Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - January 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/7/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/1/2/5/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/1/2/5/6)-(1/3/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/1/2/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/5/6)-(3/1/2/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/5/6)-(3/1/2/5/6)-(3/1/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/2/5/6)-(1/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/5/6)-(1/3/6)-(7/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5/2)-(1/3/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(7/6)-(2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/1/3/4)-(7/6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(2/1/3)-(6/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/7/6)-(2/1/3/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/2/3)-(2/7/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3/1/4)-(6/2/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/7/1/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2)-(6/7/1/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BATTLE OF ISSUS Dec30 Nov21       (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 117 15.00 ★    
  (by CIGAR STREET out of SAN DIMAS HIGH by MISTER PHONE (ARG))
1A  PERSIAN GATE Dec04 Nov21       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by HIGH CONSTABLE out of OLYMPUS MONS by JAZIL)
2  HITSVILLE Sep21         (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
3  FIGHT FIERCELY Nov17 Sep30 Aug28 Jul22 Jun23 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 117 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MOON OVER MATTER by MALIBU MOON)
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER Nov21 Nov08 Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of TRES LINDA by MARQUETRY)
5  ABKER         (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SHEZGOODASITGETS by WIMBLEDON)
6  AURA OF GOLD Dec30 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Sep25 (madrigal rodr)BRACHO A 122 4.00 ★    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
7  BELL CURVE         (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BELLE'S HOME by CAME HOME)
 
MVR-2   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILAC LACE Dec28 Dec20 Jun28 Jun11 May25 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.80 19% 4.20    
2  MISS OVER THERE Jan03 Dec08 Oct03 Sep07 Aug24 (mann)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 3.00 18% 4.40    
3  GOLDEN LASSIE Dec28 Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Jul12 (clouston edw)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.00 21% 3.70    
4  MIA PROMESSA Dec11 Nov29 Nov15     (bird dann)CORREA L 126 15.00    
5  PROUD MAID MARIAN Dec28 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct04 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 10% 9.10    
6  READY TO PLAY Oct23 Oct12 Sep20 Aug28 Aug15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 20.00 9% 9.70    
7  ROMANTIC JEWEL         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00    
 
MVR-3   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST CHATTER Jul20 Jun27 May25 May10 Apr27 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  TARTAN THE BULL Aug29 Jul27 Jul12 Jun01 May04 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 ★    
3  FREE SPEECH Dec08 Oct04 Aug30 Jul28 Jun25 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  STARSHIP TAXI Dec27 Dec08 Nov13 Oct17 Sep28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
5  BEACH FRONT Dec27 Dec08 May25 May09 Apr25 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.00 ★    
6  BIG TRIP Dec15 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 17% 5.00    
7  KHALFANI Nov22 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep22 (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
 
MVR-4   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD FORTY FIVE Dec13 Nov30 Oct30 Oct18 Sep27 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 ★    
2  MR. COMMISH Dec19 Oct21 Oct11 Sep19 Sep06 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
3  SILVER MATT Dec28 Dec19 Oct22 Sep24 Sep10 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 ★    
4  PRETTY LOUD Dec20 Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Nov09 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00 ★    
5  LEND AMERICA Dec20 Dec03 Nov19 Nov03 Oct22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
6  NIGHT TIME RULER Jul05 Jun22 May31 May12 Apr28 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  THE COACHMAN Dec19 Dec04 Aug20 Jul15 Jun26 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 1.40 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-5   01/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK BUTTE Dec30 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct23 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Jan02 Dec07 Nov14 Nov01 Oct13 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
2  PRINCESS HALIME Dec22 Dec07 Nov17 Nov02 Oct24 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  CASSIE'S RAINBOW Jan02 Dec06 Nov30 Oct17 Oct11 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
4  JILLY FROM JERSEY Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Sep01 Aug15 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
5  PRINCESS CONSUELA Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 Nov11 Oct16 (sanche)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  LOADED ONCE MORE Jan02 Nov22 Nov09 Oct30 Oct03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 ★    
7  WHOVILLE Jan02 Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct22 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.50 ★    
8  WILLYMAR Dec22 Dec14 Nov28 Nov15 Oct24 (rangel arnulf)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 20.00    
9  BETTABE SWIFT Jan02 Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 Nov06 (robilla)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONE COLD CAT Dec21 Dec06 Nov10 Nov03 Oct04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 ★    
2  SERVE REVENGE COLD Dec12 Nov22 Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
3  SAMMY DA BULL Dec12 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep21 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 7% 12.80    
4  PLATE IT UP Dec30 Dec21 Dec12 Dec01 Nov22 (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 ★    
5  DEER CREEK ROAD Dec21 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep29 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
6  BIG OHIO Dec21 Dec06 Nov19 Oct29 Oct10 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-7   01/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Dec06 Nov01 Oct13 Sep13 Jul27 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 9% 10.00    
2  WEEKENDER Dec21 Dec01 Aug23 Jul21 Jun28 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  GONE IN A FLASH Dec29 Nov12 Oct10 Sep06 Jun25 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
4  MONSTER HUNTER Dec21 Nov28 Nov12 Oct24 Sep15 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
5  MANGA MAN Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 Sep22 Sep06 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOUGS MORNING PICK Dec12 Nov10 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 ★    
7  TO WIN Dec29 Dec14 Nov29 Feb15 Jan14 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
8  BLUE MONARCH Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct10 Sep29 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   01/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OHIO PLAYER Nov19 Oct29 Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  KINGOFTHEBUCKEYE Dec12 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep06 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN WILL Dec06 Nov13 Oct03 Aug17 Jul28 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00    
SCR  UNCLE KEVIN Dec28 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
5  PATIO PARTY Dec20 Dec03 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  GARRETT Dec12 Nov23 Jun06 May17 Apr28 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 39% 1.50    
7  HIP HIP HOORAY Dec29 Nov29 Oct29 Jun03 May06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 11% 8.10    
8  MUTINY Dec20 Nov29 Nov07 Oct14 Oct03 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 3.50 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.