Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:112 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASON MANIA 4 7 5 4 31 12 1 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 17% 5.00 1.40 W
KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 2 42 5 43 43 2 (synnefias d)VARGAS L 118 4.00 5.40 P
TOUGH TICKETS 8 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 22 35 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 28% 2.50 3.80 S
RADIEUX 3 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 32 46 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 8% 11.70 4.30  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 5 5 7 7 5 59 513¼ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 96.70  
A T M AWESOME 6 6 6 6 7 613 622 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 12.60  
CHARGING LION 7 8 8 8 89 718 730½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 22% 3.50 5.20  
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 1 1 1½ 2nk 67 820 831 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00 82.30  
 
PEN-2   09/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:213 :453       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORGANIZED CHAOS 4 1 14 17   110 1 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.00 W
HOP TO A DECISION 5 5 4 411½   311½ 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 6.00 9.80 P
BROBRO CORMAN 3 3 35 3   210 310½ (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 2.50 13% 6.80 1.20 S
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 1 6 69 613   513½ 411¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A null   4.30  
MADISON COUNTY 2 4 5 512½   614 515¼ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00 9.90  
NEVER TOO MUCH 6 2 24 27   411½ 621¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 11% 7.80 14.20  
SCR  ITCHY PALMS               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTUCK 7 1 2nk 2½   1½ 11 (patterson kevi)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 21% 3.80 1.00 W
MY DEVILS CHILD 6 3 3 33   3 21 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.40 5.00 P
HERE WEGO 3 2 1nk 1½   2½ 3 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 22% 3.50 1.90 S
DIAMOND SETTER 2 4 6 58   4 4 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 40.20  
TORAZO 4 7 7 48   710 5 (o'callahan )VARGAS L 124 6.00 15% 5.60 20.00  
STONE SCULPTOR 1 6 46 6   610 6 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
BLUEGRASS POSSE 5 5 5 7   5 7 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 10.00 28.80  
SCR  STRAWBERRY RED               (mercedes pedr)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
 
PEN-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKES SHIRL 2 2 2nk 1nk   12 1 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 3.50 5.60  
PAPA TONY 4 5 5 5   43 2 (dimitriou e)WHITNEY G 122 4.00 7.40  
READY AND RICH 6 4 4¾ 41   5 32 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 52% 0.90 1.40 S
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 1 1 1nk 3½   3 4 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 7% 12.80 21.80  
BERHANU 3 3 3.2 2nk   22 5 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 2.00 1.10  
MR. SKITTLES 5 6 6 6   6 6 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 5% 19.00 42.10  
 
PEN-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TABBY 5 3 2 2   2 1 (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00 34% 2.00 0.40 W
LEAKY CAULDRON 4 2 43 3   3 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.50 3.20 P
EMPRESS DEONA 1 1 1 1   1 3 (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 6.60 S
CONFIRMED GENIUS 3 4 5 5   59 4 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 22.90  
SEEKING THE DREAM 2 5 3 4   4 510¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 32% 2.20 6.90  
SCR  MOONBOOTS               (morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 12.00    
 
PEN-6   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:133 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL STORY 3 4 5 54 53 5 1½ (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 2.50 20% 3.90 2.10 W
STREET LAMP 7 2 3 4 3 32 2½ (sillaman rich)GLASER LAURALEA 120 3.50 37% 1.70 2.70 P
LTL BEAR SALOON 2 1 2 2 2½ 2½ 3½ (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 10.80 10.40 S
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 5 3 1 1 1½ 1½ 4¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 30.00  
CHAIN REACTION 1 5 4 3 42 42 53 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 1.30  
COMBATING 4 7 65 7 6 6 64 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 10% 8.60 20.10  
HE CAME TRUE 6 6 7 64 7 7 7 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 37.90  
 
PEN-7   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:114 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS STRONG 4 5 32 31 2 2nk 1 (vera miguel)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 8.20  
PECAN PATTIE 1 6 6 6 55 34 2 (pattershal)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 5.60 P
CARTWHEEL 2 3 1½ 1½ 1 1nk 35 (ramirez silvi)RAMOS C 115 1.80 0.80 S
BARISTA VIXEN 6 4 53 41 3 4 4 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 26% 2.80 2.60  
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 5 2 4 5 44 5 511¼ (fields kevin)CORA D 122 10.00 10% 8.60 20.60  
PARANOIA 3 1 2½ 2½ 6 615½ 632¾ (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 26% 2.80 9.80  
 
PEN-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:381   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN ROSEMARY 2 4 4 32 11 1½ 1¼ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 15% 5.50 1.60 W
BONITA LASSIE 1 1 3 4 4 2½ 2¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.20 P
WILL TAKE ROSES 3 2 1nk 2½ 21 33 3 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 17.80 6.30 S
FAVORITE DOLL 5 5 5 53 5 4 4 (ferreira fernando)WHITNEY G 120 15.00 35.90  
KATY THE CAT 4 3 2nk 1½ 31 55 510 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 3.80  
SCR  BIRD TRAFFIC               (nichol kevi)VARGAS L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RELENTLESS RUBY               (riviezzo ralph )RIVERA D 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.