Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:152     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLIN LADY 5 1 1 1 1 1 110¾ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 12% 7.20 1.20 W
TALK DIRTY 4 5 32 2 2 2 210¾ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 2.80 P
DREAM TO WIN 2 3 4 64 6 5 311¼ (bookman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 39% 1.50 4.80 S
NATIVE VALLEY 6 4 5 5 44 4 412¼ (bird dann)CORREA L 123 4.50 3.80  
NATALIA'S TEMPLE 3 2 2 33 34 3 516¾ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 9% 10.50 17.70  
IT'S ALL CASH 1 6 6 4 55 69 617 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 10.30  
 
TDN-2   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOCOLATE RABBIT 3 5 21 2nk   12 1 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.00 22% 3.60 1.20 W
RED HOT POWER 4 1 11 1nk   22 2 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 1.40 P
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 2 4 6 6   5 3 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 19% 4.20 13.00 S
VOLUME OF TRUST 6 2 3 4   36 48 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 6.00 5.30  
SPLIT MY BRITCHES 5 3 5 5   6 510 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 10.00 48.30  
WESTERN HOPE 1 6 4 34   46 615½ (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 34% 2.00 7.90  
 
TDN-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GRAND ISLE 7 1 1nk 1   15 1 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 1.80 76% 0.30 0.20 W
NEED TO KNOW BASIS 1 4 4 44   46 2 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 1.80 0.20  
SWING STATE 6 3 3 2   25 311½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 15.00 26.70 S
ELECTION INTEGRITY 3 6 5 54   36 413 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 12.00 20.70  
GOOD MUSIC 2 5 65 6   58 513¾ (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 11.50  
ROUGE TU RICHES 5 2 2nk 33   6 622¼ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 4.30  
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN 4 7 735 7100   7100 7100 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50 10.40  
 
TDN-4   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO DIALED IN 2 2 1½ 2nk 1nk 1 1 (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50 2.20  
BEER CHASER 1 4 2½ 1nk 2nk 2 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70 1.20 P
LONGLIVEJUSTICE 6 6 31 31 3 33 3 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 19% 4.10 3.20 S
FALCONS FURY 5 5 6 63 5 4 410¼ (wilson davi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 38.60  
CANDY EXCHANGE 4 1 41 4 43 5 511½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 28.00  
OAKEN 3 3 5 52 6 612 621¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 2.00 20% 3.90 5.20  
 
TDN-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBEL POWER 4 3 2nk 1nk   11 1 (inirio carlos)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 6.00 7.20  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 2 6 5 3   33 2 (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 17.70  
SWEET CHELSEA 3 7 711 7   4 3 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 59.00 S
LARSA 1 4 1nk 2nk   21 4 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 51% 1.00 1.30  
ST PATTY'S SONG 7 1 42 6   5 5 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 2.50 10% 9.20 1.20  
QUEEN AIR 5 2 3 4   7 611¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 15% 5.70 6.00  
QUEEN OF THE TILES 6 5 63 5   6 712½ (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 50.70  
 
TDN-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S CURIOSITY 7 2 3.2 3.2   1nk 1nk (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00 4.80  
YOU ARE AWESOME 8 1 4 4   4¼ 2nk (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 21% 3.80 1.20 P
CLYDE PARK 1 6 7 7   6 3 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 12% 7.60 22.50 S
ALL STAR JUSTICE 5 5 5 5   5¾ 4 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 4.00  
KING VALERO 3 7 8 85   8 5 (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 15% 5.90 25.10  
ALFRED 6 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 6 (murillo r)CORREA L 119 4.50 8.30  
TARTAN THE BULL 2 4 2nk 1nk   3.2 7 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.30 4.60  
YO BERBS 4 8 62 6   7 8 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 10.00 21.40  
SCR  SOUL OF DISCRETION               (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUPER VALENTINE               (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
 
TDN-7   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:14 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYRDEK 6 1 2 1nk 11 15 19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 14% 6.20 13.10 W
YOUVESAIDITALL 3 5 7 6 64 6 29 (estvanko richar)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 5.50 P
GLENNWOOD 9 7 5 5¾ 21 25 310¾ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 10.00 2.20  
10  EXALTED JOY 10 8 8 4¾ 4 5 411½ (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 6.10  
ZALINSKY 4 9 9 83 7 4 514½ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50 10.90  
COSMIC TREASURE 1 4 33 3½ 53 7 617 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 123 3.50 59% 0.70 2.00  
MAN DOWN 5 6 65 9 9 810¼ 717½ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 62.10  
IMTHEPRINCE 2 10 1013¼ 10 10 1013¾ 819 (jones thoma)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 20.00 49.70  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 8 3 1 2nk 31 3 920½ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00 27.10  
THE DRAKE 7 2 4 7 8 912¼ 1021¼ (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 123 12.00 13.50  
 
TDN-8   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:24 :50 1:171 1:442   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 3 4 54 5 32 2nk 1½ (gorham ro)CORREA L 119 2.50 1.20  
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM 2 2 32 4 43 1nk 2½ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 10.00 3.60 P
ROCKY CHANNEL 5 5 4 31 2½ 3 3 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.00 65% 0.50 2.60 S
DANZA MAGIC 4 3 2 2nk 1½ 4 4 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 8% 10.80 4.50  
STATE OF GRACE 1 6 6 6 6 5 515¾ (feebeck h)PAUCAR E 119 4.50 11.80  
SMOKIN MARE EVANA 6 1 1 1nk 5 620½ 641½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 119 15.00 46.10  
SCR  OH EYE SEE               (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.