The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Tuesday - October 11, 2022

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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PEN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:232 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN THUNDER 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 1½ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.50 0.80  
NOT A TRICK 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 2½ (dunham g)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 1.00 P
MR. SKITTLES 2 4 4 33   34 3(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 6% 14.60 14.90 S
DIGGERS DIAMOND 3 2 3 45   47 49 (geist w)BAKER J 124 4.00 7.00  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  TERRY'S CHARM               (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 10% 8.80    
 
PEN-2   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:242 :48 1:12 1:364   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE SUPERNOVA 3 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 11(shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 13% 6.70 3.10 W
BOSSMAN JONES 4 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 22(servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 1.80 50% 1.00 1.20 P
UNCLE YUDI 5 1 3 32 3 311½ 315 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.00 6.60 S
SOUL STORY 1 4 42 4 4 414½ 418 (albright r)VARGAS L 124 4.50 21.50  
TRUE SUCCESS 2 5 5 5 510½ 516½ 518¼ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 121 5.00 11% 7.80 1.80  
 
PEN-3   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:233 :471 1:114 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STORM 1 5 6 6 42 1nk 1¼ (flores-coba l)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 5.00 1.60  
HELOSTHISMARBLES 2 2 2 31 3 2nk 2¼ (taylor joseph)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 13% 6.70 1.70 P
KAZ SUGAR BANK 6 3 5 5 6 45 3(synnefias dimitrios)VARGAS L 119 6.00 12.90  
STAY HYDRATED 4 1 1 1½ 1nk 32 4(ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 16% 5.20 4.40  
A T M AWESOME 8 4 3 4 5 57 510½ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 61.90  
BOURBON CURRENCY 3 6 7 7 7 7611½ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 11% 7.70 28.80  
ECONOMIC POWER 5 7 43 2½ 2nk 6713¾ (ramirez gabriel)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 30% 2.30 6.80  
UNION LEADER 7 8 811½ 814½ 816¼ 815¼ 817¾ (rivera justin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00 30.30  
SCR  JO JO HANS               (brooks e)WHITNEY G 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
PEN-4   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:244 :492 1:13 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINGTON 5 4 32 2½ 2 2½ 1¼ (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 0.80 39% 1.50 0.30 W
IT'S GAME TIME 4 1 2nk 1½ 1 1½ 2¼ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.50 4.30 P
VITESSE 1 3 4 42 3 333 (graci a)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 3.60 S
HOORAY FOR HARVEY 2 2 1nk 31 4 413½ 419½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 29.10  
HOLD THE IRISH 3 5 53 5 512½ 515½ 520 (martinez a)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 25.60  
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES               (pattershall a)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:221 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY AND RICH 2 2 2nk 1½   15 1(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 W
BERHANU 3 5 41 3   36 2(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.30  
PAPA TONY 4 3 1nk 2½   25 3(dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 13% 6.60 2.00 S
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 1 1 3½ 4   4410 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 12.10  
THE GREAT CASBY 5 4 5 5   510½ 510¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 14.60  
SCR  SPEEDY MOONLITE               (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:232 :471 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAW THE LIGHT 5 5 32 3   34 1nk (crook-demasi kathlee)CONNER TYLER 123 1.40 50% 1.00 0.70 W
AMAZINGMAE 7 2 21 1½   12nk (wames j)WHITNEY G 123 3.00 18% 4.50 1.80 P
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 6 1 11 2½   23(hogan j)RAMOS C 118 5.00 8.40 S
RIPPA 3 4 53 4   410 4(martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 15.00 13.40  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 2 7 6 69   510½ 5(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00 22.30  
GOLD DOLL 4 3 43 5   611½ 619¾ (campbell jayson)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 5% 17.90 40.70  
MISS JUNEBUG 1 6 7 712½   719½ 723¾ (albright r)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 18.20  
 
PEN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:224 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN YEARS LATER 5 1 1 16   18 16 (gonzalez-milian g)PEREZ M 121 10.00 17% 5.10 6.10 W
TROPICALDEPRESSION 3 3 45 3   28 26 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 28% 2.50 8.50 P
LOVELY MELAYRA 1 5 5 5   412 314 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 121 1.80 2.00 S
MASKED HEROINE 4 4 2 26   311 418 (cibelli jane)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 2.60  
FREYSINGER 2 2 3 48   516 525¼ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 19% 4.20 1.70  
 
PEN-8   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:243 :483 1:134 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA 3 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 19 113½ (o'callahan carl)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 0.60  
VALENTINA'S CUPID 1 5 53 53 44 4213½ (albright r)CORA D 122 8.00 10.70 P
MEEMOO 2 1 31 31 3 29 315¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.00 12% 7.20 7.70 S
SIMPLE JUSTICE 5 4 4 4 56 510½ 417¼ (mick r)BAKER J 121 4.50 22.30  
FLECHE D'AMOUR 4 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 3519½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 53% 0.90 1.70  
SCR  ALDINA               (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.