Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - November 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:134 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYRDEK 4 4 3 3 3 1½ 1 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 26% 2.80 8.20 W
BREEZY MONEY 5 2 2 2 11 2½ 2 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 2.00 P
FAT DADDY 7 3 4 46 43 34 312 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.50 19% 4.10 2.30 S
YOUVESAIDITALL 6 7 57 58 56 5 413¾ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 27% 2.70 3.20  
SHELL FIRE 2 5 6 68 6 67 515½ (bailey ri)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 39.70  
MAGICAL EXPRESS 3 1 1 1 21 4 623 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5.10  
HONKY TONK HERO 1 6 7 711½ 712½ 714 728¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 16.70  
 
MVR-2   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:223 :462 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIRATE RICK 1 4 11 12   1 14 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 15% 5.60 0.60 W
NAUGHTY PRINCE 7 1 56 4   2 24 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 50% 1.00 2.40 P
GALACTIC 4 2 21 22   3 311 (mcdonald james)HALDAR J 124 10.00 32.60 S
TRAGICALLY QUEWICK 3 5 4 3   4 411¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 8.00 13.80  
HENRY MAC 5 3 66 7   610 514¾ (west w)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 10.20  
RIVERBOAT GAMBLER 6 7 78 54   711 617¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 11% 7.80 8.70  
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH 2 6 3 6   58 717½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 23.90  
 
MVR-3   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCHANTEDLY 7 7 4 2nk   2½ 1¾ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 12% 7.20 3.60 W
FAST GISELLE 8 1 3.2 1nk   1½ 2¾ (galindo-torres)HALDAR J 124 2.00 42% 1.40 0.40 P
SOLDAT TEMPTATION 4 2 6 5   5 3 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 7% 13.40 10.30 S
DONNARUMMA 6 8 8 711¼   611¼ 412½ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 10% 8.70 8.40  
CURIOSITY KILLS 3 4 2nk 4   3 516 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 26.50  
HOPS PETUNIA 2 5 1nk 32   4 621½ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 33.70  
TEST YOUR FAITH 5 3 7 813¼   715¼ 724¾ (campbell anthon)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00 53.00  
SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT 1 6 5 610¾   816¼ 839¼ (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 15.00 50.50  
 
MVR-4   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:151 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S CRAFTY 6 6 7 7 7 4 1 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 2.50 1.90  
WINDY LU WHO 2 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 1nk 2 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 123 6.00 7.10 P
AUNT BEE 1 7 5 52 3 2nk 3 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 36% 1.70 1.40 S
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 7 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 3.2 4 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 5.00 22% 3.50 13.50  
MOBIL LADY 3 2 4 6 4 5 511 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.60  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 4 5 6 4 6 6 614½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 15% 5.70 6.50  
1A  CALI DREAM 5 3 3 31 5 7 717½ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 6.50  
 
MVR-5   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ZARNETT 1 8 5 5¾   31 1¼ (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 4.00 2.90  
REINVESTEDINTEREST 8 2 22 2½   1nk 2¼ (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 18% 4.50 1.00 P
KONTAR 3 5 6 7   5 3 (schuster robin)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 5.10 S
KID RUSSELL 4 1 12 1½   2nk 4 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 3.50 59% 0.70 7.00  
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 2 6 32 4¾   42 5 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 126 10.00 16.80  
ONE CRAZY RIDE 7 7 8 6   65 613 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00 36.10  
THE MAN CAN 5 4 4 3½   76 715 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 15.20  
NAMBITI 6 3 7 8   812 819¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 10.00 23.70  
SCR  JOES A ROCKIN               (inirio carlos)STANLEY O 126 6.00    
 
MVR-6   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEVERLY PARK 7 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 11 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 42% 1.40 0.70 W
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 4 2 4¼ 2nk   1nk 21 (shifflett cheryl)AYALA ISAIAS 124 5.00 6.00 P
1A  FRONTLINER 8 1 6 4¼   33 3 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 10% 9.40 3.80 S
MIAMI CHROME 1 6 3.2 5   6 47 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 6.00 20.70  
BANYAN BREEZE 3 7 7 74   4 5 (tasso mark)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00 35.70  
FLAT FUN 2 8 8 8   7 6 (dillion jimmy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 4.00 19% 4.30 4.40  
PAT DADDY 5 5 5 6   8 710 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 9% 10.50 16.80  
ZELIG 6 4 1nk 3.2   5 810¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00 3.80  
 
MVR-7   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:01     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOBY DREW 3 4 3 2nk   1nk 1 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 7% 13.00 3.90 DQ↓2
KISSINGER 4 7 5 4   2nk 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 13% 6.70 6.20 W
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 6 1 1nk 1nk   3½ 3 (zielinski richar)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 28% 2.50 2.20 S
WORTHY OPPONENT 7 2 42 3½   4 4 (miller arizon)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.50 28% 2.50 1.20  
BLUE MONARCH 2 5 64 6   5 510 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 17.90  
MONSTER HUNTER 1 6 7 7   6 610¼ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 15.00 39.40  
STREAKY 5 3 2nk 5   7 720½ (bennett robert)HALDAR J 124 15.00 20.20  
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER               (tumblin andrew)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODE'S ROSE 9 2 2½ 13   16 1 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 122 3.50 33% 2.00 1.90 W
1A  LADY ABRIL 8 3 32 46   26 2 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 122 8.00 7% 14.40 6.00 P
MARGARITA CINCO 5 6 65 3   47 312 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00 39.30  
10  LACY QUEEN 11 1 5 23   37 415 (salcedo ramon)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 39.70  
LADY FORTUNE 2 7 76 1010   6 515½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 8% 10.80 5.30  
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 6 11 1111 1111   912½ 615¾ (yoder d)AVILES YAN 117 8.00 6.00  
YOU NAME IT 1 5 4 6   58 716½ (gorham robe)CORREA L 122 4.50 10% 8.80 5.90  
COSTUME JEWELRY 10 8 108 8   711½ 816¾ (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 12.00 13.00  
SORORITY SISTER 4 10 97 7   812 918 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 20% 4.10 11.70  
SIREN CALL 3 9 86 98   1013 1021¼ (van denn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 5.40  
SPUN PRETTY 7 4 1½ 56   1115 1132¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 10.00 10.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.