Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN THUNDER 1 3 2nk 2nk   1½ 1½ (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.50 0.80  
NOT A TRICK 4 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 2½ (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 1.00 P
MR. SKITTLES 2 4 4 33   34 3 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 6% 14.60 14.90 S
DIGGERS DIAMOND 3 2 3 45   47 49 (geist w)BAKER J 124 4.00 7.00  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  TERRY'S CHARM               (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 10% 8.80    
 
PEN-2   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:12 1:364   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE SUPERNOVA 3 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1 1 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 13% 6.70 3.10 W
BOSSMAN JONES 4 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 2 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 1.80 50% 1.00 1.20 P
UNCLE YUDI 5 1 3 32 3 311½ 315 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.00 6.60 S
SOUL STORY 1 4 42 4 4 414½ 418 (albright ge)VARGAS L 124 4.50 21.50  
TRUE SUCCESS 2 5 5 5 510½ 516½ 518¼ (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 121 5.00 11% 7.80 1.80  
 
PEN-3   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:114 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STORM 1 5 6 6 42 1nk 1¼ (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 5.00 1.60  
HELOSTHISMARBLES 2 2 2 31 3 2nk 2¼ (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 13% 6.70 1.70 P
KAZ SUGAR BANK 6 3 5 5 6 45 3 (synnefias d)VARGAS L 119 6.00 12.90  
STAY HYDRATED 4 1 1 1½ 1nk 32 4 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 16% 5.20 4.40  
A T M AWESOME 8 4 3 4 5 57 510½ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 61.90  
BOURBON CURRENCY 3 6 7 7 7 7 611½ (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 11% 7.70 28.80  
ECONOMIC POWER 5 7 43 2½ 2nk 6 713¾ (ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 30% 2.30 6.80  
UNION LEADER 7 8 811½ 814½ 816¼ 815¼ 817¾ (rivera justi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00 30.30  
SCR  JO JO HANS               (brooks e)WHITNEY G 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
 
PEN-4   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:13 1:381   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINGTON 5 4 32 2½ 2 2½ 1¼ (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 0.80 39% 1.50 0.30 W
IT'S GAME TIME 4 1 2nk 1½ 1 1½ 2¼ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.50 4.30 P
VITESSE 1 3 4 42 3 3 33 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 3.60 S
HOORAY FOR HARVEY 2 2 1nk 31 4 413½ 419½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00 29.10  
HOLD THE IRISH 3 5 53 5 512½ 515½ 520 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00 25.60  
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES               (pattershall mary)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY AND RICH 2 2 2nk 1½   15 1 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 W
BERHANU 3 5 41 3   36 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 2.30  
PAPA TONY 4 3 1nk 2½   25 3 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 13% 6.60 2.00 S
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 1 1 3½ 4   4 410 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00 12.10  
THE GREAT CASBY 5 4 5 5   510½ 510¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 14.60  
SCR  SPEEDY MOONLITE               (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:232 :471 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAW THE LIGHT 5 5 32 3   34 1nk (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 123 1.40 50% 1.00 0.70 W
AMAZINGMAE 7 2 21 1½   1 2nk (wames j)WHITNEY G 123 3.00 18% 4.50 1.80 P
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY 6 1 11 2½   2 3 (hogan william)RAMOS C 118 5.00 8.40 S
RIPPA 3 4 53 4   410 4 (martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 15.00 13.40  
MS KAYS COWGIRL 2 7 6 69   510½ 5 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00 22.30  
GOLD DOLL 4 3 43 5   611½ 619¾ (campbell jayson)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 5% 17.90 40.70  
MISS JUNEBUG 1 6 7 712½   719½ 723¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 18.20  
 
PEN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN YEARS LATER 5 1 1 16   18 16 (gonzalez-milian)PEREZ M 121 10.00 17% 5.10 6.10 W
TROPICALDEPRESSION 3 3 45 3   28 26 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 28% 2.50 8.50 P
LOVELY MELAYRA 1 5 5 5   412 314 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 121 1.80 2.00 S
MASKED HEROINE 4 4 2 26   311 418 (cibelli jane)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00 2.60  
FREYSINGER 2 2 3 48   516 525¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 19% 4.20 1.70  
 
PEN-8   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:134 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA 3 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 19 113½ (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 0.60  
VALENTINA'S CUPID 1 5 53 53 44 4 213½ (albright r)CORA D 122 8.00 10.70 P
MEEMOO 2 1 31 31 3 29 315¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.00 12% 7.20 7.70 S
SIMPLE JUSTICE 5 4 4 4 56 510½ 417¼ (mick r)BAKER J 121 4.50 22.30  
FLECHE D'AMOUR 4 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 3 519½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 53% 0.90 1.70  
SCR  ALDINA               (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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