Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONKY TONK HERO Oct27 Sep02 Aug24 Aug05 Jul12 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★    
2  SHELL FIRE Nov10 Oct24 Oct14 Oct05 Sep22 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
3  MAGICAL EXPRESS Nov09 Oct22 Sep29 Sep19 Aug31 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
4  DYRDEK Nov10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep19 Aug31 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
5  BREEZY MONEY Oct22 Jul27 Jul01 Jun08 May25 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 ★    
6  YOUVESAIDITALL Nov08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  FAT DADDY Nov10 Oct14 Sep27 Aug16 Jul14 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
MVR-2   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRATE RICK Nov12 Nov06 Feb10 Jan07   (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Nov09 Oct04 Sep16 Sep01 Aug01 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
3  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Nov09 Oct22 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 8.00    
4  GALACTIC Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 May18 May03 (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 124 10.00 ★    
5  HENRY MAC Oct29 Aug31 Jul18 Jun29 Jun03 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 ★    
6  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Nov09 Oct07 Aug28 Jul18 Jun19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 11% 7.80    
7  NAUGHTY PRINCE Nov09 Oct04 Sep15 Aug16 Jan12 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
MVR-3   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAPPHIRE MOONLIGHT Aug30 Aug01       (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 15.00 ★    
2  HOPS PETUNIA Nov16 Nov02 Oct26 Oct11 Sep08 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
3  CURIOSITY KILLS Nov09 Oct24       (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
4  SOLDAT TEMPTATION Nov09 Oct24 Oct10 Aug04 Jul18 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 126 4.00 7% 13.40    
5  TEST YOUR FAITH Nov16 Nov02 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (campbell anth)CEDILLO MAURO 119 20.00    
6  DONNARUMMA Nov07 Oct10 Sep05 Aug06 Jun05 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00 10% 8.70    
7  ENCHANTEDLY Mar24 Feb16       (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
8  FAST GISELLE         (galindo-torr)HALDAR J 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-4   11/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALLY OBSESSED Oct29 Sep20 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
1A  CALI DREAM Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 Jul21 Jul15 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50    
2  AUNT BEE Nov12 Oct22 Oct05 Aug25 Aug09 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 3.00 36% 1.70    
3  WINDY LU WHO Oct26 Oct04 May12 May02 Apr09 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 123 6.00 ★    
4  MOBIL LADY Nov12 Oct29 Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50 ★    
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 2.50    
6  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-5   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. ZARNETT Nov07 Oct10 Sep21 Aug22 Jun30 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 126 4.00 ★    
2  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Nov03 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug25 (calderon ivan)TOLEDO S 126 10.00    
SCR  JOES A ROCKIN Nov12 Nov03 Oct11 Sep26 Aug25 (inirio carlos)STANLEY O 126 6.00    
4  KONTAR Nov03 Oct12 Sep06 Aug13 Jul27 (schuster rob)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 ★    
5  KID RUSSELL Jun27 May30 Apr26 Apr16 Mar21 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 3.50 59% 0.70    
6  THE MAN CAN Nov03 Oct10 Sep22 Sep07 May23 (faulkner rodney )AVILES YAN 121 8.00 ★    
7  NAMBITI Nov03 Sep26 Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 10.00    
8  ONE CRAZY RIDE Nov03 Sep27 Aug06 Mar16 Feb22 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00    
9  REINVESTEDINTEREST Nov07 Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
MVR-6   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZELIG Nov07 Oct22 Oct12 Sep23 Aug09 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.00    
1A  FRONTLINER Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Sep01 Aug03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 10% 9.40    
2  MIAMI CHROME Nov15 Oct24 Oct11 Sep19 Aug24 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 6.00    
3  FLAT FUN Nov02 Oct10 Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 (dillion jim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  BANYAN BREEZE Oct24 Sep20 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 (tasso mark)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
5  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 Sep14 Aug22 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 124 5.00 ★    
6  PAT DADDY Nov08 Sep05 Aug15 Jul24 Jul14 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 9% 10.50    
7  BEVERLY PARK Nov19 Nov12 Nov03 Oct15 Sep21 (cash l)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-7   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONSTER HUNTER Nov12 Oct24 Sep15 Aug15 Jul28 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 15.00 ★    
2  BLUE MONARCH Nov10 Oct10 Sep29 Aug25 Jul28 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
3  SCOOBY DREW Sep21 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jun23 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 7% 13.00    
4  KISSINGER Nov10 Oct26 Oct14 Sep15 Aug30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
5  STREAKY Nov17 Aug30 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (bennett robe)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 (tumblin andr)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00    
7  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Nov10 Oct10 Aug30 Jun25 Jun08 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
8  WORTHY OPPONENT Nov12 Oct24 Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
MVR-8   11/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Nov12 Oct24 Aug12 Jul12 May26 (yoder d)AVILES YAN 117 8.00    
1A  LADY ABRIL Nov16 Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 Aug04 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 122 8.00 7% 14.40    
2  YOU NAME IT Nov12 Oct12 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 (gorham ro)CORREA L 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
3  LADY FORTUNE Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
4  SIREN CALL Nov12 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug30 (van de)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
5  SORORITY SISTER Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 Aug12 Jul13 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  MARGARITA CINCO Nov08 May26 May12 Apr26 Apr16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 12.00    
7  SPUN PRETTY Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 122 10.00    
8  BODE'S ROSE Oct26 Oct05 Sep07 Aug16   (anderson susa)BRACHO A 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
9  COSTUME JEWELRY Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 12.00    
10  LACY QUEEN Nov12 Nov03 Sep22 Sep06 Aug31 (salcedo ramon)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.