Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKLISH Sep13 Aug22 Jun13 May17 Apr29 (urieta johanna)LOPEZ ALBERT 117 3.50    
1A  SHEZA HOOT Sep13 Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 Jul12 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.50    
2  SABELLE Sep13 Aug31 Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
3  O K BABY Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 Jun07   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
4  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE May06 Apr13 Mar24 Mar08 Jan01 (flick julia)DIAZ I 119 10.00 6% 15.50    
5  PASATIME Sep13 Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 12.00 10% 8.80    
6  AWESOME WONDER Sep06 Aug22 Aug10 Jul20 Apr26 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 ★    
7  MRS. ROBINSON Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jun02 May25 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   09/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELECTION INTEGRITY Aug03 Jul12 Jun29     (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50    
2  RED COMET Aug03         (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
3  ROUGE TU RICHES Sep06 Jul22 Jul12     (faulkner )CORREA L 118 4.50 ★    
4  SWING STATE Sep06 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 5.00 6% 15.50    
5  CONTROLLER Jul11         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 8.00 6% 17.00    
6  GOOD MUSIC Sep06 Aug03 Jul12     (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KING T'CHALLA Sep12 Aug20 May26 May12 Apr28 (johnston rebec)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE Jul02 Jun19 Jun12 May22 May05 (zielinski r)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 4.50 ★    
3  RAMIRIN Jul28 Jun18 Jun09 May26 Apr29 (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00    
4  HE'S A BELIEVER Sep08 Aug25 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
5  FAITHFUL NOTION Aug15 May11       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 3.50 23% 3.30    
6  HEY SACH Sep08 Aug25 Aug09 Jul03 Jun20 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  ON HIS TOES Sep15 Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  SUNNY BEAST Sep08 Aug25 Jul25 Jun29   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 ★    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Apr24 Apr17 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
2  MISS ENCISO Sep07 Aug04 Jul11 Jun25 Jun11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.00 9% 10.30    
3  DON'T TAPTHEBRAKES         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
4  MY DANCING QUEEN Sep07 Jul18 Jun25     (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 ★    
5  LOVERS AT MIDNIGHT Apr03 Mar20 Feb23 Feb09   (bowerso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  KJOS KID Sep07 Aug24 Jun05 Feb06   (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTALINDA Sep08 Aug29 Jun06 May16 Apr28 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
2  SWEET EVY GRACE Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 May26 (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 ★    
3  CUE THE BAND Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 May25 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BAY MAGIC Aug23 Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 Jun01 (barton aman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 7% 12.70    
5  BISCAYNE BAY Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
6  HIDDEN PRIDE Sep08 Aug29 Jun21 May24 May07 (gonzalez don)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00    
7  J J'S FANCY Sep08 Aug15 Jun28 Jun11 Apr28 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 8% 11.90    
8  SWEET EMPIRE Sep08 Aug29 Aug16 Jul21 Jul06 (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYING GUILLOTINE Sep08 Aug25 Jul28 Jun27 Jun07 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 4.00    
2  K P SILVER BULLET Sep13 Aug15 Jul20 Jul12 Jul03 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  AT THE BEACH Sep08 Aug15 Aug04 Jul14 Jun27 (radosevich jak)DIAZ I 119 2.00 ★    
4  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Aug06 Jun15 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 3.50 18% 4.70    
5  SKYLIME Sep08 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 May16 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★    
6  KING ANDRES Sep08 Aug25 Aug15 Jul14 Jun21 (poole a)AVILES YAN 114 10.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOES A ROCKIN Aug25 Jul26 Jul14 Jun14 May25 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
2  MUSTANG WILLIE Aug24 Aug13 Jul14 Jul06 Jun14 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 ★    
3  BOOT LEGGER Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul25 Jul07 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
4  RIDGE WEST Aug24 Aug09 Aug02 Jul13 Jun30 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 119 4.00 9% 9.60    
5  TRUST AND OBEY Sep12 Aug25 Aug16 Jul22 Jul12 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  NAMBITI Apr29 Apr06 Mar24 Feb26 Jan24 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 2.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   09/26/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBEL POWER Sep01 Aug15 Jul12 Jun16   (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00    
1A  BEAUTIFUL LASS Sep07 Aug02 Jun30 Jun10 May12 (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 115 12.00    
2  NOT A WILD BRAT Sep14 Aug13 Jul20 Jun08 Jan05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  I GOT HOPE Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 Jul11 Jun16 (pattah shahab )DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.90    
4  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  COWCHI Sep14 Aug15 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 110 4.50 28% 2.60    
6  STARLITESLEW Sep14 Aug30 Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 4.00    
7  CRIMSON LEGION Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jun27 Jun11 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 10% 8.60    
8  CHILLVILLE Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun29 (lopez j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★    
9  SURE FIRE READY Sep07 Aug22 Aug03 Jul18 Jun30 (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.