The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - September 23, 2022

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PEN-1   09/23/2022 3300ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:213 :45       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLISHED GAL 1 1 5¾ 4   1nk 12 (mcmahon demelza)RODRIGUEZ R 115 4.50 14% 6.40 4.30 W
PAPI'S BABY GIRL 3 8 7 6   4¾ 22 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 9% 9.70 5.60 P
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 7 3 8 7   53(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 29% 2.40 2.20 S
MY MASTERPIECE 6 5 4¾ 2nk   2nk 4(flores-coba l)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00 7.50  
10  TRIXIE'S TIME 8 2 3.2 1nk   3.2 5(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 7.50  
TRUE HEIRESS 5 4 2nk 3   66(gazzier kristy)CORA D 118 6.00 27% 2.70 3.10  
ZIPPY JO 2 6 1nk 5   77(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 48.70  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 4 7 6 8   8818 (salvaggio jr)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 13.00  
SCR  ELITE SPEED               (johnston rob)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
SCR  SHOYYOOKH               (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 30.00    
 
PEN-2   09/23/2022 3300ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
:22 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHINTHENIGHT 1 6 8 8   61(salvaggio jr)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 24% 3.20 4.50 W
KING ECLIPTICAL 6 2 1½ 1½   12(stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 5% 19.00 6.20 P
GONE INZANE 2 8 6 6   53 32 (zalalas michael)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.10 S
MILITARY DRILL 7 3 2½ 3½   24(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 13% 6.70 8.80  
RAILMASTER 5 1 5 5   42 53 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 3.10  
NAUTICAL NATURE 3 5 7 7   74 6(o'hearn heather)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 6.90  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 4 7 42 4   87(borges israel)VARGAS L 120 15.00 29.70  
AMBLIN MAN 8 4 3½ 2½   32 8(taylor joseph)CORA D 120 12.00 13.60  
 
PEN-3   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:22 :46 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOUR GUARD 6 3 6 5   2nk 1(synnefias a)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 64% 0.60 2.50 W
I SEE THE STARS 1 5 32 31   1nk 2(graci a)CORA D 122 10.00 6.40  
SPIN CYCLE 7 4 5 63   53(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 4.10 S
KUDURO 2 7 7 85   64(kreiser c)VARGAS L 122 12.00 24.80  
STONE SCULPTOR 5 9 910 99   85(bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 24.00  
AGAINST THE ODDS 3 8 86 75   767 (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 4.00  
G DADDY 8 2 1nk 1½   37(graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 4.20  
WONDER IN 4 6 4 2½   42 8(beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 5.00 5% 17.50 9.90  
11  TENENCY 9 1 2nk 42   912¾ 925 (moreno-barban leandro)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 28.10  
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN               (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  DROSSELMOON               (rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/23/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
:232 :474 1:141 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOURINDENIAL 3 2 3 22 63 3½ 1¾ (nicholson w)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 2.00 6.10  
MEEMOO 1 4 44 6 4 2½ 2¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 16% 5.20 18.10 P
ARDEAN 6 3 2 32 1 1½ 3(bouchard leslye)PANAIJO JORGE 115 10.00 16% 5.10 14.50 DQ↓5
SIMPLE JUSTICE 4 6 55 4 53 54(mick r)BAKER J 120 3.00 13.40  
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY 5 5 6 5 32 41 5(flores-coba l)CASTILLO A 122 2.50 0.50  
ALDINA 2 1 1 12 2 668 (o'callahan carl)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.50 28% 2.60 3.50  
 
PEN-5   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
:224 :464 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE COD SALLY 6 1 12 12   11(kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 9% 9.80 2.30 W
FOLK HERO 1 2 22 3   35 2(graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 20% 4.00 0.70 P
TALENTED TAPPER 2 3 32 22   23(maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 6.70  
EMMA'S TOUCH 4 6 6 5   44(farro patricia)RIVERA D 122 12.00 18.40  
VALENTINA'S CUPID 5 4 55 6   510½ 513½ (albright r)CORA D 122 5.00 12.80  
PARABLE 3 5 4 45   611½ 620¾ (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 7% 13.60 12.70  
SCR  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE               (brooks e)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-6   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
:222 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINISE 4 7 6 54   41¼ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 34% 2.00 3.40 W
DENALI RAE 2 3 43 42   1nk 2¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00 39.00  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 3 6 7 7   63(ferreira fernando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 20.00 5% 19.00 33.40 S
SKY OF DREAMS 5 5 55 6   54(kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 23% 3.30 3.90  
ON ISLAND TIME 7 2 3 21   2nk 54 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 19% 4.40 1.10  
LA LENA 6 4 1nk 11   3½ 6(kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.50 4.40  
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 1 1 2nk 32   7710 (johnston rob)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 8.00 13.90  
 
PEN-7   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:22 :444 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) 2 4 1½ 1½   112 (pradenas h)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00 5.20  
WOLFINBARGER 1 6 43 3   222 (rathman elisha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 34.70 P
VENOMOUS STATE 3 2 2½ 2½   334 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 68% 0.50 1.60 S
JUMP SHOT 5 5 5 55   444 (lee r)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.00 1.70  
ROCKET BLAST 7 1 64 68   69 5(kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7.50  
HOORAY FOR HARVEY 6 7 78 7   76(bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00 50.70  
EQUAL JUSTICE 4 3 3 4   5712 (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 6.00  
 
PEN-8   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
:231 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO RUNKLE 6 4 55 31   1½ 1(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 26% 2.80 1.40 W
JUANDERFUL JUANITA 3 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 2(crook-demasi kathlee)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 14% 6.20 6.00 P
NUMERATOR 2 2 1nk 2nk   3312¼ (mcclellan c)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 4.30  
GOLD DOLL 4 1 3 46   411½ 421¼ (campbell jayson)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 21% 3.70 8.00  
RESPLENDENT IDEA 5 6 42 5   513½ 526 (albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00 15% 5.80 29.20  
ROSE VALLEY 1 5 6100 6100   6100 6100 (beattie m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 3.00  
MISCHIEF MELODY 7 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 10.80  
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA               (zalalas michael)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.