Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELL HELLO YOU         (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 12% 7.60    
2  FRESH MORNING Jul05 Jun13 May21     (atala j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 4.00 ★    
3  SKIRTS KID Jul04 Jun16 May21     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  NORMAS HOPEFULGIRL Jul11 Jun08       (radcliff d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 12.00    
5  SHEZA HOOT Jul12 Jun27 May23 May07 Apr30 (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 6.00    
6  PASATIME Jul05 Jun20 May04 Apr13 Mar24 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.00 ★    
7  HALF LEGEND Jul04 Jun16       (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
TDN-2   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE KEVIN Jul06 Jun25 Jun16 May31 May16 (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 4.50 5% 17.30    
2  TRAMORE BAY Jun30 Jun07 May21 Apr25 Apr15 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
3  COLOMBARD Jun30 Jun21 Jun06 May18 Apr28 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
SCR  PRETTY STORMY Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 Jun02 May03 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
5  MR LIGHTNING BOY Jun25 Jun01 May18 Apr16 Apr01 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 7% 13.30    
6  KOSCIUSZKO Jul14 Jun30 Jun21 May02 Apr25 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  KEYED ON TOP Jun25 Jun07 May16 May02 Apr13 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jun30 May04       (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 ★    
2  NOSEY POWER Jul11 May31 May21 May04 Apr09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 ★    
3  WORTHY OPPONENT Jun21 May17 Apr28     (jackson ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
4  DASH OF FIRE Jul11 Jun21       (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
5  ZAROSHA Jul11 Jun29 May31 May16 Apr27 (poole m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00    
SCR  AUGMENTING ASSETS Jun28 May30 May16 May04 Apr06 (pattah)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 8% 11.50    
7  KID VAN Jun30         (schuster rob)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 ★    
8  AFLEET O ME Jul14 May21       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 15.00    
9  STORMIN SELLY         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTALLY OBSESSED Jul07 Jun07 May07     (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00    
1A  CALI DREAM Jul15 Jun08 May12 Apr09   (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  CIRCUS RINGS Jul07 Jun02       (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 ★    
3  MOBIL LADY Jun13 May30 May12 Apr28   (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 121 6.00    
4  EDGE OF NIGHT Jun02 May12 Apr28 Apr09   (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 15% 5.70    
5  MARKET SUCCESS Jul04 Jun02 May12 May02   (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 8% 11.10    
6  HIGH FIRE Jun08 May12       (cowans william)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET EMPIRE Jul06 Jun24 Jun09 May25 May17 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 121 4.50 12% 7.40    
2  SWINDLE Jul05 Jun01 May18     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 ★    
3  HERE COMES JIGS Jul07 Jun20 Apr28     (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  GRAZIA WHO Jul06 Jun01       (severin robert)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
5  SWEET BETTY JOYCE Jun28 Jun14 May18 Apr28 Apr16 (suarez javi)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 12.00    
6  EASTER PRIDE Jul06 Jun16       (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 10.00    
7  BISCAYNE BAY Jul06 Jun16 Mar26 Mar09 Feb19 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Jul06 Jun01 May18     (brown t)VELEZ J 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
 
TDN-6   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLISTERING PAKSHI Jun28         (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 20.00    
2  CANT BUY COOL Jul06         (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  NEVANS         (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEER CREEK ROAD Feb15 Jan11       (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 30.00    
5  KETTLE KING Feb28 Feb01 Jan11     (jackson r)PAUCAR E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WESTERN HOPE Jul12 Feb14 Jan31 Jan15   (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 123 12.00    
7  GRAND STRATEGY Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 May07 Mar08 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50    
8  EL MEZCALITO Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 May23 May04 (flores israel)DIAZ I 123 4.00 24% 3.20    
9  PLATE IT UP Jul14 Jul06 Jun20 May31 May07 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 10.00    
10  BUCKITITLEWAVE Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 May25 Apr04 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YONDERING Jun22 Jun08 May09 Apr20 Apr04 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00 ★    
2  KING RICHIE Jun11 Mar07 Feb16 Jan14   (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
3  GILES Jun26 May31 Apr18 Apr11 Mar22 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 17.30    
4  FUEGO CALIENTE Jul05 May24 Apr27 Apr09 Jan27 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
5  HITE Jun14 May26 May11     (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 117 12.00    
6  GIO SAMMY Jul05 Jun22 May16 Apr27 Apr05 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  FU ROO Jul05 Jun08 May21     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILDCAT EXPRESS Jul05 May30 May17     (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 15.00    
2  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jun21 May30 Apr26     (meyers sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  CRYPTO COPY Jul14 May30 May12 Apr28   (gorham )PILARES P 115 8.00    
4  DEXQUIRE Jun21 May23 Mar24 Mar07 Feb18 (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  HOPPY GILMORE Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr28 Apr06 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 5.00 ★    
6  SAMMY'S SMILE Jun25 Jun03 May12 Mar22 Mar05 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 45% 1.20    
7  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul14 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 115 3.50 8% 11.80    
8  WEEKENDER Jun28 May25 Apr28 Apr06 Mar21 (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 10.00    
9  MUCH TIMES TWO Jun29         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.