The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Thistledown
Thursday - July 28, 2022

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TDN-1   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
:234 :474 1:134     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINWITHJIMMY 4 1 1½ 21 2nk 12 1½ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 19% 4.30 14.30 W
FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 5 5 513½ 5 32 2½ (bailey ricardo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 4.40 P
AMES MISTER 2 6 2½ 11 1nk 22 3(galloway khadeem)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 23% 3.40 0.50 S
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 3 2 31 35 34 45 410¾ (poole a)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 14.50  
GET ALONG 1 3 4 4 49 5513¼ (buhrow d)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.40  
FRANKIE Z 5 4 614½ 6100 6100 6100 6100 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20  
 
TDN-2   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
:23 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 2 1 1   11(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.60 60% 0.70 1.10 W
2B  LEMON MOUSSE 4 6 4 3   22(gorham m)DIAZ R 118 2.50 12% 7.60 1.80  
1A  SECRETS UNTOLD 7 3 5 6   53(hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00 5% 18.70 4.30 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 7 3 4   34 4(faulkner c)CORREA L 118 8.00 15.30  
NEAR PERFECT 2 5 2 2   46 5(gorham m)PILARES P 118 2.50 1.80  
GO GIRL 1 4 6 5   7610½ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 6.00 4.30  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 5 8 8 7   6711¾ (radosevich s)TOLEDO S 118 3.50 7.50  
SHESANOTHERSONG 8 1 7 8   821¾ 833½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 32.60  
 
TDN-3   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
:24 :483 1:134     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN 1 7 7 7 6 41hd (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8% 11.90 18.50 W
PALTARREVENGE 8 5 53 6 44 32hd (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 43% 1.30 2.70 P
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 1 2½ 2nk 1 13¼ (inirio carlos)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 3.60  
VENETIAN DREAM 4 6 6 3.2 2 24(bailey ricardo)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 5.10  
KATHERN'S JOY 2 2 43 5 5 55(inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
SAY HEY KID 3 8 8 8 7 66(vazquez ivan)CORREA L 123 6.00 7.70  
KLAATU 7 4 3 1nk 33 7712¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00 10% 9.20 13.90  
LOVE TREE 5 3 1½ 4 811½ 813¾ 836 (shanyfelt k)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 5.00  
 
TDN-4   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:232 :481 1:134 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCE 3 8 6 5 4 11(hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 8% 10.90 2.50 W
MR LOOOCH 7 1 5 4 1nk 22(quartarolo t)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 8% 10.80 1.30 DQ↓4
SOMEKINDAFUHRY 5 4 3.2 2nk 31 44 310¾ (cline c)CORREA L 121 5.00 59% 0.70 10.40 P
THAT'S THE WAY 4 3 1nk 31 5 6411 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 10.90 S
SEASONS END 2 6 4 6 6 5515¼ (mavec e)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 83.90  
MCGRAW 1 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 3616½ (fadlovich megan)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 2.30  
DYNAMIC REACH 8 7 8 8 7 7720½ (faulkner c)DIAZ I 119 12.00 53.80  
MONSTER HUNTER 6 5 72 7 8 814½ 830½ (faulkner c)RIVERA R 119 10.00 44.10  
 
TDN-5   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:223 :47 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE MONARCH 3 5 6 53   21 1(huffman m)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 7.40  
TURNING PAGES 2 6 31 31   11 2(trevino g)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 3.50  
WEEKEND BUZZ 5 7 7 6   65 3(gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 15.50 5.60 S
IMA BELIEVER 1 8 8 8   5411¾ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 12.30  
POWERFUL PHIL 7 2 1nk 1nk   31 511¾ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 3.90  
THE PINK Z 8 1 2nk 2nk   43 613¾ (cline c)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 4.00 3.20  
MOBIL MAGIC 4 3 5 7   710 719 (king l)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 47.20  
COOLER 6 4 42 4   810¼ 821¼ (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 4.50 8% 11.20 4.00  
SCR  GIV'EM THE BIZ               (johnson l)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-6   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:23 :473 1:001     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 1 2 1 1   16 114 (shanyfelt k)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.70 W
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 4 2 2   310 214 (urieta johanna)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 1.20 P
BRILLIANTBENNY 2 3 3 3   26 314½ (skerrett jeffrey)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 16% 5.30 5.50 S
JUST INSPIRED 4 1 6 6   513 414¾ (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 18.10  
SPLENDID SPIRIT 7 7 57 5   412½ 521¾ (miller arizona)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 3.60  
BIG TIME FLIRT 6 6 4 4   614 623¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 25.30  
JOHNS BIG RED 3 5 711¼ 713½   719 723¾ (radcliff l)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 17.50  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (murillo alejandro)PILARES P 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SHOOT 6 1 3 42   21¾ (rettele richard)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00 9% 9.60 3.60 W
SHADOW TRACER 2 4 1 1   12¾ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 46% 1.20 1.40 P
GLENNWOOD 1 6 5 2   335 (faulkner c)DIAZ I 123 10.00 9.40  
CUMBER 5 3 6 6   4410¼ (urieta johanna)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 8.00  
MIGHTY ANGEL 3 5 4 5   5511½ (flick julia)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 9.60  
BOCA BOY 4 2 2 3   6616¾ (winebaugh cheryl)RIVERA R 123 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40  
SCR  LADY'S BOY               (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)CORREA L 123 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:231 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING PRIMETIME 3 4 32 33   32 1(gorham m)DIAZ I 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.20 W
MARCH MAGIC 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2(brown glenroy)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 2.70 P
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 5 6 2nk 2nk   2nk 3(maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 123 3.00 47% 1.10 1.60 S
DASH OF FIRE 6 1 69 6   46 4(faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 26.30  
PLAYING BALL 7 2 43 5   6511¼ (murillo alejandro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 29.00  
STRIKING AGAIN 8 5 5 4   5613¾ (miller arizona)CORREA L 123 15.00 36.70  
SOL OF VAQUERO 2 7 715 721½   720¾ 729¾ (campbell l)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 8.80  
ATILANO'S THUNDER 1 8 818½ 825½   825¾ 835¼ (brown t)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.