Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Thursday - September 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLEJACKOMO Aug29 Aug18 Jul19 Jun29 Jun16 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Aug30 Aug17       (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
MUNQAD Jun24 May21 May07 Apr15 Mar27 (gotera juan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 21% 3.80    
TEMPLE TITAN Aug31 Aug15 May21     (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
ON HIS TOES Aug31 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 May30 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00 7% 13.20    
SHACK THE LIFE Aug31 Aug17 Jul19 Jun02 May21 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
MASTER Aug29 Aug18 Jun29 Jun16 May17 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 115 12.00    
 
TDN-2   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OFTEN ENOUGH Jun06 May31 May10 Apr27 Apr16 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
SCR  IMPERIAL BREW Aug29 Aug18 Jul19 May31 May17 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
CALBOYZEKE Aug17         (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 123 3.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  JACK LUVS NOVA Aug02         (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 15.00    
SCR  FAHRENHEIT Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 (trevino step)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00    
GOLDEN READY Aug29 Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 May30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
NAUGHTY PRINCE Aug16 Jan12       (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
CORNER OFFICE Aug18 Jun25 Jun03 May10 Apr25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.00 15% 5.60    
REINVESTEDINTEREST Aug16 Jul06 Jun16 Jun02 Jan05 (schuster robin)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING JEWEL Aug13 Jul08 May13     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 9% 10.00    
1A  LADY JASPER Aug13 Aug01 Jul08     (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 2.50    
SERGER Aug13 Jul07       (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
LADY LOTTIE Aug13 Jul08 Jun22     (dacosta j)CORREA L 118 1.80 67% 0.50    
NEAR PERFECT Aug31 Jul28 Jul05     (gorham robert )DIAZ I 122 5.00    
BROWNIE Sep01 Aug01 Jul07     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 4.00    
RUBY LAYNE Aug13 Jul05       (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
 
TDN-4   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICE ICE Aug13 Aug01       (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00    
AUGMENTING ASSETS Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 May30 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
SIREN CALL Aug30 Aug08 Jul19     (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 12.00    
ALEXIS ROAD WEST         (bogart robert)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
QUEENS TURN         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.60 50% 1.00    
BIKINI SO TEENY Aug13 Aug01       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
TALE OF THE LYON Aug13 Aug01 Jul05 May26 May12 (rini anthony)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
TDN-5   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN DOCTOR Sep05 Aug18 Aug04 Jul26 Jun30 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
1A  OHIO EAGLE Sep05 Aug02 Jul22 Jun30 Jun25 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
MA MOO POWER Aug13 Aug04 Jul13 Jun27 May24 (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
OL' L B Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 66% 0.50    
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 May18   (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 11% 7.90    
OHIO MUNNY Aug30 Aug18 Jul13 Jun08 May11 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 123 3.00    
DEER CREEK ROAD Aug29 Jul21 Feb15 Jan11   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00    
WEST LEONARD Aug30 Jul18 Jun30 Jun03 May23 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 5.00    
 
TDN-6   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY'S BOY Aug22 Aug02 Jun13 May25 Apr25 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50    
NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY Aug01 Jul13 Jun25 Apr20 Mar11 (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 5.00    
MONTAUK COVE Aug22 Jul14 Jun27 Jun13 May25 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 31% 2.20    
AYE AYE SIR Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul18 Jun25 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
LAZARUS PROJECT Sep05 Aug22 Aug04 Jul19 Jul04 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
MORE THAN GOOD Aug23 Aug06 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-7   09/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMONA'S CHOICE Aug31 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 9% 9.90    
AWESOMELY SHY Aug08 Jul04       (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.00    
GRAY ROYALITY Aug15 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 May23 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SKY Aug31 Aug09 Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
CALTHA Aug31 Jul11 May25     (gorham )PILARES P 119 4.00    
BOURBONWITHGINGER Aug31 Aug03 Jul11 May23 Apr15 (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-8   09/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLE STRIP RON Sep06 Aug25 Jul21 Jul14 Jun25 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 17% 4.80    
KISSINGER Aug30 May25 Apr25 Mar18 Feb18 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
PRECIOUS JULES Sep08 Aug09 Jul25 Jul07 Jun21 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
WORTHY OPPONENT Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 (miller arizona)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
WOLFINE Aug30 Aug13 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
MONSTER HUNTER Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 May25 Apr25 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.