Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:134     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINWITHJIMMY 4 1 1½ 21 2nk 12 1½ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 19% 4.30 14.30 W
FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 5 5 513½ 5 32 2½ (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 4.40 P
AMES MISTER 2 6 2½ 11 1nk 22 3 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 23% 3.40 0.50 S
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 3 2 31 35 34 45 410¾ (poole jeffr)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 14.50  
GET ALONG 1 3 4 4 49 5 513¼ (buhrow d)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.40  
FRANKIE Z 5 4 614½ 6100 6100 6100 6100 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20  
 
TDN-2   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 2 1 1   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.60 60% 0.70 1.10 W
2B  LEMON MOUSSE 4 6 4 3   2 2 (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 2.50 12% 7.60 1.80  
1A  SECRETS UNTOLD 7 3 5 6   5 3 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00 5% 18.70 4.30 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 7 3 4   34 4 (faulkner )CORREA L 118 8.00 15.30  
NEAR PERFECT 2 5 2 2   46 5 (gorham )PILARES P 118 2.50 1.80  
GO GIRL 1 4 6 5   7 610½ (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 6.00 4.30  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 5 8 8 7   6 711¾ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 3.50 7.50  
SHESANOTHERSONG 8 1 7 8   821¾ 833½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 32.60  
 
TDN-3   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN 1 7 7 7 6 4 1hd (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8% 11.90 18.50 W
PALTARREVENGE 8 5 53 6 44 3 2hd (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 43% 1.30 2.70 P
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 1 2½ 2nk 1 1 3¼ (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 3.60  
VENETIAN DREAM 4 6 6 3.2 2 2 4 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 5.10  
KATHERN'S JOY 2 2 43 5 5 5 5 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
SAY HEY KID 3 8 8 8 7 6 6 (vazquez i)CORREA L 123 6.00 7.70  
KLAATU 7 4 3 1nk 33 7 712¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00 10% 9.20 13.90  
LOVE TREE 5 3 1½ 4 811½ 813¾ 836 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 5.00  
 
TDN-4   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:134 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCE 3 8 6 5 4 1 1 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 8% 10.90 2.50 W
MR LOOOCH 7 1 5 4 1nk 2 2 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 8% 10.80 1.30 DQ↓4
SOMEKINDAFUHRY 5 4 3.2 2nk 31 44 310¾ (cline rob)CORREA L 121 5.00 59% 0.70 10.40 P
THAT'S THE WAY 4 3 1nk 31 5 6 411 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 10.90 S
SEASONS END 2 6 4 6 6 5 515¼ (mavec kath)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 83.90  
MCGRAW 1 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 3 616½ (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 2.30  
DYNAMIC REACH 8 7 8 8 7 7 720½ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 12.00 53.80  
MONSTER HUNTER 6 5 72 7 8 814½ 830½ (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 119 10.00 44.10  
 
TDN-5   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE MONARCH 3 5 6 53   21 1 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 7.40  
TURNING PAGES 2 6 31 31   11 2 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 3.50  
WEEKEND BUZZ 5 7 7 6   65 3 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 15.50 5.60 S
IMA BELIEVER 1 8 8 8   5 411¾ (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 12.30  
POWERFUL PHIL 7 2 1nk 1nk   31 511¾ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 3.90  
THE PINK Z 8 1 2nk 2nk   43 613¾ (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 4.00 3.20  
MOBIL MAGIC 4 3 5 7   710 719 (king l)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 47.20  
COOLER 6 4 42 4   810¼ 821¼ (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 4.50 8% 11.20 4.00  
SCR  GIV'EM THE BIZ               (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-6   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 1 2 1 1   16 114 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.70 W
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 4 2 2   310 214 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 1.20 P
BRILLIANTBENNY 2 3 3 3   26 314½ (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 16% 5.30 5.50 S
JUST INSPIRED 4 1 6 6   513 414¾ (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 18.10  
SPLENDID SPIRIT 7 7 57 5   412½ 521¾ (miller ari)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 3.60  
BIG TIME FLIRT 6 6 4 4   614 623¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 25.30  
JOHNS BIG RED 3 5 711¼ 713½   719 723¾ (radcliff do)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 17.50  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (murillo)PILARES P 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SHOOT 6 1 3 42   2 1¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00 9% 9.60 3.60 W
SHADOW TRACER 2 4 1 1   1 2¾ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 46% 1.20 1.40 P
GLENNWOOD 1 6 5 2   3 35 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 123 10.00 9.40  
CUMBER 5 3 6 6   4 410¼ (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 8.00  
MIGHTY ANGEL 3 5 4 5   5 511½ (flick juli)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 9.60  
BOCA BOY 4 2 2 3   6 616¾ (winebaugh cheryl)RIVERA R 123 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40  
SCR  LADY'S BOY               (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera ne)CORREA L 123 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING PRIMETIME 3 4 32 33   32 1 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.20 W
MARCH MAGIC 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 2.70 P
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 5 6 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 123 3.00 47% 1.10 1.60 S
DASH OF FIRE 6 1 69 6   46 4 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 26.30  
PLAYING BALL 7 2 43 5   6 511¼ (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 29.00  
STRIKING AGAIN 8 5 5 4   5 613¾ (miller ar)CORREA L 123 15.00 36.70  
SOL OF VAQUERO 2 7 715 721½   720¾ 729¾ (campbell an)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 8.80  
ATILANO'S THUNDER 1 8 818½ 825½   825¾ 835¼ (brown t)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.