Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   DD (3/5)-(3/1/2/5/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00  3-2 $30.80 $10.80 54%
MVR-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $11.20 $7.20 180%
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/1/3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  6-4 $192.20 $176.20 1101%
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/1/3/4)-(7/6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-1 $202.00 $190.00 1583%
    SFT (7/6)-(7/6/1/3/4)-(7/6/1/3/4)-(7/6/1/3/4) 48 $0.10 $4.80  6-4-1-3 $187.25 $182.45 3801%
MVR-8   WIN (6/7/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $27.20 $17.20 172%
    EXA (6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-7 $100.80 $60.80 152%
    TRI (6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-7-6 $61.55 $31.55 105%
    SFT (6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-7-6-2 $56.41 $44.41 370%
    DD (2/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/8/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-1 $43.40 $3.40 9%
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-7-1 $75.65 $45.65 152%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIGHT FIERCELY 3 7 57 43   21½ 11½ (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 48% 1.10 0.90 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MOON OVER MATTER by MALIBU MOON)
2  HITSVILLE 2 5 42½ 31½   42 21½ (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50 5.80  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
5  ABKER 5 6 21½ 21   32 32½ (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 25% 3.00 5.70 S
  (by OUTWORK out of SHEZGOODASITGETS by WIMBLEDON)
6  AURA OF GOLD 6 1 11½ 11   11½ 43¼ (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 122 4.00 ★ 6.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
7  BELL CURVE 8 3 78½ 611   514 521 (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 3.70  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BELLE'S HOME by CAME HOME)
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER 4 8 89½ 712   615 622¾ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00 55.40  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRES LINDA by MARQUETRY)
1  BATTLE OF ISSUS 1 4 32 510   715¼ 730¾ (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00 ★ 27.50  
  (by CIGAR STREET out of SAN DIMAS HIGH by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
1A  PERSIAN GATE 7 2 67 812   818¼ 834½ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 27.50  
  (by HIGH CONSTABLE out of OLYMPUS MONS by JAZIL)
 
MVR-2   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:222 :471       1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISS OVER THERE 2 3 33½ 33   3½ 1¾ (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.00 18% 4.40 3.50 W
7  ROMANTIC JEWEL 7 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 6.80  
1  LILAC LACE 1 5 54½ 54½   44½ 32¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 19% 4.20 2.20 S
3  GOLDEN LASSIE 3 2 1½ 1nk   1½ 43½ (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 21% 3.70 2.60  
5  PROUD MAID MARIAN 5 7 68½ 67½   67¾ 54¼ (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 10% 9.10 7.00  
6  READY TO PLAY 6 4 43½ 44   57½ 68½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 20.00 9% 9.70 8.60  
4  MIA PROMESSA 4 6 79½ 79   77¾ 710¾ (bird dann)CORREA L 126 15.00 14.20  
 
MVR-3   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:224 :47       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STARSHIP TAXI 4 3 4¼ 32   1nk 1¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00 14.70  
7  KHALFANI 7 6 3.2 21   2nk 2¼ (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.50  
5  BEACH FRONT 5 5 52¼ 53   41¾ 31¾ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.00 ★ 1.70 S
6  BIG TRIP 6 1 1nk 11   3.2 41¾ (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 17% 5.00 6.20  
3  FREE SPEECH 3 4 63¼ 66   66¼ 511½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 26% 2.80 2.60  
1  FOREST CHATTER 1 2 2nk 42   54¾ 612 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 34% 2.00 3.70  
2  TARTAN THE BULL 2 7 74¾ 76¼   79¼ 716¼ (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 ★ 17.30  
 
MVR-4   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:15 1:292   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NIGHT TIME RULER 6 2 32 2½ 13 15 16¼ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 27% 2.70 4.60 W
4  PRETTY LOUD 4 6 710¼ 77¼ 67 46½ 26¼ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 ★ 49.20 P
1  OLD FORTY FIVE 1 5 55¼ 42 33 25 36½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★ 6.80 S
3  SILVER MATT 3 7 45 52¼ 23 35 48¾ (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 ★ 5.80  
2  MR. COMMISH 2 1 2nk 32 56 59 511¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 35.00  
5  LEND AMERICA 5 4 67¾ 67¼ 78 710¾ 612 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 31.10  
7  THE COACHMAN 7 3 1nk 1½ 44 610½ 720 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 1.40 47% 1.10 0.40  
 
MVR-5   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:23 :471       1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOADED ONCE MORE 6 1 33½ 32   23½ 1½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★ 2.80  
2  PRINCESS HALIME 1 2 1½ 1½   13½ 2½ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 50% 1.00 1.30 P
8  WILLYMAR 8 5 63¾ 53   45½ 32¾ (rangel arnulf)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00 18.70  
7  WHOVILLE 7 6 43½ 42   35 44½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 ★ 5.60  
3  CASSIE'S RAINBOW 2 4 2½ 2½   56½ 56½ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 7% 14.10 18.90  
1  BLACK BUTTE 3 7 86¾ 86¾   79 67 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA 5 8 97¾ 76½   811 79½ (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 23.70  
9  BETTABE SWIFT 9 9 75¾ 65   68 89½ (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 33.00  
4  JILLY FROM JERSEY 4 3 53¾ 98¼   915 916¼ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 37.20  
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE               (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
 
MVR-6   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:254 :51 1:163 1:301   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SERVE REVENGE COLD 2 3 21½ 22 13½ 13½ 13 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 2.00 21% 3.80 1.00 W
6  BIG OHIO 6 2 57 53½ 34 23½ 23 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 45% 1.20 3.00 P
5  DEER CREEK ROAD 5 4 36 32½ 23½ 33½ 35½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 9.60  
1  STONE COLD CAT 1 5 46½ 43½ 67 47½ 46½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 ★ 3.50  
3  SAMMY DA BULL 3 6 68 63¾ 56½ 59½ 56¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 7% 12.80 5.40  
4  PLATE IT UP 4 1 11½ 12 46½ 613 615¼ (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 ★ 43.20  
 
MVR-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:261 1:161 1:292     1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TO WIN 6 1 52¼ 41¼ 31½ 2½ 13¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 2.00 28% 2.50 0.60 W
2  WEEKENDER 2 4 31 2nk 2½ 3½ 23¼ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.00 36% 1.80 5.40 P
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 1 3 11 1nk 1½ 1½ 35 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 9% 10.00 3.00 S
5  MANGA MAN 5 7 72¾ 72½ 55 55½ 48¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
3  GONE IN A FLASH 3 5 21 3.2 45 44½ 59½ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 15.10  
4  MONSTER HUNTER 4 6 42 52¼ 65¼ 65¾ 613¾ (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 57.20  
8  BLUE MONARCH 7 2 62¾ 62¼ 78¼ 712¾ 721½ (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00 55.70  
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO PLAYER 1 3 13 3½   1nk 12¾ (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 11% 8.30 12.60 W
7  HIP HIP HOORAY 5 4 45 2nk   2nk 22¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 11% 8.10 0.50 P
6  GARRETT 4 6 56 43½   45½ 34½ (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 39% 1.50 6.80 S
2  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE 2 2 66¼ 57½   57 44¾ (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.50 30.90  
8  MUTINY 6 1 23 1nk   3½ 55½ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 3.50 8% 11.00 2.90  
5  PATIO PARTY 3 5 35 67¾   611 613½ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 10.00  
SCR  SOUTHERN WILL               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE KEVIN               (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.