Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER 7 1 3 2nk   1½ 1nk (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00 26.10  
UNCLEJACKOMO 1 4 5 4   31 2nk (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 6.00 7.70 P
MUNQAD 3 6 4 5   43 32 (gotera c)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60 S
TEMPLE TITAN 4 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 4 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 34% 2.00 2.10  
ON HIS TOES 5 5 6 6   66 55 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00 7% 13.20 11.30  
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM 2 7 7 7   5 6 (schuster robi)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 5.00 10.10  
SHACK THE LIFE 6 2 2nk 3.2   76 715 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 18% 4.60 3.80  
 
TDN-2   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALBOYZEKE 1 3 1½ 11   13 12 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 9% 9.60 4.90 W
CORNER OFFICE 5 1 5 5   4 22 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 15% 5.60 2.10 P
NAUGHTY PRINCE 4 5 3 3   23 3 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 47% 1.10 0.80 S
REINVESTEDINTEREST 6 2 4 4   5 46 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 15.70  
1A  OFTEN ENOUGH 3 6 6 611   6 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00 19.10  
GOLDEN READY 2 4 2½ 21   3 6 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 6% 16.50 13.20  
SCR  FAHRENHEIT               (trevino stephe)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL BREW               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  JACK LUVS NOVA               (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LOTTIE 2 2 11 11   11 1 (dacosta jas)CORREA L 118 1.80 67% 0.50 0.30 W
SPARKLING JEWEL 3 3 42 21   21 2 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 9% 10.00 3.50 P
SERGER 1 6 32 31   35 3 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 8.00 8.20 S
NEAR PERFECT 5 4 6 6   47 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 122 5.00 21.60  
BROWNIE 6 5 53 5   57 5 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00 11.70  
1A  LADY JASPER 4 7 7 7   6 611 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.50 3.50  
RUBY LAYNE 7 1 21 4   712 728½ (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 30.80  
 
TDN-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS TURN 5 2 11 1   16 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.60 50% 1.00 0.70 W
SPICE ICE 1 6 44 3   36 2 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 4.00 4.20 P
TALE OF THE LYON 7 1 21 2   26 310½ (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 22% 3.50 2.20 S
AUGMENTING ASSETS 2 5 711 716½   519 420¾ (romero a)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 8% 12.10 30.60  
SIREN CALL 3 7 6 514½   416 521¾ (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00 13.70  
BIKINI SO TEENY 6 3 33 410½   619¼ 638¼ (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 38.20  
ALEXIS ROAD WEST 4 4 55 614½   725¼ 752¼ (bogart b)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 79.60  
 
TDN-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OL' L B 2 4 1½ 13   15 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 66% 0.50 0.30 W
WEST LEONARD 8 2 55 5   35 2 (johnson gar)CORREA L 119 5.00 23.80 P
1A  OHIO EAGLE 6 3 7 78   7 3 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 4.90 S
SPIN DOCTOR 3 8 6 67   6 410¾ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00 4.90  
DEER CREEK ROAD 7 6 89 89   811¼ 512¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00 76.90  
MA MOO POWER 1 7 4 45   5 613 (inirio carlo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 79.90  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 4 5 3 34   46 714¼ (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 11% 7.90 11.90  
OHIO MUNNY 5 1 2½ 23   25 815¼ (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 3.00 5.90  
 
TDN-6   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:214 :442 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYE AYE SIR 4 1 1nk 1   12 1½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 26% 2.80 3.90 W
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY 2 4 31 2   22 2½ (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 5.00 5.90  
LAZARUS PROJECT 5 6 6 5   4 3 (bailey ricar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 11.40 S
MONTAUK COVE 3 2 42 4   3 4 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 31% 2.20 2.20  
MORE THAN GOOD 6 5 5 6   6 5 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 22% 3.60 2.20  
LADY'S BOY 1 3 2nk 3   5 611¾ (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 4.30  
 
TDN-7   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMONA'S CHOICE 1 4 42 3   3.2 13 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 9% 9.90 21.90 W
AWESOMELY SHY 2 3 1½ 1½   1nk 23 (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.00 0.50 P
BOURBONWITHGINGER 5 1 2½ 2½   2nk 33 (tooley jennif)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50 28% 2.60 4.20 S
GRAY ROYALITY 3 5 5 43   4 45 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 27% 2.70 2.90  
CALTHA 4 2 3½ 55   5 515¾ (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 4.00 11.50  
SCR  SKY               (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:132 1:394   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S SMILE 5 3 4 42 4 3 1¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.00 39% 1.60 2.00 W
WORTHY OPPONENT 4 2 1nk 2nk 1nk 1 2¼ (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 5.80 P
WOLFINE 6 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 2 2¼ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 18% 4.50 1.60 P
PRECIOUS JULES 3 5 78 65 66 510½ 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 22.60  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 6 3 3½ 31 4 511½ (quartarolo anthon)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 17% 4.80 2.90  
KISSINGER 2 7 55 5 55 614½ 615 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 20.80  
MONSTER HUNTER 7 4 6 7 710 718½ 719¾ (faulkner c)VELEZ J 119 12.00 54.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.