITSVILLE 6 12 1013¾ 911¾   810½ 812¼ (waltz brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 55.78  
KLIMTOMANIAC 7 9 1215¾ 1115¼   1013½ 913¼ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 25.15  
PLENTY OF TIME 8 10 1115¾ 1215¼   1114 1013¼ (drury thomas )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 27.69  
EIGHT STRAIGHT 4 8 79 7   912 1115¼ (mcpeek g)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 37.67  
13  RANSEUR 12 7 69 1014¼   1219 1228¼ (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 15.18  
SCR  FREEZING POINT               (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN REIGN               (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER               (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
SCR  MONCRIEF               (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
CD-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:22 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPICUREAN 5 4 21 1nk   1 12 (west w)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 29% 2.50 5.31 W
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 7 5 42 3   2 22 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 4.64 P
EDGEE ANGEL 8 2 64 64   56 36 (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 5% 17.90 26.96 S
NANA'S GRAY 3 6 5 42   3 46 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 20% 3.90 2.70  
FABRICATE 2 7 7 7   6 5 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 19% 4.20 2.73  
BLOSSOM ROAD 1 3 31 5   7 69 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5.90  
JOY ENAMORADA 6 1 11 2nk   4 711¼ (duvall e)COURT K 118 20.00 39.26  
SMILE AT THE STORM 4 8 8 810¼   814¾ 829¼ (demeritte la)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00 6.48  
 
CD-4   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:134 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRU THE VINE 4 2 22 2 11 14 1 (house gary)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00 8.27  
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 6 6 8 85 21 24 2 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 4.17  
IMPROBABLE STORY 2 1 4 3 8 5 39 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 7% 14.30 14.50 S
RYE HUMOR 5 5 75 64 65 37 410 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 8% 11.60 12.70  
ALTERED 1 7 5 5 43 47 510¼ (lauer michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 24% 3.20 5.90  
MAJORS VINDICATION 7 8 64 74 75 710 612½ (stall m)JOHNSON M 122 12.00 37.33  
MOLIERE 3 9 98 97 97 6 713¼ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 2.38  
JURISDICTION 8 3 3 43 54 814 822¾ (miller f)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 44.13  
KNIGHT'S CROSS 9 4 12 1 3 915 937½ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 35% 1.90 2.50  
SCR  JINGLE               (lauer michael)COURT K 122 4.00    
 
CD-5   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:12 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTI XTREME 3 1 3 4 3½ 1 15 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00 3.86  
FAMILY TIME 2 2 2 21 1½ 2 25 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00 2.37  
BIG BAD DIVA 1 4 4 3 42 36 38 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 65% 0.50 1.84 S
SHE'S A DIME 5 3 1 11 2½ 4 414½ (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 4.01  
MALIBU MARLEE 6 5 5 54 6 517½ 525¾ (king l)MILLER CHASE 122 12.00 25.55  
SUNNY ISLE BEACH 4 6 65 6 58 619 639¼ (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 7.20  
SCR  DONTYOUREMEMBER               (lauer michael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  MY BETS               (sims a)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
 
CD-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTEGE 5 4 3 3   1 1 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00 10.55  
LUGAN KNIGHT 3 2 2½ 11   2 2 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 7.39  
11  SEAS OF NORMANDY 11 11 6 5   3 3 (jones larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 6.41  
DIVERSIFUL 10 3 5 4   4 4 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 28.57  
HAPPY IS A CHOICE 4 5 4 64   57 512 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 8% 11.60 7.50  
MACHO VILLA 8 8 10 7   69 613 (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 7% 12.60 33.79  
MY IMAGINATION 7 9 1213¼ 1114   1116½ 713¾ (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 50.61  
SINGLE DOT YAHT 1 10 75 910½   812 814½ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 6.24  
KING D'ORO 6 7 8 1011½   914 917¾ (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20 3.67  
12  STREET SWAGG 12 6 9 8   1014 1022 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00 4.00  
GOLDEN FATE 2 1 1½ 21   711½ 1124¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 8.33  
10  EGYPTIAN KING 9 12 1112¼ 1216½   1219½ 1229 (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 77.41  
SCR  FLIPARINO               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE               (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  MABUHAY               (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-7   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK 4 1 1½ 1nk   1 1¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 50% 1.00 3.55 W
THE QUEENS JULES 3 6 42 32   3 2¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 8% 11.90 15.73 P
MEDICINE TAIL 1 7 76 6   4 3 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 12.00 7.05  
10  DON'T FORGET 7 5 66 5   5 45 (shorter aaro)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 13.17 DH
ALEXANDROS 5 2 2½ 2nk   2 45 (duncan vance)COURT K 121 10.00 5.16 DH
FLAMINGO HAWK 2 4 54 7   66 6 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 121 3.50 1.51  
WILD BEHAVIOR 6 3 31 4   78 714 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 21% 3.70 4.62  
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT               (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  SOARING BIRD               (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:213 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAVOD 4 1 2½ 11   1 1½ (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.40 4.06 W
HOIST THE GOLD 7 6 32 4   32 2½ (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 17% 4.90 1.17 P
TEJANO TWIST 6 4 7 6   44 3 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 4.01  
RUGGS 3 3 1½ 21   2 43 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 13% 6.70 9.84  
OVERTAXED 1 5 5 54   6 5 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 15% 5.60 8.48  
TEXAS RED HOT 2 7 6 76   77 6 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 17.17  
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 5 2 42 3   55 7 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.76  
SCR  LONGSHADOW               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
CD-9   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :451 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT OF RUSH 5 8 98 8   22 1 (jazdzewski j)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 20.00 26.22  
10  BARONNE 7 1 2nk 1½   12 2 (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00 7.83  
T MONEY 4 6 6 7   8 3 (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 3.00 25% 2.90 2.40 S
MR. MARIAH 3 9 86 54   54 4 (pittman bonnie)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00 48.59  
14  AWESOME CHARGE 9 2 43 4   65 56 (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00 5% 19.00 4.26  
IKE AND JACK 1 7 32 31   43 6 (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 28.36  
12  RIKIO 8 4 75 64   7 78 (beckman wh)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 5.38  
OFFUTT COLE 6 3 1nk 2½   3 812¼ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 27% 2.80 2.29  
GENIUS 2 5 5 910¾   916½ 923¼ (vance d)COURT K 121 15.00 14.56  
SCR  LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN               (brenn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PITCH DARK               (bright derr)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  PRIVATE CONNIE               (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  PYRITE               (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  TRIPLE CHROME               (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.