Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Tuesday - October 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN THUNDER Sep29 Sep14 Aug11 Jul14 Jun25 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 124 3.50    
SCR  TERRY'S CHARM Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 12.00 10% 8.80    
MR. SKITTLES Sep15 Aug24       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 6% 14.60    
DIGGERS DIAMOND Sep22 Sep07 Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 (geist w)BAKER J 124 4.00    
NOT A TRICK Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 Jun17 May30 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00    
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK Oct05 Sep05 Aug26 Aug01 Jul16 (simone v)CEDENO CAROL 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
 
PEN-2   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL STORY Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 (albright ge)VARGAS L 124 4.50    
TRUE SUCCESS Sep14 Aug25 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
PALACE SUPERNOVA Sep07 Jul29 Jul18 Jun29 Jun03 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
BOSSMAN JONES Aug22 Jul25 Jun14 May23 Apr20 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 1.80 50% 1.00    
UNCLE YUDI Sep22 Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.00    
 
PEN-3   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STORM Sep24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun11 May07 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 5.00    
SCR  JO JO HANS Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (brooks e)WHITNEY G 119 8.00 5% 18.50    
HELOSTHISMARBLES Sep19 Aug31 Jul12 May06 Mar08 (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 13% 6.70    
BOURBON CURRENCY Sep25 Aug20 Jul29 Jul20 Jun22 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 11% 7.70    
STAY HYDRATED Aug31 Jul21 Jun15 May10 Apr05 (ness jamie)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 16% 5.20    
ECONOMIC POWER Sep14 Sep02 Jul29 Jun30 Jun01 (ramirez ricar)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
KAZ SUGAR BANK Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Jun10 (synnefias d)VARGAS L 119 6.00    
UNION LEADER Sep01 Jul20 Mar27 Mar11 Jan30 (rivera justi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
A T M AWESOME Sep15 Sep07 Aug05 Jun15 May19 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   10/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITESSE Sep16 Aug31 Jul27 Jun17 May11 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
HOORAY FOR HARVEY Sep23 Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
HOLD THE IRISH May19 Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 15.00    
IT'S GAME TIME Sep13 Aug27 Jul31 Jul14 Jun19 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  AMERICAN FORCES Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 (pattershall mary)ADORNO ABNER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
CURLINGTON Sep16 Aug27 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 0.80 39% 1.50    
 
PEN-5   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER BIGGS Sep15 Aug24 Jul06 Jun11 May20 (moreno tito)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 10.00    
READY AND RICH Sep15 Aug26 Jul21 Jun15 May19 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SPEEDY MOONLITE Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
BERHANU Sep15 Sep01 Jun26 Jun02 Apr22 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50    
PAPA TONY Sep15 Aug24 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 13% 6.60    
THE GREAT CASBY Aug31 Aug04 Jul01 Jun11 Apr22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JUNEBUG Mar29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
MS KAYS COWGIRL Aug31 Aug12 Jun23 May30 Apr28 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00    
RIPPA Aug26 Jun15 Jun01     (martin jr)AGUILAR M 121 15.00    
GOLD DOLL Sep23         (campbell jayson)CHIAPPE R 123 10.00 5% 17.90    
SAW THE LIGHT Jul09 May25       (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Sep21 Aug23 Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 (hogan william)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 118 5.00    
AMAZINGMAE         (wames j)WHITNEY G 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-7   10/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY MELAYRA Aug23 Jul27 Jul09 Jun15 May16 (krebs steven)ADORNO ABNER 121 1.80    
FREYSINGER Aug26 Jul01       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
TROPICALDEPRESSION Sep14 Aug26 Jun15 May19 May05 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 4.00 28% 2.50    
MASKED HEROINE Jun24 May25 Mar20 Mar06 Feb16 (cibelli jane)CONNER TYLER 121 2.00    
SEVEN YEARS LATER Sep13 Jul25 Jul05 Jun11 Jan05 (gonzalez-milian)PEREZ M 121 10.00 17% 5.10    
 
PEN-8   10/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINA'S CUPID Sep23 Aug25 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 (albright r)CORA D 122 8.00    
MEEMOO Sep23 Jun23 Jun09 May13 Apr22 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
CUENCA Sep25 Sep09 Aug22 Jul01 Jun11 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
FLECHE D'AMOUR Sep14 Aug19 Jul21 Jun23 May01 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
SIMPLE JUSTICE Sep23 Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 Jun01 (mick r)BAKER J 121 4.50    
SCR  ALDINA Sep23 Apr21 Jan26     (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.