Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY QUARTERS 3 4 11 1½   1 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 59% 0.70 0.90 W
JILLY FROM JERSEY 8 2 4 4   3 2¾ (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 10.10  
SHANNON'S GIRL 7 1 21 2½   2 3¾ (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 5.20 S
CHARGAREE 6 5 85 64   6 4 (sweeting craig)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30  
RUN AWESOME TIZ 5 3 3 3   5 5 (patterson kev)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 5.70  
GOLDEN TEMPLE 4 7 75 8   7 6 (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 12.00 14.80  
READY TO PLAY 2 6 53 5   44 7 (vazquez ivan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 26.30  
ISTAN ROSE 1 8 6 7   88 813¾ (horrigan john)DIAZ R 119 15.00 72.30  
 
TDN-2   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  REBEL POWER 8 1 11 1   1 1 (inirio carlos)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 6.00 4.10  
SWEET BETTY JOYCE 7 2 21 2   2 2 (suarez javier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 3.00 15% 5.50 3.30 P
COWCHI 6 3 4 3   33 3 (diehl can)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 2.10  
J J'S FANCY 1 6 31 4   47 47 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 4.10  
HERE COMES JIGS 5 7 7 54   57 5 (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.70  
JUSTA COWGIRL 2 5 6 6   69 612 (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 31% 2.30 11.60  
LOLA LOUISE 3 4 5 7   710 716¼ (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 66.90  
HEIDI'S BACK 4 8 8 8   812 818½ (gonzalez donaciano)BAEZ M 114 15.00 67.60  
 
TDN-3   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTISIMFLASHY 2 5 11 1   14 1 (chapman jam)CORREA L 118 2.50 4.10  
MOBIL MEMORY 1 8 31 2   24 2 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 8% 11.80 5.90 P
LEMON MOUSSE 3 7 6 5   5 34 (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 4.50 9% 10.00 1.40 S
2B  SECRETS UNTOLD 10 1 8 8   45 4 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00 8% 11.80 6.00  
IN TROUBLED WATERS 4 3 21 3   35 5 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 118 10.00 19.50  
1A  EXPRESS FASHION 5 9 7 6   7 6 (gorham ro)PILARES P 118 4.50 1.40  
BETTER HALF 6 4 5 7   68 711½ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 5.00 6.00  
LOFTY COWTOWN 7 6 42 4   8 813¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.00 46% 1.20 2.90  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 8 10 9 9   912¼ 916¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 12.00 49.50  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 9 2 1010¾ 1010½   1015¾ 1022¼ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 118 15.00 8% 12.00 77.40  
 
TDN-4   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:131     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMITYAAZ 3 1 2½ 1nk 1 12 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 23% 3.30 1.30 W
MY GOOD FORTUNE 4 5 6 64 64 4 2 (sims a)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 21% 3.70 5.40 P
ESTILO ELEGANTE 6 4 5 41 3 33 3 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 17.60  
GRAY ROYALITY 2 6 32 52 53 5 4 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 2.20  
SIMONA'S CHOICE 5 3 42 3½ 2 22 5 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 22% 3.50 5.00  
FLAXEN 1 2 1½ 2nk 4 6 612¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 8.50  
 
TDN-5   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:141     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARAMEL CORN 1 3 2nk 21 4 2½ 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 14.50  
MONSTER HUNTER 7 4 5 4 3½ 3 2 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 119 3.00 29% 2.40 5.20 P
DYNAMIC REACH 2 7 7 7 6 6 33 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 3.50 13% 6.90 3.50 S
POWERFUL PHIL 3 2 1nk 11 1½ 1½ 44 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 6.00 21% 3.80 2.60  
SEASONS END 6 5 6 5 5 52 5 (mavec kathleen )TOLEDO S 119 5.00 11% 7.90 9.90  
RED HOT POWER 4 1 3 31 2½ 42 610½ (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50 1.60  
WESTERN HOPE 5 6 4 6 7 7 725½ (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00 38.40  
 
TDN-6   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY STORMY 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 1¾ (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 9.00  
KOSCIUSZKO 1 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 2¾ (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 49% 1.10 1.10 P
CAT'S CURIOSITY 2 3 3 3   3 3 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 8% 11.50 2.70 S
YO BERBS 6 4 42 4   4 4 (brown t)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 22.90  
AREYOUTALKINGTOME 4 7 6 6   53 5 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 9.30  
ALL STAR JUSTICE 5 5 5 5   63 6 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 18% 4.60 4.00  
GEH SCHNELL 3 6 7 7   7 7 (manning c)VELEZ J 121 15.00 21.60  
 
TDN-7   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISE KHOZAN 4 7 6 6 1nk 1 1 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 1.50  
WINWITHJIMMY 5 1 1 1½ 2nk 2 2 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 5% 17.30 9.20 P
AT THE BEACH 1 5 7 7 31 3 3 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 2.50 S
KING ANDRES 2 2 3 4¾ 4 42 4 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.40  
SKYLIME 7 6 4 3½ 54 58 512½ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 4.00 5.50  
GOTIGER SPECIAL 3 4 5 5 7 7 614 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 42.10  
TRACKING GOLD 6 3 2 2½ 6 69 716¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 27% 2.70 17.50  
 
TDN-8   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEBRIJE 3 5 5 3½   1nk 1 (lopez elias)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 8.00 2.50  
CHACO SPIRIT 1 3 4 5   4 2 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 10.00 22% 3.60 2.80 P
KILTOOM 5 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 3 (cain crysta)CORREA L 119 4.00 7.10 S
TEMPLE TITAN 4 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 4 (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 49% 1.10 3.20  
DRIFTER 6 2 3 42   5 5 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 3.50 4.50  
FAITHFUL NOTION 2 6 6 6   610¾ 611½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 6.00 6.00  
SCR  CASH CUSTOMER               (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00    
SCR  CRY MACHO               (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.