Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:003     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA HOOT 5 1 3½ 32   24 1 (figueroa nels)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00 2.10  
SKIRTS KID 3 2 1½ 11   14 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 2.50 37% 1.70 2.90 P
HALF LEGEND 7 7 7 77   510 3 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 20% 4.10 3.10 S
WELL HELLO YOU 1 4 4¾ 4   48 4 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 12% 7.60 17.80  
PASATIME 6 6 2½ 21   38 512¼ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 4.90  
FRESH MORNING 2 5 6 56   612½ 614¾ (atala jos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 5.00  
NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL 4 3 5 67   716½ 732 (radcliff don)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00 49.90  
 
TDN-2   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEYED ON TOP 6 6 5 58   4 1¾ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 3.80  
UNCLE KEVIN 1 4 4 4   3 2¾ (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 5% 17.30 5.40 P
MR LIGHTNING BOY 4 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 7% 13.30 6.10 S
KOSCIUSZKO 5 1 3½ 31   5 43 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 19% 4.20 2.80  
COLOMBARD 3 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 5 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 1.80 43% 1.30 1.20  
TRAMORE BAY 2 5 612½ 615   6 610¾ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 49.60  
SCR  PRETTY STORMY               (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 3 6 31 12   1 1 (jackson jame)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 67% 0.50 0.10 W
AFLEET O ME 7 3 4 22   2 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00 25.10  
STORMIN SELLY 8 2 21 32   3 310½ (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00 7.90  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 1 5 6 6   410 413 (genovese richar)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 17.60  
DASH OF FIRE 4 8 8 8   712½ 516¾ (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 73.90  
NOSEY POWER 2 4 5 46   510½ 617½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 14.80  
ZAROSHA 5 7 7 7   612½ 718¾ (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 14.80  
KID VAN 6 1 11 5   817½ 833 (schuster robin)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 58.60  
SCR  AUGMENTING ASSETS               (pattah s)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-4   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121 1:401   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CALI DREAM 7 7 69 611 5 3.2 1 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 21% 3.80 4.10 W
HIGH FIRE 6 5 713 720 713¾ 5 2 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 20% 4.00 5.40 P
MARKET SUCCESS 5 6 4 3 27 2nk 3 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 8% 11.10 1.70 S
EDGE OF NIGHT 4 4 5 510½ 48 6 4 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 15% 5.70 10.60  
MOBIL LADY 3 1 34 4 37 1nk 55 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 6.00 12.00  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 2 3 11 18 17 4 612 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 4.10  
CIRCUS RINGS 1 2 21 28 6 7 728½ (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 1.80  
 
TDN-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EMPIRE 1 6 2nk 1½   1 11 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 121 4.50 12% 7.40 5.70 W
SWEET BETTY JOYCE 5 1 4 53   33 21 (suarez javier)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 12.00 22.90  
HERE COMES JIGS 3 8 8 7   5 31 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 26% 2.80 1.70 S
SWINDLE 2 7 1nk 2½   2 46 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 1.00  
BISCAYNE BAY 7 3 5 3   43 56 (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 19% 4.20 20.20  
EASTER PRIDE 6 4 7 6   6 68 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00 34.30  
GRAZIA WHO 4 5 3.2 4   7 710¼ (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 85.90  
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE 8 2 6 8   8 812¼ (brown t)VELEZ J 121 5.00 17% 5.00 10.20  
 
TDN-6   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER CREEK ROAD 4 6 9 9   5 1hd (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 30.00 32.50  
BLISTERING PAKSHI 1 9 6 43   4 2hd (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00 40.60  
10  BUCKITITLEWAVE 9 3 3 3½   1nk 3 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 1.10 S
PLATE IT UP 8 1 2nk 2½   31 42 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00 11.00  
CANT BUY COOL 2 4 1nk 1½   2nk 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 41% 1.40 1.90  
NEVANS 3 5 4 5   6 6 (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
KETTLE KING 5 7 8 84   7 7 (jackson j)PILARES P 123 15.00 5% 19.00 52.10  
EL MEZCALITO 7 2 5 7   8 811 (flores israel)DIAZ I 123 4.00 24% 3.20 6.40  
GRAND STRATEGY 6 8 7 6   9 913 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 12.40  
SCR  WESTERN HOPE               (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
 
TDN-7   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:14     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 7 1 21 2 2nk 1½ 12 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 28% 2.50 3.70 W
YONDERING 1 8 6 65 5 32 22 (calderon ivan)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00 12.50 P
FUEGO CALIENTE 4 5 33 4 4 6 33 (urieta johann)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00 30% 2.40 1.90 S
FU ROO 8 2 43 3 3 42 43 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 6.40  
GIO SAMMY 6 4 54 5 6 53 5 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 119 3.50 15% 5.50 8.00  
KING RICHIE 2 3 11 1 1nk 2½ 6 (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 15.80  
HITE 5 6 813¾ 815 811¾ 8 78 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 117 12.00 23.00  
GILES 3 7 7 77 7 7 8 (spiess s)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 17.30 2.90  
 
TDN-8   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:13     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S SMILE 6 7 810 613½ 4 3 1nk (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 45% 1.20 0.90 W
CRYPTO COPY 3 2 2 3 3 2½ 2nk (gorham ro)PILARES P 115 8.00 7.20  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 1 46 25 1nk 1½ 3 (quartarolo anthon)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 8% 11.80 3.40 S
HOPPY GILMORE 5 8 7 815 59 5 411¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 5.00 8.40  
WILDCAT EXPRESS 1 3 1 15 2nk 4 512¼ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 15.00 15.10  
MUCH TIMES TWO 9 6 914 922 917¾ 811 615½ (bernardini p)DIAZ I 119 12.00 11.00  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 2 9 69 714½ 6 6 716¼ (meyers shane)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 21% 3.70 19.70  
WEEKENDER 8 4 5 513 710¾ 710½ 817 (hamm timothy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 10.00 32.20  
DEXQUIRE 4 5 3 4 814¾ 916 929 (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 115 6.00 5% 19.00 31.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.