Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - September 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS FORGIVEN Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jun15 Mar29 (martin r)CORA D 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DREAMIN OF SEVILLE Aug30 Aug13 Jul20 Jun15   (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  PARLOR Sep01 Jun18 May27 May05 Apr02 (d'angelo jose)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.00    
SCR  CLEVER FELLOW Aug20 Jul27 Jul08 Jun15 Apr29 (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.40    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
BAVARIA Sep07 Aug10 Jul29 Jul13 Jun22 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00    
SCR  BEACH TRAFFIC Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 Jun17 May25 (mcmahon demelz)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
FLAT OUT FLASHY Sep07 Aug12 Jul28 Jul14 Jun22 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 10.00    
10  CANTSTOPRUNNING Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jun28 May25 (soto- martine)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
11  NORTHERN THUNDER Aug17 Jun30 May21 Apr28 Apr01 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-2   09/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCYS GIRL Aug26 Jul27 Jul14     (albright am)VARGAS L 122 30.00    
VANILLA BEAN Sep03         (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
SCR  CUPID'S PRINCESS Aug26         (matz michael )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 Jun10   (pregman)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 3.50    
NATURE TRAIL Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 Jun16   (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 10% 8.70    
HEYBACKATCHA Aug26 Jul28       (bennett jua)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE Aug31 Aug10       (hendriks mcl)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  MORE TO FOLLOW Sep01 Jul01       (salinas jose)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 30.00    
SOULSTONE Aug27 Aug15 Aug06 Jul20 Jun29 (maroun douglas)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
SCR  RIPPA Aug26 Jun15 Jun01     (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 50.00    
SCR  KAZACHAN Aug24 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 Apr23 (carrascojr victor)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50 7% 12.80    
 
PEN-3   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR ROCKPORT Sep01 Aug11 Jun03 May05 Apr08 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 4.50 6% 17.00    
COAST TO COAST Aug31 Aug11 Jul13 Jun10 May25 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
GEM JUAN Aug31 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun29 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 20.00    
SCR  PECOS BILL Aug31 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (bartoni way)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
KEIKO KRAHE Aug26 Jul27 Jun24 May27   (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.20 49% 1.00    
SOLAR ZEN Sep07 Jul27 Jul13 Jul04 Jun13 (moreno-barb)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
SCR  AFLEET TRAXX Aug31 Aug11 Jul15 Jun29 Jun16 (miller a)CONNER TYLER 120 15.00    
MY MAGICAL MAN Aug31 Aug04 Jun29 May27 May12 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 11% 7.80    
 
PEN-4   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGGERS DIAMOND Sep07 Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 (geist w)BAKER J 122 3.50    
VISHNU Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
O K GAME ON Sep07 Jul10 Jun03 May21 Apr01 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.40 58% 0.70    
PEPE TONO Aug31 Aug11 Jul22 Jul14 Jun02 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00    
OPEN LENGTHS Sep06 Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 Jun07 (betancourt eli )PEREZ M 122 8.00    
TERRY'S CHARM Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun12 (geist w)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 8.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-5   09/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCE AND STRONG         (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  CERTAIN JUSTICE         (albright ge)VARGAS L 118 6.00    
SIR SMOAK         (lingenfelter th)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00    
SPELLED WELL         (mcclellan c)CORA D 118 8.00    
CHIEF FORTY Sep02         (albright george )CONNER TYLER 118 4.50    
STRAWBERRY TREAT         (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00    
BRENTFORD Sep02         (agnew naoise)TUNON JORDANO 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Sep07 Aug18 Aug04 Jul15 Jun16 (albright ge)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
JUST CHECKING IN Sep07 Aug18 Jul08 May29   (cifarelli frank)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 12.00    
JEKYLL ISLAND Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul15 Jun30 (stowers michell)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
RUN AWAY EMPIRE Sep07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul01 Jun01 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 1.20 25% 2.90    
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Jul28 Jun11 May26     (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
MEAN JOE BRO Jul01 May22 Apr30 Apr10 Mar25 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-7   09/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPIN HARD Aug17 Jun22 May27 Mar29 Feb23 (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
SCR  GALILEE Aug24 Aug10 Apr22 Mar16 Feb18 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
PRATT Jun22 May24 May07 Feb08 Jan19 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 14% 6.00    
VIBE SETTER Sep08 Aug10 Jul20 Jul05 Jun08 (moreno-barban le)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
MISTER GARY Sep08 Aug24 Jun23 Jun03 May13 (carpio erin)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 4.00    
UNCLE YUDI Sep02 Jul22 Jul07 Jun10 May20 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.80    
 
PEN-8   09/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROYAL'S INVASION Jul28 Jul15 Jun10 Jun01 Apr22 (cifarelli frank)WHITNEY G 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
RAVEN ROCKS Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 Feb05   (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
ACT OF VALOR Sep02 Aug18 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (mick r)AGUILAR M 118 6.00    
GREY QUEST Sep02 Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May11 (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00    
THOROVER Sep06 Aug04 Jul13 Jul04 Jun21 (marquez cesar)RAMOS C 113 15.00 10% 8.90    
DAKOTA OUTLAW Aug24         (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
BANKING ON BIZ Sep02 Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 May05 (rathman eli)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50    
E T'S DEUCES WILD Sep02 Aug01 Jul13 Jun13 Feb23 (chacon gust)VARGAS L 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.