The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Thursday - September 22, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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PEN-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:232 :471 1:13 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NORTHERN THUNDER 6 5 45½ 43 2nk 1nk 1nk (kulp l)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 W
9  FLAT OUT FLASHY 4 3 31½ 31 1nk 2nk 2nk (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 1.40  
10  CANTSTOPRUNNING 5 4 55¾ 55 54¼ 311 313 (soto- elliott)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 9.20  
1  ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 6 67¾ 66½ 66¾ 512 416½ (martin r)CORA D 120 50.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
6  LEAVE 'EM LOADED 2 2 1nk 2½ 44 411½ 518 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5.70  
7  BAVARIA 3 1 2nk 1½ 32½ 612½ 622½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 8.20  
SCR  BEACH TRAFFIC               (mcmahon demelza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
SCR  CLEVER FELLOW               (carrascojr victor)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  DREAMIN OF SEVILLE               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  PARLOR               (d'angelo francisco)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
 
PEN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
:234 :48 1:14 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEYBACKATCHA 4 5 3½ 2½ 1½ 12½ 19¼ (bennett juanita)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 3.30  
9  SOULSTONE 5 3 54½ 53½ 2½ 22½ 29¼ (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 3.20  
5  NATURE TRAIL 3 2 1nk 1½ 32 37 313¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 10% 8.70 0.80 S
2  VANILLA BEAN 2 1 41½ 41½ 48 419 433½ (hendriks mclane)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5.60  
1  LUCYS GIRL 1 4 2nk 31 519 533 561¼ (albright amy)VARGAS L 122 30.00 24.70  
SCR  MORE TO FOLLOW               (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
SCR  KAZACHAN               (carrascojr victor)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 7% 12.80    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman jr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 3.50 ★    
SCR  CUPID'S PRINCESS               (matz r)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIPPA               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE               (hendriks mclane)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00 56% 0.80    
 
PEN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COAST TO COAST 2 5 53½ 42½   3½ 1½ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 14% 6.20 11.30 W
5  KEIKO KRAHE 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.20 49% 1.00 0.05 P
8  MY MAGICAL MAN 6 3 3½ 2nk   1nk 3½ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 11% 7.80 10.80 S
1  SIR ROCKPORT 1 4 41 31   41 45¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.50 6% 17.00 9.60  
3  GEM JUAN 3 6 65½ 67   59½ 513 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00 43.70  
6  SOLAR ZEN 5 2 2½ 55   611½ 622¾ (moreno-barban leandro)VARGAS L 120 15.00 66.20  
SCR  AFLEET TRAXX               (miller a)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni p)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
:25 :484 1:13 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  O K GAME ON 3 4 41½ 2nk 12 13½ 14 (kreiser c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 58% 0.70 0.50 W
5  OPEN LENGTHS 5 5 52 52½ 54½ 35½ 24 (betancourt jr)PEREZ M 122 8.00 ★ 9.60 P
4  PEPE TONO 4 3 31½ 41 22 23½ 34½ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 ★ 5.30 S
1  DIGGERS DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 1nk 43½ 45½ 44¾ (geist w)BAKER J 122 3.50 ★ 5.00  
2  VISHNU 2 2 2½ 3½ 33½ 56 55½ (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 10.30  
6  TERRY'S CHARM 6 6 62¼ 64½ 610 613 618½ (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 14% 6.20 13.10  
 
PEN-5   09/22/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:49
:231 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRENTFORD 6 1 11½ 1nk   11 13 (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 2.00 60% 0.70 1.60 W
3  SIR SMOAK 2 2 21½ 2nk   21 23 (lingenfelter thomas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 ★ 8.50 P
1  FIERCE AND STRONG 1 5 63¾ 65¾   47½ 34 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 16% 5.30 3.30 S
4  SPELLED WELL 3 4 42½ 33   37 47 (mcclellan c)CORA D 118 8.00 11.70  
5  CHIEF FORTY 4 3 32½ 53¼   68 57¾ (albright r)CONNER TYLER 118 4.50 ★ 4.80  
6  STRAWBERRY TREAT 5 6 53½ 43¼   57½ 67¾ (zalalas michael)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 ★ 3.10  
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE               (albright r)VARGAS L 118 6.00    
 
PEN-6   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
:231 :464 1:122 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MEAN JOE BRO 6 4 31 21½ 2½ 15 17 (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 43% 1.30 0.30 W
1  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 1 6 54½ 55½ 45 36 27 (albright r)VARGAS L 122 8.00 ★ 11.50 P
4  RUN AWAY EMPIRE 4 3 1½ 11½ 1½ 25 37¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.20 25% 2.90 3.10 S
3  JEKYLL ISLAND 3 1 42½ 33½ 33 47 414¼ (stowers michelle)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 11% 8.30 8.10  
5  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 5 5 65 68 69½ 613 514¾ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 ★ 37.90  
2  JUST CHECKING IN 2 2 2½ 43½ 58 512 617 (cifarelli frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 40.20  
 
PEN-7   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:232 :471 1:123 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNCLE YUDI 5 1 2½ 2nk 12 15 17¼ (kreiser c)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.80 ★ 0.20  
3  PRATT 2 4 45½ 43 22 25 27¼ (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 14% 6.00 4.80 P
1  SWEEPIN HARD 1 5 57 54½ 55 48½ 313¼ (jacklin s)VARGAS L 120 6.00 ★ 6.50 S
4  VIBE SETTER 3 3 32½ 32½ 32½ 38 421 (moreno-barban leandro)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.30 16.40  
5  MISTER GARY 4 2 1½ 1nk 44 515½ 536¾ (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00 19.90  
SCR  GALILEE               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
:221 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BANKING ON BIZ 6 2 41 2½   1½ 14¾ (rathman elisha)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50 4.10  
6  DAKOTA OUTLAW 5 6 2½ 1½   2½ 24¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 22% 3.50 4.10 P
3  ACT OF VALOR 2 3 31 42½   34½ 37¾ (mick r)AGUILAR M 118 6.00 12.00  
2  RAVEN ROCKS 1 5 63½ 54½   55½ 48¼ (crook-demasi kathlee)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 28% 2.50 2.40  
4  GREY QUEST 3 4 52½ 32½   45 512¼ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 ★ 4.10  
5  THOROVER 4 7 74½ 65   613½ 624¾ (marquez cesareo)RAMOS C 113 15.00 10% 8.90 12.30  
8  E T'S DEUCES WILD 7 1 1½ 78   7100 7100 (chacon gustavo)VARGAS L 120 3.50 4.60  
SCR  ROYAL'S INVASION               (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.