Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:134     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINWITHJIMMY 4 1 1½ 21 2nk 12 1½ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 19% 4.30 14.30 W
FLYING GUILLOTINE 6 5 5 513½ 5 32 2½ (bailey ricar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00 4.40 P
AMES MISTER 2 6 2½ 11 1nk 22 3 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 1.80 23% 3.40 0.50 S
STAYIN OR STRAYIN 3 2 31 35 34 45 410¾ (poole jeffrey)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 14.50  
GET ALONG 1 3 4 4 49 5 513¼ (buhrow d)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 20.40  
FRANKIE Z 5 4 614½ 6100 6100 6100 6100 (barnes a)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 20% 4.00 3.20  
 
TDN-2   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 2 1 1   1 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.60 60% 0.70 1.10 W
2B  LEMON MOUSSE 4 6 4 3   2 2 (gorham m)DIAZ R 118 2.50 12% 7.60 1.80  
1A  SECRETS UNTOLD 7 3 5 6   5 3 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 6.00 5% 18.70 4.30 S
IN TROUBLED WATERS 3 7 3 4   34 4 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 8.00 15.30  
NEAR PERFECT 2 5 2 2   46 5 (gorham ro)PILARES P 118 2.50 1.80  
GO GIRL 1 4 6 5   7 610½ (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 6.00 4.30  
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 5 8 8 7   6 711¾ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 3.50 7.50  
SHESANOTHERSONG 8 1 7 8   821¾ 833½ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 32.60  
 
TDN-3   07/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN DOWN 1 7 7 7 6 4 1hd (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 8% 11.90 18.50 W
PALTARREVENGE 8 5 53 6 44 3 2hd (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 43% 1.30 2.70 P
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 1 2½ 2nk 1 1 3¼ (inirio carlo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 3.60  
VENETIAN DREAM 4 6 6 3.2 2 2 4 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 5.10  
KATHERN'S JOY 2 2 43 5 5 5 5 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 17% 5.00 4.50  
SAY HEY KID 3 8 8 8 7 6 6 (vazquez iva)CORREA L 123 6.00 7.70  
KLAATU 7 4 3 1nk 33 7 712¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 5.00 10% 9.20 13.90  
LOVE TREE 5 3 1½ 4 811½ 813¾ 836 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 5.00  
 
TDN-4   07/28/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:134 1:393   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENCE 3 8 6 5 4 1 1 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 8% 10.90 2.50 W
MR LOOOCH 7 1 5 4 1nk 2 2 (quartarolo anthon)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 8% 10.80 1.30 DQ↓4
SOMEKINDAFUHRY 5 4 3.2 2nk 31 44 310¾ (cline rober)CORREA L 121 5.00 59% 0.70 10.40 P
THAT'S THE WAY 4 3 1nk 31 5 6 411 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 115 6.00 10.90 S
SEASONS END 2 6 4 6 6 5 515¼ (mavec kathle)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 83.90  
MCGRAW 1 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 3 616½ (fadlovich meg)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 2.30  
DYNAMIC REACH 8 7 8 8 7 7 720½ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 12.00 53.80  
MONSTER HUNTER 6 5 72 7 8 814½ 830½ (faulkner c)RIVERA R 119 10.00 44.10  
 
TDN-5   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE MONARCH 3 5 6 53   21 1 (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 7.40  
TURNING PAGES 2 6 31 31   11 2 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 3.50  
WEEKEND BUZZ 5 7 7 6   65 3 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 6% 15.50 5.60 S
IMA BELIEVER 1 8 8 8   5 411¾ (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 12.30  
POWERFUL PHIL 7 2 1nk 1nk   31 511¾ (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 3.90  
THE PINK Z 8 1 2nk 2nk   43 613¾ (cline robert )FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 4.00 3.20  
MOBIL MAGIC 4 3 5 7   710 719 (king l)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 47.20  
COOLER 6 4 42 4   810¼ 821¼ (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 4.50 8% 11.20 4.00  
SCR  GIV'EM THE BIZ               (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-6   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:001     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 1 2 1 1   16 114 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 58% 0.70 2.70 W
TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 4 2 2   310 214 (urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 1.20 P
BRILLIANTBENNY 2 3 3 3   26 314½ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 16% 5.30 5.50 S
JUST INSPIRED 4 1 6 6   513 414¾ (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 18.10  
SPLENDID SPIRIT 7 7 57 5   412½ 521¾ (miller arizo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 5.00 3.60  
BIG TIME FLIRT 6 6 4 4   614 623¼ (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 25.30  
JOHNS BIG RED 3 5 711¼ 713½   719 723¾ (radcliff dona)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 17.50  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (murillo r)PILARES P 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   07/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME TO SHOOT 6 1 3 42   2 1¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 5.00 9% 9.60 3.60 W
SHADOW TRACER 2 4 1 1   1 2¾ (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 46% 1.20 1.40 P
GLENNWOOD 1 6 5 2   3 35 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 10.00 9.40  
CUMBER 5 3 6 6   4 410¼ (urieta johan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 8.00  
MIGHTY ANGEL 3 5 4 5   5 511½ (flick julia)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 9.60  
BOCA BOY 4 2 2 3   6 616¾ (winebaugh cheryl)RIVERA R 123 3.00 15% 5.60 2.40  
SCR  LADY'S BOY               (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nest)CORREA L 123 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING PRIMETIME 3 4 32 33   32 1 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.20 W
MARCH MAGIC 4 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 2 (brown glenro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 2.70 P
RUNAWAY RUSSELL 5 6 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 123 3.00 47% 1.10 1.60 S
DASH OF FIRE 6 1 69 6   46 4 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 26.30  
PLAYING BALL 7 2 43 5   6 511¼ (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 29.00  
STRIKING AGAIN 8 5 5 4   5 613¾ (miller ariz)CORREA L 123 15.00 36.70  
SOL OF VAQUERO 2 7 715 721½   720¾ 729¾ (campbell anth)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 8.80  
ATILANO'S THUNDER 1 8 818½ 825½   825¾ 835¼ (brown t)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.