Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHEZA HOOT 8 1 76 64¾   45½ 11¾ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 2.30  
6  AWESOME WONDER 6 2 21½ 1nk   12 21¾ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 ★ 6.70 P
2  SABELLE 1 5 11½ 2nk   22 32 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 22% 3.50 1.00 S
3  O K BABY 2 6 32½ 32   33 43¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 26% 2.90 5.40  
4  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 4 8 88 86¼   68½ 54¾ (flick julia)DIAZ I 119 10.00 6% 15.50 14.80  
5  PASATIME 5 4 53½ 42½   56½ 65¼ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00 10% 8.80 37.80  
1  TICKLISH 3 7 64½ 76¼   810 79 (urieta johanna)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.50 2.30  
7  MRS. ROBINSON 7 3 43½ 52¾   79½ 813 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00 12.60  
 
TDN-2   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:143     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED COMET 1 5 34½ 32 1nk 11 15½ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 2.50 61% 0.60 1.70 W
4  SWING STATE 3 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 21 25½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 5.00 6% 15.50 6.70 P
6  GOOD MUSIC 5 4 56½ 42 43½ 35 39¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00 ★ 1.30 S
5  CONTROLLER 4 3 46 53½ 57½ 57½ 412 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 8.00 6% 17.00 6.10  
3  ROUGE TU RICHES 2 1 1½ 1½ 33 46 514¾ (faulkner )CORREA L 118 4.50 ★ 5.10  
SCR  ELECTION INTEGRITY               (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ON HIS TOES 6 6 54 31½   2nk 11¼ (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 22% 3.50 1.00 W
5  FAITHFUL NOTION 4 3 32 41¾   1nk 21¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.50 23% 3.30 3.30 P
4  HE'S A BELIEVER 3 4 44 52¾   32½ 34¾ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 7.80  
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE 1 7 66 64¾   64¼ 49¼ (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 4.50 ★ 4.70  
8  SUNNY BEAST 7 2 2½ 2nk   42¾ 510 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 ★ 5.80  
3  RAMIRIN 2 5 76½ 76¾   76¾ 611 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 60.70  
6  HEY SACH 5 1 1½ 1nk   54¼ 719 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 19% 4.20 15.10  
SCR  KING T'CHALLA               (johnston rebec)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES 3 5 4¾ 3½   12½ 11¾ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 48% 1.10 1.40 W
4  MY DANCING QUEEN 4 3 51¼ 4¾   22½ 21¾ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 ★ 15.60 P
2  MISS ENCISO 2 2 1nk 1½   33 34½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 9% 10.30 21.90 S
1  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE 1 6 69¼ 610¾   58½ 44½ (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 10.00 10.60  
5  LOVERS AT MIDNIGHT 5 4 3½ 52¾   611 515 (bowerso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 20% 4.10 13.90  
6  KJOS KID 6 1 2nk 2½   47 619 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 ★ 0.70  
 
TDN-5   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CUE THE BAND 3 8 51½ 21   2nk 13 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40 W
5  BISCAYNE BAY 5 3 2nk 11   1nk 23 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 27% 2.80 6.30 P
2  SWEET EVY GRACE 2 6 72¼ 53   45½ 36¼ (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 ★ 1.40 S
7  J J'S FANCY 7 2 3½ 31   35 49 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 8% 11.90 7.50  
1  CRISTALINDA 1 7 62 65   57 59¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5.90  
4  BAY MAGIC 4 5 1nk 41½   67½ 619¼ (barton aman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 7% 12.70 20.40  
8  SWEET EMPIRE 8 1 82¼ 76   711½ 722¼ (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 14.90  
6  HIDDEN PRIDE 6 4 41 89½   817½ 832¼ (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 61.70  
 
TDN-6   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KING ANDRES 6 1 11½ 11½ 12 14 13½ (poole a)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 ★ 9.30  
4  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 4 3 21½ 21½ 22 24 23½ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 3.50 18% 4.70 3.10 P
3  AT THE BEACH 3 2 31½ 32½ 45½ 36 37 (radosevich jak)DIAZ I 119 2.00 ★ 1.30 S
2  K P SILVER BULLET 2 5 53 42½ 35 46 49 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 46% 1.20 2.20  
1  FLYING GUILLOTINE 1 4 42½ 53½ 57½ 59½ 512 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 4.00 10.30  
5  SKYLIME 5 6 65 64 69½ 613 613¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★ 14.10  
 
TDN-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MUSTANG WILLIE 2 5 54½ 41¾   42¼ 1¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 ★ 3.30  
1  JOES A ROCKIN 1 4 21½ 21½   22 2¾ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 11.70  
4  RIDGE WEST 4 2 11½ 11½   12 3¾ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 9.60 1.50 S
5  TRUST AND OBEY 5 3 43½ 31½   32 41½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
3  BOOT LEGGER 3 6 64½ 52¾   54¾ 53¼ (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 49% 1.10 1.90  
6  NAMBITI 6 1 32 65¾   69¾ 623 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.00 ★ 5.50  
 
TDN-8   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:151 1:434   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NOT A WILD BRAT 2 4 21 4¾ 42 1½ 1nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 33% 2.00 3.30 W
5  COWCHI 5 5 75 73¾ 75¼ 4¾ 2nk (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 110 4.50 28% 2.60 1.90 P
7  CRIMSON LEGION 7 9 99½ 910¾ 96¾ 3½ 31 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 10% 8.60 9.90 S
9  SURE FIRE READY 9 7 54 52¼ 52½ 51¼ 46½ (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9.30  
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 3 3 43½ 2½ 31½ 2½ 57 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 9.40  
6  STARLITESLEW 6 1 86 86¾ 86¼ 62¾ 67¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00 11.80  
1A  BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 8 65 63¾ 62¾ 72¾ 714 (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 115 12.00 3.40  
8  CHILLVILLE 8 6 32 3½ 21½ 95¾ 817¾ (lopez j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★ 16.30  
1  REBEL POWER 1 2 11 1½ 11½ 84¾ 922½ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 3.40  
SCR  I GOT HOPE               (pattah shahab )DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.