Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Aug31         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 15.00    
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 Jun10 Apr30 (synnefias)VARGAS L 118 4.00 ★    
3  RADIEUX Aug25 Jul29 Jun27 May20 Apr20 (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50 8% 11.70    
4  MASON MANIA Sep02 Aug03 Jul21 Mar25 Jan28 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
5  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May12 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
6  A T M AWESOME Sep07 Aug05 Jun15 May19 Apr28 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
7  CHARGING LION Aug31 Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  TOUGH TICKETS Aug20 Jul26 Jun25 May28 May01 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
PEN-2   09/15/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 2 ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ITCHY PALMS         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00    
2  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Jun11 May07       (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A null      
3  MADISON COUNTY Aug11         (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 118 8.00    
4  BROBRO CORMAN Jul28         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  ORGANIZED CHAOS Sep01 Jul27       (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  HOP TO A DECISION         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 6.00 ★    
7  NEVER TOO MUCH         (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE SCULPTOR Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 Jul07 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23   (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 117 15.00    
3  DIAMOND SETTER Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 Jan26 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
4  HERE WEGO Aug19 Jun29 Jun18 May30 May06 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  TORAZO Sep01 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May11 (o'callaha)VARGAS L 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  BLUEGRASS POSSE Aug31 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Feb15 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
7  MY DEVILS CHILD Aug24 Aug04 Jun10     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  STRAWBERRY RED Sep07 Aug24 Aug15 Apr20 Apr04 (mercedes pe)RAMOS C 117 8.00    
9  ATTUCK Aug10 Jul21 May07 Mar31 Mar05 (patterson ke)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Aug24 Jul06 Jun11 May20 Apr22 (moreno tito)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 7% 12.80    
2  SPIKES SHIRL Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 3.50 ★    
3  BERHANU Sep01 Jun26 Jun02 Apr22 Apr02 (flores-coba )ARROYO S 122 2.00 ★    
4  PAPA TONY Aug24 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun09 (dimitriou harry)WHITNEY G 122 4.00    
5  MR. SKITTLES Aug24         (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  READY AND RICH Aug26 Jul21 Jun15 May19 Apr06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPRESS DEONA Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Apr18 Apr12 (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  MOONBOOTS Aug29 Jun11 May16     (morgan carl)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 12.00    
3  SEEKING THE DREAM Aug25 Apr12 Mar09 Feb18   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
4  CONFIRMED GENIUS Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Feb28 Feb09 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 ★    
5  LEAKY CAULDRON Jun22 May13 Apr27 Mar18   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  GOLDEN TABBY Aug22 Jul13 Jun28 Jun03 May09 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
PEN-6   09/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAIN REACTION Aug25 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 Jun09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00 ★    
2  LTL BEAR SALOON Aug24 Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 May21 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 8% 10.80    
3  SOUL STORY Aug25 Aug03 Jul07 Jun11 May26 (albright )VARGAS L 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  COMBATING Aug24 Jan07       (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 10% 8.60    
5  MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Aug25 Aug03 Jun29 Jun02 May12 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
6  HE CAME TRUE Aug25 Aug17 Jul20 Jul08 Jun10 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
7  STREET LAMP Aug12 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-7   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PECAN PATTIE Aug31 Jun25 May20 Mar07 Feb09 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00 ★    
2  CARTWHEEL Aug24 Jun29 Jun06 May17 Apr22 (ramirez sil)RAMOS C 115 1.80 ★    
3  PARANOIA Aug31 Aug05 Jul27 Jul06 Jun11 (moreno-barban )CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
4  LOVE IS STRONG Aug10 Jul26 Jul10 Jun03 Apr28 (vera migu)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00    
5  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Aug24 Aug05 Jun15 May26 Apr28 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 10.00 10% 8.60    
6  BARISTA VIXEN Aug24 Aug04 May24 Apr22 Feb27 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RELENTLESS RUBY Sep06 Aug11 Jul19 Jul11 Jun09 (riviezzo ralp)RIVERA D 120 10.00    
2  BONITA LASSIE Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May24 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
3  QUEEN ROSEMARY Aug17 Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 May07 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 15% 5.50    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES Aug31 Aug03 Jul14 Jun29 Jun11 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 17.80    
5  KATY THE CAT Aug31 Jul29 Jul06 May20 May07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 ★    
6  FAVORITE DOLL Aug03 Jul14 Jun02 May19 Mar22 (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
SCR  BIRD TRAFFIC Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 Jun09 May26 (nichol ke)VARGAS L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.