Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:424   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT CRITIC 4 4 5 32 1 12 18 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 29% 2.40 1.40 W
SEMI CHARMED DAY 5 1 33 53 4 22 28 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 124 10.00 19.30  
SCORSESE 3 3 2 2 2 3 311 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 13% 6.60 2.70 S
LEXATOGA 7 7 65 6 6 55 411 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 2.60  
KING OF THE RING 2 6 43 4 5 4 511½ (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 6% 16.80 17.40  
RED PIXIE 1 5 7 78 710 76 611¾ (connelly teresa)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00 15.40  
VALEROSO 6 2 1 1 34 65 718 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 23% 3.30 8.40  
 
MVR-2   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:143 1:281   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALLROOM BLITZ 1 3 34 45 2½ 11 13 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.30 1.20 W
STARSHIP MACYS 5 6 2 21 1½ 21 23 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 2.50 53% 0.90 2.90 P
FLAXEN 3 5 45 35 4 4 3 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 3.10 S
BOURBON BUNS 6 2 67 610½ 57 5 410¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00 12.10  
HIGH HEAVEN 4 1 1 11 33 37 511 (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 16.30  
EARLY BLOOMER 2 4 5 5 67 612½ 617½ (barker sc)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 6.00  
 
MVR-3   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAW 3 5 1nk 3.2   1nk 1 (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 5.00 5.90  
D'MONEY HONEY 5 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 2 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70 P
BROTHER SKYE 6 1 4¼ 2nk   3.2 3 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5.60  
AUGER 4 3 6 4   4 4 (vickers r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 13.70  
BIG TRIP 1 4 2nk 5   5 55 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 3.00 42% 1.40 5.40  
AMERICAN UNION 2 6 5¾ 6   62 6 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 18% 4.70 1.30  
SCR  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA               (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:151 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ITSALLABOUTACTION 5 3 22 2 2nk 2nk 1 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 71% 0.40 1.10 W
CANDY ISLAND 1 1 12 1 1nk 1nk 2 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 1.30 P
ESTILO ELEGANTE 4 4 4 44 6 5 310 (morales m)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 14.90 S
SAVE THE FLAG 6 2 5 54 5 4 411¾ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 7.80  
ANGEL WINGS 2 6 6 6 34 37 516 (flores is)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 30.10  
PURDY PUMKIN 3 5 33 3 4 6 618¼ (dacosta jas)CORREA L 123 4.00 7.10  
SCR  ADMAA               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00    
 
MVR-5   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:013     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIONA 3 6 32 2   2 1¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 125 8.00 8% 12.20 1.70 W
HOPS PETUNIA 6 1 1½ 1   1 2¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00 4.60  
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 2 5 54 3   34 3 (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.70 S
SOULSTONE 1 7 6 59   49 410¾ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 125 3.50 4.20  
2B  UNTUTTABLE SPEED 5 2 2½ 4   513 528 (platt noah)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 33% 2.10 5.80  
1A  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT 7 4 42 610½   617½ 637 (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00 11.50  
FIRST WARDEN 4 3 7 7100   7100 7100 (platt noah)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 6.00 5.80  
SCR  FRANCIA (PER)               (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00    
SCR  I MATTER               (gorham m)BRACHO A 125 8.00    
SCR  JANES HOPE               (bird danny)CORREA L 125 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FRONTLINER 4 2 6 6   5 1 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 W
ASTRO JAK 6 3 31 2½   2nk 2 (vickers richa)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00 10.70  
PAT DADDY 1 4 5 4   31 3 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 7.70 S
MONTAUK COVE 2 1 11 1½   1nk 43 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 5.00 13% 6.60 1.80  
SILVER G T O 5 5 42 3½   4 5 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 7% 14.30 4.10  
CHASING VINNY 3 6 21 52   6 614¼ (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50 7.60  
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
MVR-7   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:153 1:443   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESCIENCE 2 4 610½ 611 67 21 1 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 53% 0.90 3.90 W
PRINCESS MORO 5 6 5 43 2 3 2 (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 2.60  
ORBIT BOUND 4 5 1nk 11 1 11 3 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 123 1.60 2.70 S
MOANA'S TALE 1 1 2nk 21 3 4 4 (dodge al)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 2.40  
MON PARADIS 3 2 4 5 44 5 5 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 11% 7.80 6.90  
PASATIME 6 3 31 3 55 610½ 627 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 15.70  
SCR  HALF LEGEND               (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-8   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SWEETS 6 1 2 11   1 13 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 7% 12.70 5.10 W
CHANEL SPIRIT 3 7 3 32   2 23 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 19% 4.30 2.40 P
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 8 5 7   5 310¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.40 S
EMERSON JONES 4 2 1 21   3 411 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 10.00 9.00  
HERE COMES DOLLY 9 3 8 5   4 512¼ (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 16.70  
SAVESOMEFORME 7 5 7 9   7 612¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50 6.50  
NO MORE MARGS 5 6 6 63   8 715¼ (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 6.40  
MISS BUMBUM 8 4 4 42   67 816 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00 64.00  
BONNIE'S BEST 1 9 910¾ 8   9 923½ (fletcher je)HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.