Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:143 1:424   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GIANT CRITIC 4 4 53½ 32 12½ 12 18 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 29% 2.40 1.40 W
5  SEMI CHARMED DAY 5 1 33 53 44½ 22 28 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 10.00 19.30  
3  SCORSESE 3 3 21½ 21½ 22½ 33½ 311 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 13% 6.60 2.70 S
7  LEXATOGA 7 7 65 66½ 68½ 55 411 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 ★ 2.60  
2  KING OF THE RING 2 6 43 42½ 56½ 44½ 511½ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 6% 16.80 17.40  
1  RED PIXIE 1 5 75½ 78 710 76 611¾ (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00 15.40  
6  VALEROSO 6 2 11½ 11½ 34 65 718 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 23% 3.30 8.40  
 
MVR-2   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:143 1:281   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLROOM BLITZ 1 3 34 45 2½ 11 13 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.30 1.20 W
5  STARSHIP MACYS 5 6 21½ 21 1½ 21 23 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 2.50 53% 0.90 2.90 P
3  FLAXEN 3 5 45 35 44½ 47½ 39½ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 ★ 3.10 S
6  BOURBON BUNS 6 2 67 610½ 57 58½ 410¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00 12.10  
4  HIGH HEAVEN 4 1 11½ 11 33 37 511 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 ★ 16.30  
2  EARLY BLOOMER 2 4 56½ 57½ 67 612½ 617½ (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 ★ 6.00  
 
MVR-3   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:001     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CLAW 3 5 1nk 3.2   1nk 11¼ (barnes a)DIAZ I 124 5.00 ★ 5.90  
6  D'MONEY HONEY 5 2 3.2 1nk   2nk 21¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 5.00 2.70 P
7  BROTHER SKYE 6 1 4¼ 2nk   3.2 31¼ (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5.60  
5  AUGER 4 3 62¾ 41¾   41¾ 44¼ (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★ 13.70  
1  BIG TRIP 1 4 2nk 52¼   51¾ 55 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 3.00 42% 1.40 5.40  
2  AMERICAN UNION 2 6 5¾ 62¾   62 65¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 18% 4.70 1.30  
SCR  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA               (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:151 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ITSALLABOUTACTION 5 3 22 21½ 2nk 2nk 11¾ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 71% 0.40 1.10 W
2  CANDY ISLAND 1 1 12 11½ 1nk 1nk 21¾ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 ★ 1.30 P
5  ESTILO ELEGANTE 4 4 44½ 44 68¾ 57¼ 310 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★ 14.90 S
6  SAVE THE FLAG 6 2 55½ 54 58½ 47¼ 411¾ (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 ★ 7.80  
3  ANGEL WINGS 2 6 67½ 64½ 34 37 516 (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 30.10  
4  PURDY PUMKIN 3 5 33 32½ 47½ 67½ 618¼ (dacosta j)CORREA L 123 4.00 ★ 7.10  
SCR  ADMAA               (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00    
 
MVR-5   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:013     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FIONA 3 6 32 22½   23½ 1¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 125 8.00 8% 12.20 1.70 W
7  HOPS PETUNIA 6 1 1½ 12½   13½ 2¼ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00 4.60  
5  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 2 5 54 35½   34 34¼ (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 125 2.00 37% 1.70 2.70 S
3  SOULSTONE 1 7 64¼ 59   49 410¾ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 3.50 4.20  
2B  UNTUTTABLE SPEED 5 2 2½ 48½   513 528 (platt noah)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 33% 2.10 5.80  
1A  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT 7 4 42 610½   617½ 637 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00 11.50  
2  FIRST WARDEN 4 3 74¼ 7100   7100 7100 (platt noah)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 6.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  FRANCIA (PER)               (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00 ★    
SCR  I MATTER               (gorham robert)BRACHO A 125 8.00 ★    
SCR  JANES HOPE               (bird dann)CORREA L 125 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FRONTLINER 4 2 63¾ 62½   51¾ 11¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 56% 0.80 1.70 W
7  ASTRO JAK 6 3 31 2½   2nk 21¼ (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00 10.70  
3  PAT DADDY 1 4 52¼ 41½   31 31½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 ★ 7.70 S
4  MONTAUK COVE 2 1 11 1½   1nk 43 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 5.00 13% 6.60 1.80  
6  SILVER G T O 5 5 42 3½   41½ 53½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 7% 14.30 4.10  
5  CHASING VINNY 3 6 21 52   64¾ 614¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50 7.60  
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT               (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
MVR-7   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:153 1:443   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PRESCIENCE 2 4 610½ 611 67 21 11¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 53% 0.90 3.90 W
5  PRINCESS MORO 5 6 54½ 43 21½ 31½ 21¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 2.60  
4  ORBIT BOUND 4 5 1nk 11 11½ 11 33¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 1.60 ★ 2.70 S
1  MOANA'S TALE 1 1 2nk 21 32½ 41½ 47½ (dodge )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 ★ 2.40  
3  MON PARADIS 3 2 43½ 53½ 44 53½ 59½ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 11% 7.80 6.90  
7  PASATIME 6 3 31 31½ 55 610½ 627 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 15.70  
SCR  HALF LEGEND               (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-8   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HELLO SWEETS 6 1 21½ 11   13½ 13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 7% 12.70 5.10 W
3  CHANEL SPIRIT 3 7 32½ 32   23½ 23 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 19% 4.30 2.40 P
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 8 52¾ 73¼   56½ 310¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.00 50% 1.00 2.40 S
4  EMERSON JONES 4 2 11½ 21   34½ 411 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 10.00 9.00  
9  HERE COMES DOLLY 9 3 86¾ 52½   46½ 512¼ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 16.70  
7  SAVESOMEFORME 7 5 75¾ 93½   77¼ 612¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50 ★ 6.50  
5  NO MORE MARGS 5 6 64¼ 63   87¼ 715¼ (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 6.40  
8  MISS BUMBUM 8 4 42½ 42   67 816 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00 64.00  
1  BONNIE'S BEST 1 9 910¾ 83¼   97¾ 923½ (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.