Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED PIXIE Nov10 Oct26 Oct18 Oct10 Apr15 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 116 8.00    
2  KING OF THE RING Dec03 Aug08 Jun08 May25 Apr15 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 10.00 6% 16.80    
3  SCORSESE Nov19 Oct24 Aug31 Aug02 Jul07 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 4.00 13% 6.60    
4  GIANT CRITIC Dec02 Nov04 Sep22 Sep05 Aug05 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
5  SEMI CHARMED DAY Oct27 Sep25 Aug27 Aug20 Aug08 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
6  VALEROSO Nov30 Oct27 Sep13 Jul31 Jun28 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
7  LEXATOGA Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 Sep29 Aug17 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALLROOM BLITZ Nov15 Oct29 Sep27 Aug13 Jul15 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  EARLY BLOOMER Nov12 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul12 (barker )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 ★    
3  FLAXEN Nov30 Nov10 Oct18 Oct04 Aug15 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00 ★    
4  HIGH HEAVEN Nov30 Nov22 Nov10 Nov01 Oct19 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 6.00 ★    
5  STARSHIP MACYS Nov15 Oct13 Sep29 Sep13 Sep05 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  BOURBON BUNS Nov30 Nov10 Oct24 Sep29 Sep06 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 5.00    
 
MVR-3   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TRIP Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 (brown t)BRACHO A 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
2  AMERICAN UNION Nov22 Oct22 Sep14 Aug24 Aug06 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 1.60 18% 4.70    
3  CLAW Nov22 Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 (barnes a)STANLEY O 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 Jun20 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
5  AUGER Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 Sep26 Aug22 (vickers)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★    
6  D'MONEY HONEY Nov27 Nov08 Oct24 Oct07 Sep27 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
7  BROTHER SKYE Dec07 Nov09 Oct23 Oct05 Sep26 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ITSALLABOUTACTION Oct23 Sep19 May24 Apr13 Mar16 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 2.00 71% 0.40    
SCR  ADMAA Oct31 Oct04 Jul08 Jun08   (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00    
2  CANDY ISLAND Nov21 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 Jul10 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 2.50 ★    
3  ANGEL WINGS Nov16 Oct31 Jul25 Jul07 Jun13 (flores )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00    
4  PURDY PUMKIN Dec01 Nov14 Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 (dacosta j)CORREA L 123 4.00 ★    
5  ESTILO ELEGANTE Sep27 Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 ★    
6  SAVE THE FLAG Dec01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep23 Aug29 (zook w)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 ★    
 
MVR-5   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT Nov28 Aug30 Aug01     (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00    
SCR  FRANCIA (PER) Jul27 Jun18       (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 4.00 ★    
2  FIRST WARDEN         (platt noah)TAPARA BRANDON 125 6.00 ★    
2B  UNTUTTABLE SPEED Nov16 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug11 (platt noah)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00 33% 2.10    
3  SOULSTONE Nov30 Nov18 Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 3.50    
SCR  JANES HOPE Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 Apr09 (bird dann)CORREA L 125 20.00    
5  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Oct11 Sep07       (hamm timothy)PEREZ E 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  FIONA Nov16 Oct17 Sep30     (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 125 8.00 8% 12.20    
7  HOPS PETUNIA Nov28 Nov16 Nov02 Oct26 Oct11 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 125 8.00    
SCR  I MATTER Nov23 Oct27 Sep19 Aug23 Jul18 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 125 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FRONTLINER Nov28 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep23 Aug24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
SCR  BACK ALLEY CAT Dec11 Nov28 Nov02 Oct24 Sep04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 ★    
3  PAT DADDY Nov28 Nov08 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 ★    
4  MONTAUK COVE Nov08 Sep15 Aug22 Jul14 Jun27 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
5  CHASING VINNY Oct16 Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.50    
6  SILVER G T O Dec06 Nov13 Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 7% 14.30    
7  ASTRO JAK Dec05 Nov09 Oct22 May25 Apr25 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOANA'S TALE Dec05 Nov22 Nov08 Aug29 Aug09 (dodge )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 ★    
2  PRESCIENCE Nov15 Oct29 Oct12 Sep22 Jun27 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  MON PARADIS Nov30 Nov02 Oct23 Oct10 Sep28 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
4  ORBIT BOUND Dec01 Nov15 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 1.60 ★    
5  PRINCESS MORO Dec05 Nov15 Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
SCR  HALF LEGEND Dec05 Nov15 Nov08 Oct26 Oct13 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 11% 7.80    
7  PASATIME Dec05 Nov15 Oct13 Sep26 Sep13 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
 
MVR-8   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE'S BEST         (fletcher )HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05   (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  CHANEL SPIRIT Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 Aug24 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  EMERSON JONES Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 Sep01 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
5  NO MORE MARGS Dec01         (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
6  HELLO SWEETS Nov15         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00 7% 12.70    
7  SAVESOMEFORME Dec01 Oct05 Sep01     (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50 ★    
8  MISS BUMBUM Nov15 Oct31       (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 20.00    
9  HERE COMES DOLLY Dec01 Nov15 Oct10 Sep12 Aug24 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.