Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S ALL CASH Jun20         (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 ★    
2  DREAM TO WIN Jun13 May26 Jan14     (bookman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 39% 1.50    
3  NATALIA'S TEMPLE Jun28 Jun21 Jun13 May18 May04 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 9% 10.50    
4  TALK DIRTY Jun13 May26 May18 May04 Apr15 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 ★    
5  CHILLIN LADY Jun13 May21 Mar19 Mar06 Feb19 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 2.50 12% 7.20    
6  NATIVE VALLEY Jun20 Jun02 May21 Mar24 Feb14 (bird dann)CORREA L 123 4.50    
 
TDN-2   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN HOPE Feb14 Jan31 Jan15     (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jun28 Jun11 May26 May11 Apr15 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
3  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Jun23 Jun14 May26 Apr27   (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  RED HOT POWER Jul04 Jun11 May26 May11 Apr26 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.50 ★    
5  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Jun11 May07 Apr15 Apr04 Mar24 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 10.00 ★    
6  VOLUME OF TRUST Jun28 Jun11 May26     (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-3   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jun01         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 1.80    
1A  GRAND ISLE Jun29         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 1.80 76% 0.30    
2  GOOD MUSIC         (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.00 ★    
3  ELECTION INTEGRITY Jun29         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
4  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 3.50 ★    
5  ROUGE TU RICHES         (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 ★    
6  SWING STATE Jun29         (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 15.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEER CHASER Jun25 Jun08 May17 Apr02 Mar19 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
2  SO DIALED IN Jun25 Mar24 Mar07 Feb21   (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.50    
3  OAKEN Jun25 Jun03 May21 Apr12 Mar24 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  CANDY EXCHANGE Jun21         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 ★    
5  FALCONS FURY May20 Apr19       (wilson davi)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 ★    
6  LONGLIVEJUSTICE Jun25 May31 May18 May09 Apr27 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 19% 4.10    
 
TDN-5   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARSA May24 Mar26 Feb18 Jan22   (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
2  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Jun11 May17 May03 Apr11 Mar14 (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50    
3  SWEET CHELSEA Jun27 Jun01 May18 May03 Apr12 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 ★    
4  REBEL POWER Jun16         (inirio carlos)LOPEZ ALBERT 123 6.00 ★    
5  QUEEN AIR Jun14 Jun02 May18     (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
6  QUEEN OF THE TILES Jun11 May18 Mar18 Feb28 Jan15 (vazquez iv)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
7  ST PATTY'S SONG Jun27 Jun11 May18 May03 Mar18 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 2.50 10% 9.20    
 
TDN-6   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING VALERO May30 May11 Apr25 Apr09   (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 15% 5.90    
SCR  SUPER VALENTINE Jun27 May30       (genovese richa)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 ★    
2  CLYDE PARK Jun29         (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  TARTAN THE BULL Jun01 May04 Apr09 Mar23 Feb01 (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  YO BERBS Jun27 Jun11 May26 May10 Apr12 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  SOUL OF DISCRETION Jun27 Jun11 May30     (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALL STAR JUSTICE Jun21 Jun01       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
7  ALFRED Jun11 May06 Mar16 Mar01 Jan26 (murillo r)CORREA L 119 4.50    
8  CAT'S CURIOSITY Jun28 Jun08 May26 May16 Apr28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
9  YOU ARE AWESOME Jun27 Jun11 Jun02 Feb01 Jan24 (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
 
TDN-7   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMIC TREASURE Jun20 Jun11 May18 May03 Apr15 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 123 3.50 59% 0.70    
2  IMTHEPRINCE Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr27 Apr11 (jones )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
3  YOUVESAIDITALL May15 May05 Mar19 Feb24 Jan09 (estvanko richar)FELICIANO R 123 3.00 ★    
4  ZALINSKY Jun27 May25       (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.50 ★    
5  MAN DOWN Jun27 Jun11 May24 May09 Apr27 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
6  DYRDEK Jun27 May25       (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  THE DRAKE Jun30 Jun13 May21     (flores chris)KEISER CHELSEY 123 12.00    
8  UNCAPTURED PULSE Mar18 Mar05 Feb16 Jan26 Jan15 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 15.00    
9  GLENNWOOD Jun29 Jun11 May30 May12 Apr15 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
10  EXALTED JOY Jun30 Jun22 May21 Apr01 Feb23 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   07/12/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Jun22 Jun03 May24 Apr28 Apr16 (feebeck h)PAUCAR E 119 4.50    
2  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM May26 Apr26 Apr16     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 10.00 ★    
3  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ May26 May12 Apr26 Apr16 Apr05 (gorham ro)CORREA L 119 2.50 ★    
4  DANZA MAGIC Jun28 Jun13 May12 Apr16 Apr05 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 8% 10.80    
5  ROCKY CHANNEL Jun22 Jun03 May24 Apr28   (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  OH EYE SEE Jul05 Jun13       (maddox rac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 ★    
7  SMOKIN MARE EVANA Jun27 Jun11 Mar01 Feb21 Jan19 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.