Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NORTHERN THUNDER 6 5 4 43 2nk 1nk 1nk (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 W
FLAT OUT FLASHY 4 3 3 31 1nk 2nk 2nk (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 10.00 1.40  
10  CANTSTOPRUNNING 5 4 5 55 5 311 313 (soto- martine)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 9.20  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 6 6 6 6 512 416½ (martin r)CORA D 120 50.00 5% 19.00 34.20  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 2 2 1nk 2½ 44 411½ 518 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 5.70  
BAVARIA 3 1 2nk 1½ 3 612½ 622½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 8.20  
SCR  BEACH TRAFFIC               (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
SCR  CLEVER FELLOW               (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  DREAMIN OF SEVILLE               (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  PARLOR               (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
 
PEN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:14 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEYBACKATCHA 4 5 3½ 2½ 1½ 1 1 (bennett jua)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 3.30  
SOULSTONE 5 3 5 5 2½ 2 2 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 3.20  
NATURE TRAIL 3 2 1nk 1½ 32 37 313¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 10% 8.70 0.80 S
VANILLA BEAN 2 1 4 4 48 419 433½ (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5.60  
LUCYS GIRL 1 4 2nk 31 519 533 561¼ (albright am)VARGAS L 122 30.00 24.70  
SCR  MORE TO FOLLOW               (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
SCR  KAZACHAN               (carrascojr victor)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 7% 12.80    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 3.50    
SCR  CUPID'S PRINCESS               (matz michael )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIPPA               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE               (hendriks mcl)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00 56% 0.80    
 
PEN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COAST TO COAST 2 5 5 4   3½ 1½ (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 14% 6.20 11.30 W
KEIKO KRAHE 4 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.20 49% 1.00 0.05 P
MY MAGICAL MAN 6 3 3½ 2nk   1nk 3½ (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 11% 7.80 10.80 S
SIR ROCKPORT 1 4 41 31   41 4 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.50 6% 17.00 9.60  
GEM JUAN 3 6 6 67   5 513 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00 43.70  
SOLAR ZEN 5 2 2½ 55   611½ 622¾ (moreno-barb)VARGAS L 120 15.00 66.20  
SCR  AFLEET TRAXX               (miller a)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
SCR  PECOS BILL               (bartoni way)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O K GAME ON 3 4 4 2nk 12 1 14 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 58% 0.70 0.50 W
OPEN LENGTHS 5 5 52 5 5 3 24 (betancourt eli )PEREZ M 122 8.00 9.60 P
PEPE TONO 4 3 3 41 22 2 3 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 5.30 S
DIGGERS DIAMOND 1 1 1½ 1nk 4 4 4 (geist w)BAKER J 122 3.50 5.00  
VISHNU 2 2 2½ 3½ 3 56 5 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 10.30  
TERRY'S CHARM 6 6 6 6 610 613 618½ (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 14% 6.20 13.10  
 
PEN-5   09/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:231 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRENTFORD 6 1 1 1nk   11 13 (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 2.00 60% 0.70 1.60 W
SIR SMOAK 2 2 2 2nk   21 23 (lingenfelter th)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 8.50 P
FIERCE AND STRONG 1 5 6 6   4 34 (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 16% 5.30 3.30 S
SPELLED WELL 3 4 4 33   37 47 (mcclellan c)CORA D 118 8.00 11.70  
CHIEF FORTY 4 3 3 5   68 5 (albright george )CONNER TYLER 118 4.50 4.80  
STRAWBERRY TREAT 5 6 5 4   5 6 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 3.10  
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE               (albright ge)VARGAS L 118 6.00    
 
PEN-6   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:122 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEAN JOE BRO 6 4 31 2 2½ 15 17 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 43% 1.30 0.30 W
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 1 6 5 5 45 36 27 (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 8.00 11.50 P
RUN AWAY EMPIRE 4 3 1½ 1 1½ 25 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.20 25% 2.90 3.10 S
JEKYLL ISLAND 3 1 4 3 33 47 414¼ (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 11% 8.30 8.10  
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 5 5 65 68 6 613 514¾ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 37.90  
JUST CHECKING IN 2 2 2½ 4 58 512 617 (cifarelli frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00 40.20  
 
PEN-7   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE YUDI 5 1 2½ 2nk 12 15 1 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.80 0.20  
PRATT 2 4 4 43 22 25 2 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 14% 6.00 4.80 P
SWEEPIN HARD 1 5 57 5 55 4 313¼ (jacklin the)VARGAS L 120 6.00 6.50 S
VIBE SETTER 3 3 3 3 3 38 421 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.30 16.40  
MISTER GARY 4 2 1½ 1nk 44 515½ 536¾ (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00 19.90  
SCR  GALILEE               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
See original race card.
:221 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANKING ON BIZ 6 2 41 2½   1½ 1 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50 4.10  
DAKOTA OUTLAW 5 6 2½ 1½   2½ 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 22% 3.50 4.10 P
ACT OF VALOR 2 3 31 4   3 3 (mick r)AGUILAR M 118 6.00 12.00  
RAVEN ROCKS 1 5 6 5   5 4 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 28% 2.50 2.40  
GREY QUEST 3 4 5 3   45 512¼ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 4.10  
THOROVER 4 7 7 65   613½ 624¾ (marquez cesar)RAMOS C 113 15.00 10% 8.90 12.30  
E T'S DEUCES WILD 7 1 1½ 78   7100 7100 (chacon gust)VARGAS L 120 3.50 4.60  
SCR  ROYAL'S INVASION               (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.