The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Thursday - September 08, 2022

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PEN-1   09/08/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:222 :46       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DWELLER 3 4 3.2 1nk   1nk 1½ (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 49% 1.00 0.40 W
LA LENA 2 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 3.10 P
DENALI RAE 4 2 4 42   43(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 14.20 S
ONE TOUGH ROSE 1 3 2nk 3½   32 4(coletti j)NUNEZ Y 120 4.50 3.80  
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE               (rogers w)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ZIPPY JO               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   09/08/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:222 :464       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCLUDE THE BEAST 3 1 2½ 2½   1nk 1(garrido raul)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 10.00 9% 10.10 1.30 W
MINDING MILLIE 1 4 4 3   33 2(bennett juanita)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00 5.60  
PROPOSITION 2 2 1½ 1½   2nk 3(girten tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 64% 0.60 1.30 S
TRIXIE'S TIME 4 3 31 4   48 414¼ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 3.70  
SCR  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE               (spina charles)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60    
SCR  MUCHA MEZQUINA               (salvaggio v)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  MA DE TAW               (rogers w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  OLIVE KAT               (gorham e)MENA E 120 10.00    
SCR  CINQUE AMORE               (crook-demasi kathlee)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00    
 
PEN-3   09/08/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:231 :474 1:142 1:28   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEYONTHELINE 7 1 43 3½ 2nk 2½ 1¼ (dimitriou e)CORA D 122 12.00 12% 7.70 19.30 W
LA PAZ 5 2 2½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (smith r)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 27% 2.80 11.00 P
JEKYLL ISLAND 3 5 54 6 31 31 32 (stowers michelle)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 77.10  
10  HANFORD 8 7 77 7 5 41 4(bennett juanita)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 1.40 35% 1.90 0.50  
SKIMBLE SHANKS 6 8 8 8 6 53 53 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 12.00 47.10  
NO RHYTHM 2 4 3 5 7 66 6(graci a)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 10.00  
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 4 6 64 4 4 710 718¼ (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.60  
BRADITUDE 1 3 1½ 2½ 8 830 847¼ (rogers w)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 21.60  
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET               (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 30.00    
SCR  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN               (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
 
PEN-4   09/08/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:234 :474 1:131 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHER DRAMA 3 2 1 1 1 14 16 (o'callahan carl)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 2.50 26% 2.80 2.40 W
CREEDIBILITY 2 4 32 3 2 24 26 (brown r)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 6.00 6.40 P
WICKED T 5 5 57 5 5 59 3(bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.00 37% 1.70 6.00 S
SAME MOON 1 3 44 44 3 37 4(perez a)OCASIO M 120 1.80 10% 9.30 1.70  
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 4 1 2 2 4 47 5(zalalas michael)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 2.50  
 
PEN-5   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
:221 :461 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 2 2 2½ 1½   111 (graci a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 30% 2.30 0.70 W
DREAMERS REWARD 3 1 54 5   321 (graci a)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 26% 2.90 2.70 P
THAT'S MY BOI TOY 4 5 3 33   437 (jacavone j)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 5.00 8.50 S
VIBE SETTER 5 4 4 4   54(moreno-barban leandro)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.10 15.10  
MISTER GARY 1 3 1½ 2½   258 (carpio erin)VARGAS L 120 2.00 4.20  
 
PEN-6   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:221 :452 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERUVIAN BOY 1 5 31 3   31 1¼ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 1.30  
HASHTAG WINNING 5 6 6 43   42¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 11% 8.10 12.90 P
GENGHIS 3 2 2nk 2nk   2½ 3(flores-coba l)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.50 4.50 S
VOUCH 6 4 5 5   53 4(beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 59% 0.70 3.50  
EQUAL JUSTICE 2 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 52 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 4.60  
MR. PETE 4 3 43 6   65 6(sells rachel)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 6.20  
 
PEN-7   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
:222 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALENTED TAPPER 6 3 2nk 1   13 16 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 17.50  
CRIMSON LILLE 3 6 6 5   526 (deiter lynn)VARGAS L 117 8.00 16.50 P
AUTOMATED TELLER 1 5 5 6   45 36 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 1.20 41% 1.50 0.40 S
MISCHIEF MELODY 2 4 3½ 32   23 4(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 30.00 21.40  
HOPS PETUNIA 5 1 1nk 2   35 510¼ (martinez alexander)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 5.00 10% 8.70 10.00  
MILL STONE CREEK 4 2 4 44   66 611½ (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 24% 3.20 2.60  
 
PEN-8   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:22 :454 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH HOUSE 4 2 1½ 2½   2nk 1¼ (stites w)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.50 30% 2.30 1.60 W
CAPE COD SALLY 5 3 3½ 31   31 2¼ (kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 7.40 P
VANISHING FAITH 6 4 2½ 1½   1nk 31 (maymo alejandro)VARGAS L 120 5.00 5.70  
PARABLE 3 1 5 4   43 4(bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 8% 12.30 17.30  
LOVE THAT FACE 1 6 41 5   555 (dandy j)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 9% 9.80 4.00  
WELL SHES HANDSOME 2 5 6 611   616½ 626¼ (jones c)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 3.50 23% 3.40 2.20  
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN               (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 120 15.00    
SCR  PEARLBDANCING               (pattershall a)MELENDEZ Y 110 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.