Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - August 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISTAN ROSE Jul25 Jun02 May16     (horrigan john)DIAZ R 119 15.00 ★    
2  READY TO PLAY Jul04 Jun08 May24 May16 May02 (vazquez ivan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
3  LUCKY QUARTERS Jul11 Mar08 Feb21 Jan05   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 59% 0.70    
4  GOLDEN TEMPLE Aug01 Jul11 Jun22 May26 May07 (bird danny)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
5  RUN AWESOME TIZ Jul12 May14 Mar02 Feb19 Jan21 (patterson kev)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 6.00 ★    
6  CHARGAREE May31 Apr29 Apr02 Feb21 Jan21 (sweeting craig)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 13% 6.90    
7  SHANNON'S GIRL Jul13 Jun28 Jun07 May26 May07 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 ★    
8  JILLY FROM JERSEY Jul25 Jun11 Jun01 Apr11 Mar22 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00    
 
TDN-2   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S FANCY Jun28 Jun11 Apr28 Jan21   (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00 ★    
1A  REBEL POWER Jul12 Jun16       (inirio carlos)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 6.00    
2  JUSTA COWGIRL Jul13 Jun14 May18 Jan21 Jan05 (poole m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
3  LOLA LOUISE Jul26 Jul11 Jun25 Jun14 May24 (ott l)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
4  HEIDI'S BACK Aug04 Jul13 Jul06 Jun16 Jun06 (gonzalez donaciano)BAEZ M 114 15.00 ★    
5  HERE COMES JIGS Jul21 Jul07 Jun20 Apr28   (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
6  COWCHI Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 May24 May09 (diehl can)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
7  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 Jun14 May18 (suarez javier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-3   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON MOUSSE Jul28 Jul05       (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 4.50 9% 10.00    
1A  EXPRESS FASHION Aug01         (gorham ro)PILARES P 118 4.50    
2  BETTER HALF         (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00    
2B  SECRETS UNTOLD Jul28 Jul05       (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 5.00 8% 11.80    
3  MOBIL MEMORY         (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 8% 11.80    
4  FACTISIMFLASHY Aug02 Jul07 Jun01 May13   (chapman jam)CORREA L 118 2.50    
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS Jul28 Jul05       (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 118 10.00    
6  LOFTY COWTOWN         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jul28 Jun22       (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 12.00    
8  VAMONOS PIACENTE         (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 118 15.00 8% 12.00    
 
TDN-4   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAXEN Jun28 Jun14 Jun02 May11 Mar22 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
2  GRAY ROYALITY Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 May23 Jan01 (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 ★    
3  EMITYAAZ Jul27 Jul11 Jun13 May11 Apr24 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  MY GOOD FORTUNE May18 Apr28 Feb16     (sims a)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 21% 3.70    
5  SIMONA'S CHOICE Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 May25 May12 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  ESTILO ELEGANTE Jul27 Jun28 Jun13 Jun02 Mar19 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARAMEL CORN Jul13 Jun08       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 10.00 ★    
2  DYNAMIC REACH Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 May25 Apr25 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 3.50 13% 6.90    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Jul28 Jul13 Jun28 Jun11 May26 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 6.00 21% 3.80    
4  RED HOT POWER Jul20 Jul12 Jul04 Jun11 May26 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.50    
5  WESTERN HOPE Aug08 Jul12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan15 (langley joshua)CEDILLO MAURO 114 12.00    
6  SEASONS END Jul28 Jul13 Jun25     (mavec kathleen )TOLEDO S 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
7  MONSTER HUNTER Jul28 Jul13 May25 Apr25 Apr13 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-6   08/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSCIUSZKO Aug03 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 Jun21 (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 49% 1.10    
2  CAT'S CURIOSITY Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 2.50 8% 11.50    
3  GEH SCHNELL Jul26 Jul11 Jun28 Jun08 Jan14 (manning c)VELEZ J 121 15.00 ★    
4  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 Jun08 May06 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
5  ALL STAR JUSTICE Jul12 Jun21 Jun01     (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  YO BERBS Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 May26 May10 (brown t)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
7  PRETTY STORMY Aug03 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   08/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE BEACH Aug04 Jul14 Jun27 Jun07 May17 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 121 2.50 ★    
2  KING ANDRES Jul14 Jun21 Jun07 Apr22 Mar26 (poole jeffrey)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
3  GOTIGER SPECIAL Jul25 Jul11 Jun07 May23 Apr25 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
4  WISE KHOZAN Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 ★    
5  WINWITHJIMMY Jul28 May07 Feb01 Jan04   (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 5% 17.30    
6  TRACKING GOLD Jul14 Jun20 May16 Apr27 Apr15 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 27% 2.70    
7  SKYLIME Jul14 Jun21 May16 Jan25 Jan12 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 4.00    
 
TDN-8   08/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHACO SPIRIT Jul05 Jun16 May17 Jan04   (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 10.00 22% 3.60    
2  FAITHFUL NOTION May11         (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 6.00 ★    
3  ALEBRIJE Jul12 Jun16 May14 May03 Apr10 (lopez elias)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 8.00    
SCR  CASH CUSTOMER Jul27 Jul13 Jun22     (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00    
SCR  CRY MACHO Aug03 Jul25 Jul06 May17 Apr26 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 12.00    
6  TEMPLE TITAN May21         (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 49% 1.10    
7  KILTOOM         (cain crysta)CORREA L 119 4.00 ★    
8  DRIFTER Feb11 Jan09       (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.