Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - September 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO EASY ANSWER Sep01 Aug03 Jul07 Jun15 May26 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  LA CIENEGA Aug22 Jul14       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.00 26% 2.90    
3  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Jul28 Jul07       (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
4  KNICKERSINATWIST         (stites fl)RODRIGUEZ R 118 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  HEAVENLY HEART Aug24 Aug05 Jul14 Jun23   (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 6.00 ★    
6  OUR JESSICA JOAN Aug12 Jul14 Jul01 Jun14 May11 (houghton thomas)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
7  DOWSER Aug26 Aug02       (kreiser t)VARGAS L 118 6.00    
 
PEN-2   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO FOOLING DUDE Aug10 Jul19 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.50 ★    
2  BORSA VENTO Aug25 Aug03 Jul15 Jul05 Jun15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 28% 2.60    
3  GRAB THE GOLD Aug05 Jul21 Jul06 May20 Apr27 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 118 4.50    
4  KITTEN'S MAN Aug26 Jul21 Apr08 Mar04 Feb09 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 ★    
5  ANNAMATED MOON Aug24 Jul29 Jul07 Jun11 May11 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  YES IT'S ROO Aug26 Aug04 Jun09 May25 May05 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   09/16/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA DAME Aug22 Jun11 Mar08 Feb18 Feb03 (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 113 12.00    
2  MY MASTERPIECE Aug27 Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 May30 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 ★    
3  LAWN DART Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 (brooks ge)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
4  PAPI'S BABY GIRL Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 Jun11 May27 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  ZIPPY JO Sep01 Aug11 Jul14     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
6  FOREST HALO Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun18 May26 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00    
SCR  SHE BROKE MY HEART Aug04 Jul15 Jun26     (catalano l)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  BALI Aug11 Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Feb18 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
9  LUCKY DAY DIVA Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun30 Jun11 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
10  SWEET AND MACHA Aug12 Jul28 Jun24 Jun09 May26 (salvaggio mar)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00    
SCR  DON'T MAKE ME BEG Aug24 Aug08 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 (brooks e)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAPE THERAPY Aug25 Aug10 Jun06 May17 Apr26 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 1.60 47% 1.10    
2  RISQUE'S JEWEL Aug24 Aug12 Jul27 Jul19 Jul11 (bouchard lesl)OCASIO M 120 3.50 11% 8.30    
3  BLEZNIATKA Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun11 May12 (lovato patric)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
4  LIL H Sep02 Aug12 Jun24     (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 4.50 9% 10.40    
5  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 6.00 ★    
6  FALSE RULING Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 May05 Apr20 (martinez jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIXEY ROCKET Aug15 Jul20 Jun25 May26 Apr29 (morgan carl)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00    
2  WICKED IRISHMAN Aug31 Aug05 Jul01 Mar16   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 11% 8.40    
3  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Aug31 Jul28 Jul08 Jun29   (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  ASK THE UMPIRE Apr08         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  BATTLE MAP Jul29 May31 May11 Apr25 Feb27 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 ★    
6  MISTER ARANGUIZ Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   09/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHWOODS Aug31         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 ★    
2  DEBIT CARD         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
3  KAZTHAROS Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Apr22 Apr07 (synnefias dimi)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  TRA LAD         (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
SCR  PAPA DON Aug12 Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr29 (rideout anth)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 13% 6.70    
6  SIR REX         (o'callaha)VARGAS L 122 10.00 ★    
7  ENFORCER Jul19 Jul01 May02 Apr13 Mar16 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   09/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED T Sep08 Jul06 Jun22 Jun03 Apr21 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
2  RIDGELYSREDHOT Aug11 Jul06 Jun03 May20 Mar04 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
3  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 May07 Mar22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
4  ARCTICA Aug26 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 May19 (flores l)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★    
5  HELLO ROSIE SAY Sep03 Aug24 Jul01 Jun02 Apr06 (arriagada juan)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 18% 4.70    
6  CAR LADY Aug20 Aug06 Jul01 Jun02   (iannotti i)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  MIKEY'S JEWEL Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 Jun29 Jun06 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 8% 11.30    
 
PEN-8   09/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN ROMA Sep06 Aug11 Jul26 Jul19 Jul04 (riviezzo ral)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 6.00    
2  SO LONG CHUCK Sep02 Jul22       (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00 ★    
3  CURLINGTON Aug27 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 Jun22 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 ★    
SCR  MOTI Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
5  JOJOMAR Aug27 Jul29 Jul15 Jun22 Jun01 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
6  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jul06 Jun29 (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 30.00    
7  VITESSE Aug31 Jul27 Jun17 May11 Apr20 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.