Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Friday - September 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   09/23/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLISHED GAL Sep01 Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 Jun04 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 14% 6.40    
ZIPPY JO Sep01 Aug11 Jul14     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
PAPI'S BABY GIRL Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 Jun11 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
LUCKY DAY DIVA Sep16 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 Jun30 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
TRUE HEIRESS Sep02 Jul27 Jul14 Jun09 Apr28 (gazzier kristy)CORA D 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
MY MASTERPIECE Sep16 Aug27 Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 (flores-coba fe)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 6.00    
SCR  SHOYYOOKH Aug31 Aug18       (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 30.00    
SCR  ELITE SPEED Aug11 Jul14       (johnston rob)WHITNEY G 120 15.00    
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Aug19 Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  TRIXIE'S TIME Sep17 Sep08 Jul27     (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   09/23/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASHINTHENIGHT Sep14 Aug31 Jul29 Jul20 Jun22 (salvaggio michael)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 24% 3.20    
GONE INZANE Sep06 Aug22 Jul29 Jul19 Jul06 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
NAUTICAL NATURE Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 (o'hearn heath)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Sep09 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 (borges israel)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
RAILMASTER Aug31 Jul21 Jul08 Jun30 Jun11 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (stites w)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
MILITARY DRILL Sep09 Aug25 Aug10 Jul29 Jul14 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
AMBLIN MAN Sep13 Sep07 Feb22     (taylor joseph)OCASIO M 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS Aug31 Aug04 Jul07 May12 Apr20 (graci a)CORA D 122 10.00    
KUDURO Aug31 Aug11 Jun03 May20 Apr22 (kreiser tim)VARGAS L 122 12.00    
SCR  DROSSELMOON Aug31 Jul22 Jun29 Jun10 May25 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Aug31 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
WONDER IN Aug18 Aug04 Jun22 May12 Apr21 (beattie d)WHITNEY G 122 5.00 5% 17.50    
STONE SCULPTOR Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul13 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
COLOUR GUARD Aug11 Jul13 Jun22 May21 May06 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
SPIN CYCLE Sep01 Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 Jun29 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
G DADDY Aug17 Jul22 Jun23 Jun01 May12 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00    
SCR  CALCULATED THINKIN Sep07 Aug18 Jul06 Jun15 May19 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
11  TENENCY Jul26 Jul12 Jun27     (moreno-barban l)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEEMOO Jun23 Jun09 May13 Apr22 Mar18 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
ALDINA Apr21 Jan26       (o'callahan carl)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
YOURINDENIAL Sep09 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 Jun13 (nicholson jun)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 2.00    
SIMPLE JUSTICE Aug19 Jul21 Jun15 Jun01 May13 (mick r)BAKER J 120 3.00    
BACKSTRETCHBEAUTY Aug18 Jul27 Jun11 May21 May05 (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 122 2.50    
ARDEAN Aug31 Aug02 Jun11 May25 May07 (bouchard lesly)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 10.00 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-5   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO Aug14 Jul23 Jul04 Jun05 May15 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
TALENTED TAPPER Sep08 Aug31 Aug10 Jul08 Jun23 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
PARABLE Sep08 Sep01 Aug25 Aug10 Jul14 (bobadilla f)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 15.00 7% 13.60    
EMMA'S TOUCH Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun15 (farro patricia)RIVERA D 122 12.00    
VALENTINA'S CUPID Aug25 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 May26 (albright r)CORA D 122 5.00    
CAPE COD SALLY Sep08 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (kirby t)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 4.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jul27 Jul04 Jun27 Jun14 May20 (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
PEN-6   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATRUWAITINGFOR Aug12 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 Jun11 (johnston ro)VARGAS L 118 8.00    
DENALI RAE Sep08 Jul29 Jul06 Jun24 Jun11 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Aug31 Aug12 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (ferreira fe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SINISE Jul06 Jun11 May20 Apr27 Apr06 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
SKY OF DREAMS Aug05 Jul01 Jun11 May27 May12 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
LA LENA Sep08 Jun30 May11 Apr22 Apr03 (kulp l)WHITNEY G 120 3.50    
ON ISLAND TIME Sep01 Jul28 Jul07 Jun15 May25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
PEN-7   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFINBARGER Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun01 May11 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
ROCK AND FELLERS (ARG) Sep10 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 May28 (pradenas sergio)KARAMANOS A 122 4.00    
VENOMOUS STATE Sep14 Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 May19 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
EQUAL JUSTICE Sep08 Jul29 Jun30 Jun03 May05 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
JUMP SHOT Aug29 Aug02 Jun26 Jun14 May02 (lee haleem)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.00    
HOORAY FOR HARVEY Sep08 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jun25 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 20.00    
ROCKET BLAST Aug10 Jul15 Jul06 Jun10 May19 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-8   09/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE VALLEY Aug24         (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 2.50    
NUMERATOR Sep01 Jul14 Jun23     (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
JUANDERFUL JUANITA         (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 14% 6.20    
GOLD DOLL         (campbell jayson)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  WIN FOR LAILA Aug17 Aug05 Jul20     (zalalas michael)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
RESPLENDENT IDEA         (albright amy)CORA D 124 10.00 15% 5.80    
BO RUNKLE Aug24 Aug10       (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
MISCHIEF MELODY Sep08 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 Jun16 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.