Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHEZA HOOT 8 1 76 6   4 1 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50 2.30  
AWESOME WONDER 6 2 2 1nk   12 2 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 6.70 P
SABELLE 1 5 1 2nk   22 32 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 22% 3.50 1.00 S
O K BABY 2 6 3 32   33 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 26% 2.90 5.40  
GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE 4 8 88 8   6 5 (flick julia)DIAZ I 119 10.00 6% 15.50 14.80  
PASATIME 5 4 5 4   5 6 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00 10% 8.80 37.80  
TICKLISH 3 7 6 7   810 79 (urieta johanna)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.50 2.30  
MRS. ROBINSON 7 3 4 5   7 813 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00 12.60  
 
TDN-2   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:143     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED COMET 1 5 3 32 1nk 11 1 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 2.50 61% 0.60 1.70 W
SWING STATE 3 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 21 2 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 5.00 6% 15.50 6.70 P
GOOD MUSIC 5 4 5 42 4 35 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00 1.30 S
CONTROLLER 4 3 46 5 5 5 412 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 8.00 6% 17.00 6.10  
ROUGE TU RICHES 2 1 1½ 1½ 33 46 514¾ (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 4.50 5.10  
SCR  ELECTION INTEGRITY               (mart)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON HIS TOES 6 6 54 3   2nk 1 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 22% 3.50 1.00 W
FAITHFUL NOTION 4 3 32 4   1nk 2 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.50 23% 3.30 3.30 P
HE'S A BELIEVER 3 4 44 5   3 3 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 7.80  
VALHALLA AIR BASE 1 7 66 6   6 4 (zielinski ric)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 4.50 4.70  
SUNNY BEAST 7 2 2½ 2nk   4 510 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 5.80  
RAMIRIN 2 5 7 7   7 611 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 60.70  
HEY SACH 5 1 1½ 1nk   5 719 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 19% 4.20 15.10  
SCR  KING T'CHALLA               (johnston rebecca)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES 3 5 4¾ 3½   1 1 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 48% 1.10 1.40 W
MY DANCING QUEEN 4 3 5 4¾   2 2 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 15.60 P
MISS ENCISO 2 2 1nk 1½   33 3 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 9% 10.30 21.90 S
COUNTESSOFLOVELACE 1 6 6 610¾   5 4 (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 119 10.00 10.60  
LOVERS AT MIDNIGHT 5 4 3½ 5   611 515 (bowersock)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 20% 4.10 13.90  
KJOS KID 6 1 2nk 2½   47 619 (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 0.70  
 
TDN-5   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUE THE BAND 3 8 5 21   2nk 13 (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40 W
BISCAYNE BAY 5 3 2nk 11   1nk 23 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 27% 2.80 6.30 P
SWEET EVY GRACE 2 6 7 53   4 3 (murillo-rodrigue)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 1.40 S
J J'S FANCY 7 2 3½ 31   35 49 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 8% 11.90 7.50  
CRISTALINDA 1 7 62 65   57 5 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5.90  
BAY MAGIC 4 5 1nk 4   6 619¼ (barton amanda)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 7% 12.70 20.40  
SWEET EMPIRE 8 1 8 76   711½ 722¼ (radcliff dona)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 14.90  
HIDDEN PRIDE 6 4 41 8   817½ 832¼ (gonzalez donac)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 61.70  
 
TDN-6   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:401   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ANDRES 6 1 1 1 12 14 1 (poole a)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 9.30  
PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 4 3 2 2 22 24 2 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 3.50 18% 4.70 3.10 P
AT THE BEACH 3 2 3 3 4 36 37 (radosevich jake )DIAZ I 119 2.00 1.30 S
K P SILVER BULLET 2 5 53 4 35 46 49 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 46% 1.20 2.20  
FLYING GUILLOTINE 1 4 4 5 5 5 512 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 4.00 10.30  
SKYLIME 5 6 65 64 6 613 613¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00 14.10  
 
TDN-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSTANG WILLIE 2 5 5 4   4 1¾ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 3.30  
JOES A ROCKIN 1 4 2 2   22 2¾ (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 11.70  
RIDGE WEST 4 2 1 1   12 3¾ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 9.60 1.50 S
TRUST AND OBEY 5 3 4 3   32 4 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 29.20  
BOOT LEGGER 3 6 6 5   5 5 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 49% 1.10 1.90  
NAMBITI 6 1 32 6   6 623 (cline robert )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.00 5.50  
 
TDN-8   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:151 1:434   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A WILD BRAT 2 4 21 4¾ 42 1½ 1nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 33% 2.00 3.30 W
COWCHI 5 5 75 7 7 4¾ 2nk (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 110 4.50 28% 2.60 1.90 P
CRIMSON LEGION 7 9 9 910¾ 9 3½ 31 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 10% 8.60 9.90 S
SURE FIRE READY 9 7 54 5 5 5 4 (richards m)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 9.30  
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 3 3 4 2½ 3 2½ 57 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 9.40  
STARLITESLEW 6 1 86 8 8 6 6 (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00 11.80  
1A  BEAUTIFUL LASS 4 8 65 6 6 7 714 (inirio carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 115 12.00 3.40  
CHILLVILLE 8 6 32 3½ 2 9 817¾ (lopez jac)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 16.30  
REBEL POWER 1 2 11 1½ 1 8 922½ (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 3.40  
SCR  I GOT HOPE               (pattah d)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.