Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LA CIENEGA 2 3 1½ 11   11½ 12¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00 26% 2.90 2.20 W
5  HEAVENLY HEART 5 5 52 51¾   21½ 22¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 6.00 ★ 15.70 P
1  NO EASY ANSWER 1 2 3½ 31   31½ 33½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 20% 4.10 2.00 S
6  OUR JESSICA JOAN 6 6 75 75¼   56 48½ (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★ 16.40  
7  DOWSER 7 7 64½ 64¼   66½ 511 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 118 6.00 7.30  
3  ECLIPTICALS SARAH 3 1 2½ 21   45½ 613¾ (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 42.50  
4  KNICKERSINATWIST 4 4 41 41½   78½ 714 (stites flin)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 30% 2.30 2.20  
 
PEN-2   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:214 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ANNAMATED MOON 5 5 53 31   12 13¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.80 W
6  YES IT'S ROO 6 3 32½ 41   32½ 23¼ (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 ★ 3.30 P
3  GRAB THE GOLD 3 1 2½ 1½   22 35¾ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.50 7.30  
1  NO FOOLING DUDE 1 2 1½ 2½   43 46 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 ★ 2.70  
4  KITTEN'S MAN 4 6 69½ 68   59 59¾ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★ 5.20  
2  BORSA VENTO 2 4 43 56   69 610¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 28% 2.60 13.80  
 
PEN-3   09/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:223 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SWEET AND MACHA 6 1 2nk 11   12½ 11¾ (salvaggio mark )LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 2.10  
6  FOREST HALO 4 6 65¼ 55   44 21¾ (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 51.90  
3  LAWN DART 2 4 43¼ 42   22½ 33¼ (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 50% 1.00 2.70 S
4  PAPI'S BABY GIRL 3 3 1nk 21   33 45¼ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 23% 3.30 4.10  
2  MY MASTERPIECE 1 2 3.2 31½   54½ 59 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 ★ 3.50  
9  LUCKY DAY DIVA 5 5 54¼ 65   68½ 615¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 4.60  
SCR  BALI               (rodriguez frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
SCR  DON'T MAKE ME BEG               (brooks e)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  LA DAME               (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 12.00    
SCR  SHE BROKE MY HEART               (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  ZIPPY JO               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RISQUE'S JEWEL 2 5 45 45½   45 12 (bouchard leslye)OCASIO M 120 3.50 11% 8.30 1.80 W
4  LIL H 4 2 34½ 34   34½ 22 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 9% 10.40 6.10 P
1  GRAPE THERAPY 1 3 2½ 1nk   14 32¼ (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 1.60 47% 1.10 1.00 S
3  BLEZNIATKA 3 1 68 69½   510 47½ (lovato patricia)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 29.10  
6  FALSE RULING 6 4 1½ 2nk   24 511¼ (martinez joseph)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 5.00 ★ 17.20  
5  SMOKE AND MIRRORS 5 6 55½ 56   613 619½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 6.00 ★ 6.70  
 
PEN-5   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WICKED IRISHMAN 1 1 1½ 2½   2nk 12 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 11% 8.40 0.60 W
3  ECLIPTICALS BEAR 2 3 2½ 1½   1nk 22 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 ★ 1.30 P
6  MISTER ARANGUIZ 3 2 35½ 36½   37 313½ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 ★ 4.70 S
SCR  ASK THE UMPIRE               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  BATTLE MAP               (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  RIXEY ROCKET               (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRA LAD 4 5 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 2.60  
7  ENFORCER 6 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2nk (pino v)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.30 P
6  SIR REX 5 6 31 32   33½ 32 (o'callahan )VARGAS L 122 10.00 ★ 12.50 S
3  KAZTHAROS 3 2 41 54   46½ 46½ (synnefias dimitr)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 14% 6.20 2.70  
2  DEBIT CARD 2 4 62 43   56½ 57¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6.70  
1  NORTHWOODS 1 3 51½ 66   610 612 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 ★ 22.80  
SCR  PAPA DON               (rideout anthon)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
PEN-7   09/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:132 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAR LADY 6 1 32 32½ 11 12½ 1¼ (iannotti iv)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.60 W
1  WICKED T 1 5 74¾ 75½ 66½ 33½ 2¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 5.00 13% 7.00 11.30 P
5  HELLO ROSIE SAY 5 7 64¼ 64 44 44½ 34¼ (arriagada juan)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 18% 4.70 1.40 S
7  MIKEY'S JEWEL 7 6 54 42½ 32½ 22½ 44½ (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 8% 11.30 40.90  
4  ARCTICA 4 2 2½ 2½ 21 58½ 514½ (flores l)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★ 6.50  
2  RIDGELYSREDHOT 2 3 42 53½ 56 613½ 616 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00 37.60  
3  SLEEPY N JOYFUL 3 4 1½ 1½ 78½ 737½ 786½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 2.70  
 
PEN-8   09/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:111 1:364   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CURLINGTON 3 6 56½ 4¾ 11½ 13½ 11½ (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 ★ 0.30  
7  VITESSE 6 5 66½ 63¼ 43½ 23½ 21½ (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 ★ 14.50 P
1  AMERICAN ROMA 1 1 43½ 52¼ 55½ 38 312¼ (riviezzo ralph)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00 13.10  
2  SO LONG CHUCK 2 2 33 2nk 31½ 49 416½ (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00 ★ 6.60  
5  JOJOMAR 4 3 1½ 1nk 21½ 59 516¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 31% 2.20 4.60  
6  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 5 4 2½ 3½ 66 613½ 623 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00 35.80  
SCR  MOTI               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.