Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - September 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TOUGH ROSE Jul29 Jul11       (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 4.50    
2  LA LENA Jun30 May11 Apr22 Apr03 Mar26 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.00 ★    
3  DWELLER Aug05 Apr27 Apr07 Feb22 Feb01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  ZIPPY JO Sep01 Aug11 Jul14     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 ★    
5  DENALI RAE Jul29 Jul06 Jun24 Jun11 May12 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 12.00 ★    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug11 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Jun05 (rogers ro)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.00 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-2   09/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 May30 May08 (spina charles)CONNER TYLER 120 1.60 ★    
2  MINDING MILLIE Aug19 Jul25 Jun30 Apr25 Mar08 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 8.00    
SCR  CINQUE AMORE Jul15 Jun15       (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 ★    
SCR  MUCHA MEZQUINA Aug19 Jul17 Jun30 Jun04 Apr23 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  MA DE TAW Aug30 Aug15 Jul17 Jun25 Jun19 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
6  PROPOSITION Aug15 Jul25 Jul04 Jun02   (girten ti)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 64% 0.60    
7  INCLUDE THE BEAST Jul28 Jul02 Jun11 Apr13   (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
8  TRIXIE'S TIME Jul27         (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  OLIVE KAT Aug11 Jul17 Jun22 May19 May06 (gorham michael )MENA E 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   09/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADITUDE Aug18 Jul27 Jul13     (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 ★    
2  NO RHYTHM Aug18 Jul08       (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
3  JEKYLL ISLAND Aug18 Jul27 Jul15 Jun30 Jun17 (stowers miche)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
SCR  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Jul28 Jun11 May26     (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Aug25 Jul28 Jun28 May26 Mar23 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
6  LA PAZ Aug18         (smith thomas )LEAHEY HANNAH 115 5.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET Aug21         (colgan a)CHIAPPE R 124 30.00    
8  SKIMBLE SHANKS Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 122 12.00    
9  MONEYONTHELINE Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 May26 (dimitriou e)CORA D 122 12.00 12% 7.70    
10  HANFORD Jul25 Jul15 Jun16 May26   (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-4   09/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAME MOON Aug26 Jul29 Jul13 Jun27 Jun06 (perez ruperto)OCASIO M 120 1.80 10% 9.30    
2  CREEDIBILITY Aug30 Aug12 Jul27 Jul11 Jun25 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 ★    
3  TEACHER DRAMA Aug12 Jul29 Jul20 Jun24 Jun15 (o'callahan ca)LEAHEY HANNAH 117 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Aug31 Jul28 Mar02 Feb16 Feb01 (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 ★    
5  WICKED T Jul06 Jun22 Jun03 Apr21 Mar22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-5   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER GARY Aug24 Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr22 (carpio er)VARGAS L 120 2.00 ★    
2  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Aug24 Aug10 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
3  DREAMERS REWARD Aug18 Aug03 Jul08 Jun09 May13 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Jun01 Apr27 (jacavone john)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 5.00 ★    
5  VIBE SETTER Aug10 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 May18 (moreno-barban )CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-6   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERUVIAN BOY Aug18 Jul25 Jun30 Jun24 Feb27 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 ★    
2  EQUAL JUSTICE Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 May05 Mar16 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
3  GENGHIS Aug24 Aug03 Jul27 Jun26 Jun20 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.50 ★    
4  MR. PETE Aug05 Jun23 May22 May06 Apr24 (sells rachel)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 ★    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Aug18 Aug04 Jul06 Jun24 May26 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
6  VOUCH Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 3.50 59% 0.70    
 
PEN-7   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTOMATED TELLER Aug31 Aug10 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 1.20 41% 1.50    
2  MISCHIEF MELODY Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 Jun16   (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 30.00    
3  CRIMSON LILLE Aug31 Jul01 Jan10     (deiter kel)MELENDEZ MARIANO 117 8.00 ★    
4  MILL STONE CREEK Aug17 May12 Apr22     (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  HOPS PETUNIA Aug31 Aug03 Jul20 Jun15   (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 5.00 10% 8.70    
6  TALENTED TAPPER Aug31 Aug10 Jul08 Jun23 Mar29 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-8   09/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE THAT FACE Aug24 Aug02 Jul04 Jun05 Apr28 (dandy j)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  FALL CAMPAIGN Aug31 Aug20 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 120 15.00    
3  WELL SHES HANDSOME Aug14 Aug05       (jones car)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  PARABLE Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 Jul08 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 8% 12.30    
5  SOUTH HOUSE Aug25 Jul28 Jun24     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  PEARLBDANCING Aug25 Aug10 Jul25 Jun28 Jun15 (pattershal)MELENDEZ Y 110 10.00    
7  CAPE COD SALLY Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 Jun21 (kirby john )IGNACIO EDUVIEL 115 4.50 ★    
8  VANISHING FAITH Jul28 Jul05 Jun28 Jun15 May22 (maymo alejandro)BOWMAN ADAM 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.