Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MASON MANIA 4 7 52¼ 41¾ 31 12 14¾ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 17% 5.00 1.40 W
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 2 42 52¼ 43 43 24¾ (synnefias)VARGAS L 118 4.00 ★ 5.40 P
8  TOUGH TICKETS 8 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 22 35 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 28% 2.50 3.80 S
3  RADIEUX 3 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 32 46 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 8% 11.70 4.30  
5  SHOWER THE PEOPLE 5 5 73¾ 74¼ 55½ 59 513¼ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 96.70  
6  A T M AWESOME 6 6 63¾ 64¼ 77½ 613 622 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 12.60  
7  CHARGING LION 7 8 88¼ 89¾ 89 718 730½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
1  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 1 1 1½ 2nk 67 820 831 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 82.30  
 
PEN-2   09/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:213 :453       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ORGANIZED CHAOS 4 1 14 17   110 16½ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.00 W
6  HOP TO A DECISION 5 5 47½ 411½   311½ 26½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 6.00 ★ 9.80 P
4  BROBRO CORMAN 3 3 35 38½   210 310½ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 2.50 13% 6.80 1.20 S
2  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 1 6 69 613   513½ 411¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A null   4.30  
3  MADISON COUNTY 2 4 57½ 512½   614 515¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00 9.90  
7  NEVER TOO MUCH 6 2 24 27   411½ 621¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 11% 7.80 14.20  
SCR  ITCHY PALMS               (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ATTUCK 7 1 2nk 2½   1½ 11 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 21% 3.80 1.00 W
7  MY DEVILS CHILD 6 3 32½ 33   32½ 21 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.40 5.00 P
4  HERE WEGO 3 2 1nk 1½   2½ 32¾ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 22% 3.50 1.90 S
3  DIAMOND SETTER 2 4 66¼ 58   46½ 43¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 40.20  
5  TORAZO 4 7 76½ 48   710 57¼ (o'callaha)VARGAS L 124 6.00 15% 5.60 20.00  
1  STONE SCULPTOR 1 6 46 68¼   610 67¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
6  BLUEGRASS POSSE 5 5 56¼ 78¼   58½ 77¾ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 28.80  
SCR  STRAWBERRY RED               (mercedes pe)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
 
PEN-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPIKES SHIRL 2 2 2nk 1nk   12 11½ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 3.50 ★ 5.60  
4  PAPA TONY 4 5 51¼ 51¼   43 21½ (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 7.40  
6  READY AND RICH 6 4 4¾ 41   53½ 32 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 52% 0.90 1.40 S
1  COMMISSIONER BIGGS 1 1 1nk 3½   32½ 42¾ (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 7% 12.80 21.80  
3  BERHANU 3 3 3.2 2nk   22 53¾ (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.00 ★ 1.10  
5  MR. SKITTLES 5 6 63¼ 63¾   66½ 68¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
 
PEN-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOLDEN TABBY 5 3 21½ 22½   21½ 11½ (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00 34% 2.00 0.40 W
5  LEAKY CAULDRON 4 2 43 32½   31½ 21½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.50 3.20 P
1  EMPRESS DEONA 1 1 11½ 12½   11½ 31¾ (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 ★ 6.60 S
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS 3 4 56½ 59½   59 48½ (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 ★ 22.90  
3  SEEKING THE DREAM 2 5 32½ 44½   46½ 510¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 32% 2.20 6.90  
SCR  MOONBOOTS               (morgan carl)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 12.00    
 
PEN-6   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:133 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOUL STORY 3 4 53½ 54 53 52½ 1½ (albright )VARGAS L 122 2.50 20% 3.90 2.10 W
7  STREET LAMP 7 2 32½ 43½ 31½ 32 2½ (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 120 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 P
2  LTL BEAR SALOON 2 1 21½ 21½ 2½ 2½ 3½ (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 10.80 10.40 S
5  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 5 3 11½ 11½ 1½ 1½ 4¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 30.00  
1  CHAIN REACTION 1 5 42½ 32½ 42 42 53 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 ★ 1.30  
4  COMBATING 4 7 65 74½ 65½ 65½ 64 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 10% 8.60 20.10  
6  HE CAME TRUE 6 6 75¼ 64 76½ 77½ 75¾ (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 37.90  
 
PEN-7   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOVE IS STRONG 4 5 32 31 22½ 2nk 13¾ (vera migu)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 8.20  
1  PECAN PATTIE 1 6 65½ 64½ 55 34 23¾ (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 ★ 5.60 P
2  CARTWHEEL 2 3 1½ 1½ 12½ 1nk 35 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 115 1.80 ★ 0.80 S
6  BARISTA VIXEN 6 4 53 41 33½ 44½ 49½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 26% 2.80 2.60  
5  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 5 2 42½ 51½ 44 56½ 511¼ (fields kevin)CORA D 122 10.00 10% 8.60 20.60  
3  PARANOIA 3 1 2½ 2½ 65½ 615½ 632¾ (moreno-barban )CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 26% 2.80 9.80  
 
PEN-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  QUEEN ROSEMARY 2 4 41¾ 32 11 1½ 1¼ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 15% 5.50 1.60 W
2  BONITA LASSIE 1 1 31½ 42½ 41½ 2½ 2¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.20 P
4  WILL TAKE ROSES 3 2 1nk 2½ 21 33 37¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 17.80 6.30 S
6  FAVORITE DOLL 5 5 53¾ 53 52½ 44½ 49¾ (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 35.90  
5  KATY THE CAT 4 3 2nk 1½ 31 55 510 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★ 3.80  
SCR  BIRD TRAFFIC               (nichol ke)VARGAS L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RELENTLESS RUBY               (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.