Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST WARPATH Jul22 Jul03       (hiles a)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
CHASIN CHARLIE Sep08 Aug20       (richardson tim)GRAHAM J 121 20.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  TILLIS Jul17 Jun10 Apr07 Feb19 Jan16 (morse l)COURT K 121 6.00 20% 4.10    
VIOLENT GIGI Aug04 Jul12 Jun18 May30 Apr24 (contr)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 2.00    
HEAVENLY TRIP Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Mar09 Jan20 (kordenbrock matt)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  Z U AT THE RACES Sep02 Aug16 Aug05 Jul20 May18 (vaughn terry)LEBRON VICTOR 121 15.00    
BEVERLY'S CHARGE Aug19 Jun30 Jun08 May12 Mar19 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 115 4.00 19% 4.40    
ELI Aug20 Jul17 Jun24 Jun02 May12 (macias adolf)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 20.00    
 
CD-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKING MOVES Aug28         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
INSPEIGHTOFTRAINER Sep03 Aug05 Jun26     (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.50    
MUST BE THE MONEY         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
EIGHT STRAIGHT         (mcpeek g)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
WINTERS LION         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
HITSVILLE         (waltz brian)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
KLIMTOMANIAC         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
PLENTY OF TIME         (drury thomas )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  MONCRIEF         (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
10  CORTESE Jul30 Jun26 Jun09     (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
11  PERFECT UPSTART         (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00    
12  SATURN BOY Aug17         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 52% 0.90    
13  RANSEUR         (moquett ronald )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
SCR  FREEZING POINT         (lejzerowicz )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN REIGN Jul30         (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00    
SCR  HIGHWAY ROBBER         (lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
 
CD-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOSSOM ROAD Apr24 Mar19 Feb12 Jan15   (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 12.00    
FABRICATE Aug20 Jul31 Jun29 May21 Apr24 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
NANA'S GRAY Sep05 Jul24 Jun22 May27 Apr28 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
SMILE AT THE STORM Apr28 Apr10 Mar05 Feb10   (demeritte la)VILLASANA CARLOS 118 6.00    
EPICUREAN Aug29 Aug02 Jun17 Jun02 Apr22 (west w)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
JOY ENAMORADA Aug19 Jul29 Jun25 Jun10 May14 (duvall e)COURT K 118 20.00    
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Aug30 Aug19 Aug06 Jul20 Jun11 (manley stev)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00    
EDGEE ANGEL Aug28 Jul06 Feb24     (king )FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 15.00 5% 17.90    
 
CD-4   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERED Sep08 Aug11 Jul28 Jul17 Jun25 (lauer michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  JINGLE Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 May13 Apr23 (lauer michael)COURT K 122 4.00    
IMPROBABLE STORY Aug11 Jul22 Jun21 May27 May10 (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 7% 14.30    
MOLIERE Aug19 Jul15 Mar27 Feb26 Jan27 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 3.00    
THRU THE VINE Aug25 Jul17 Jun11 May30 Apr30 (house gary)ACHARD ALEX 122 5.00    
RYE HUMOR Aug28 Jun23 Jun10 Mar17 Jan08 (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Aug05 Jun30 May27     (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 6.00    
MAJORS VINDICATION Jul15 Jun23       (stall m)JOHNSON M 122 12.00    
JURISDICTION Aug23 Jul17 Jun23 May27 May05 (miller f)LEBRON VICTOR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHT'S CROSS Mar05 Jan23       (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-5   09/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BAD DIVA Jul23 Apr22 Apr07 Feb10 Jan28 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
FAMILY TIME Sep01 Jun04 May06 Apr09 Mar09 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
PRETTI XTREME Aug30 Aug09 Jul21 Jun07 May06 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 119 5.00    
SUNNY ISLE BEACH Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr24 Apr08 (vance r)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  MY BETS Jul01 Jun12 May21     (sims a)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  DONTYOUREMEMBER Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 Jun16 May07 (lauer michael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SHE'S A DIME Aug29 Aug08 Jul02 May29 Apr03 (o'neill doug)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00    
MALIBU MARLEE Aug25 Aug16 Jul24 Jul18 Jun24 (king l)MILLER CHASE 122 12.00    
 
CD-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVERSIFUL         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
SCR  FLIPARINO         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00    
SINGLE DOT YAHT         (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
GOLDEN FATE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
LUGAN KNIGHT         (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00    
HAPPY IS A CHOICE Aug06         (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 8% 11.60    
PROTEGE         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 10.00    
KING D'ORO         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
MY IMAGINATION         (morey e)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
MACHO VILLA Aug28 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10   (lukas wayn)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 7% 12.60    
10  EGYPTIAN KING         (glyshaw tim)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
11  SEAS OF NORMANDY         (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
12  STREET SWAGG         (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
SCR  JOINT VENTURE         (flint bernard )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00    
SCR  MABUHAY Jun02 Apr28       (reed r)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-7   09/21/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDICINE TAIL Aug09 Jul27 Jun10 May26 May04 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 12.00    
SCR  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 Jun08 May22 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
FLAMINGO HAWK Aug18 Jul16 Jun22 Jun12 Apr16 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 121 3.50    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Aug06 Jul16 Jun26 May12 Apr16 (walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
THE QUEENS JULES Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 May29 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 8% 11.90    
BEVERLY PARK Aug26 Aug17 Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 (cash l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Sep01 Jun26 May05 Mar10 Feb10 (habeeb donald)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 20.00    
ALEXANDROS Jan07         (duncan vance)COURT K 121 10.00    
WILD BEHAVIOR Aug06 Jun22 May29 Apr29 Mar27 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 21% 3.70    
10  DON'T FORGET Aug26 Jul24 Jun22 May29 Apr23 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
 
CD-8   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERTAXED Jul03 Jun11 May08 Apr02 Feb09 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 15% 5.60    
TEXAS RED HOT Jul02 Feb26       (morse l)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
RUGGS Sep01 Jun11 May21 Apr01 Mar12 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00 13% 6.70    
KAVOD Aug26 May07 Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  LONGSHADOW Sep08 Aug17 Jul27     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jul03 May29 May04 Mar24 Feb28 (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
TEJANO TWIST Sep10 Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 May07 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50    
HOIST THE GOLD Sep03 Jul31 Jul03 Apr02 Mar09 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
 
CD-9   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IKE AND JACK Aug28         (norris mike)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  TRIPLE CHROME Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun11   (vanden br)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
SCR  PITCH DARK Aug12 Jul07 May31 May10   (bright derr)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
GENIUS Sep05 Aug17 Aug02     (vance d)COURT K 121 15.00    
MR. MARIAH Aug19 Jul31 Jul15     (pittman bonnie)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 20.00    
T MONEY Aug28 Jul31 Jul24 Jun18   (vaccarezza carl)PENA JONUELLE 114 3.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  PRIVATE CONNIE Aug28 Aug12 Jul16 Jun19 Jan02 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
RIGHT OF RUSH Jun18 May28 May04 Apr20   (jazdzewski j)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 20.00    
OFFUTT COLE Jul15 Jun18 May13 Apr27 Apr02 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 121 2.50 27% 2.80    
10  BARONNE May26 Apr20 Mar16 Feb19   (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00    
SCR  LOOKINFOREXCITEMEN Jun02 May06 Apr22 Mar12 Feb21 (brenn)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  RIKIO Aug12 Jul16 Jul01 Apr16   (beckman wh)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
SCR  PYRITE         (cowans will)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 20% 4.00    
14  AWESOME CHARGE Aug12         (diodoro robertino)COHEN DAVID 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.