Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAROSHA 4 5 5 5   31 1nk (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 2.50  
VOLUME OF TRUST 5 4 31 2nk   11 2nk (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 2.50 12% 7.70 1.20 P
KETTLE KING 3 3 4 4   4 31 (romero jo)CORREA L 119 5.00 18% 4.50 4.50 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 1 6 6 6   63 4 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.00 15% 5.90 6.60  
WHO CAN WIN 6 2 21 3.2   21 5 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 22% 3.60 5.40  
1A  THANKSDAD 7 1 11 1nk   5 6 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 117 2.00 2.50  
WESTERN HOPE 2 7 712½ 712¼   711 718½ (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 63.70  
 
TDN-2   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AINT NO BANDLEADER 3 1 1nk 11   1 1 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 118 3.50 2.00  
PRIMITIVO 1 3 2nk 3   2 2 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 5.90  
HEARDITALLBEFORE 2 4 31 21   3 311½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 8.00 4.90  
OKLAHOMA JOE 4 5 4 4   410½ 411½ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 3.00 33% 2.10 0.80  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 2 5 512½   519 522¾ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 10.00 17.50  
SCR  HIDDEN ACCESS               (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH               (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
 
TDN-3   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLER 1 5 5 5   3½ 1¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 51% 1.00 0.20 W
YOU ARE AWESOME 3 2 21 2nk   1½ 2¼ (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 10.00 P
BIG TRIP 2 3 11 1nk   2½ 3 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.50 17% 5.00 7.20 S
SPINSTER ROAD 5 4 31 4¼   41 4 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.50 6% 16.30 7.30  
PRETTY STORMY 4 1 4 3.2   5 58 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 11.00  
SCR  SMOKIN HOT ENERGY               (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:00     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING PATRIOT 3 4 32 21   1½ 1 (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 14% 6.10 3.10 W
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 4 1 1½ 11   2½ 2 (radosevic)CORREA L 118 2.00 16% 5.20 1.10 P
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 1 6 5 46   46 312¼ (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00 3.40 S
ANIMO ROBERTO 2 5 6 58   5 412½ (inirio car)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00 14.00 DH
WHO CAN'T WAIT 5 2 2½ 33   3 412½ (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00 20.60 DH
WINDING RIVER 6 3 4 69   612½ 619½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 4.70  
SCR  CASUAL ATTIRE               (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  FACTUM'S STAR               (kerr n)HALDAR J 118 15.00    
 
TDN-5   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE FRIENDS 3 3 33 31 2nk 2 1nk (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 69% 0.50 0.40 W
RAISON KARTER 2 2 2 1nk 1nk 1 2nk (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 2.50 2.90 P
ANGEL'S ENTRY 4 4 5 5 32 3 3 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 10.20 S
GALTERO 5 1 1 2nk 4 4 49 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 19.00  
CANDY CRUSHEM 1 5 4 42 54 5 5 (cady kh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 6.40  
SCR  KING RICHIE               (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
 
TDN-6   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEBIP 5 7 32 2nk   1½ 1 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 5.00 12.90  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 7 2 42 4   45 2 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 4.60 P
INTO GOLD 4 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 22.10  
LINO'S KID 6 1 2½ 3.2   33 4 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 23% 3.40 1.10  
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 3 4 76 6   5 5 (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 13.50  
RUN ROCKY 2 6 64 5   6 613¾ (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.80  
EL CONDOR CAZA 1 5 53 7   711½ 715½ (zielins)PILARES P 123 6.00 18% 4.60 6.20  
 
TDN-7   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:14     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKS HONEY 2 3 5 5 2nk 1 1 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 1.10  
1A  OHIO EAGLE 7 1 1nk 3 3 3 2 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 20% 4.00 2.30  
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 5 5 3½ 1 1nk 2 3 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.60 S
BLACKTIEANDTUX 3 6 4 2 5 4 4 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.50 10% 9.20 8.10  
SPIN DOCTOR 1 2 2nk 42 4 5 5 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.00 2.30  
SEND ME ON 6 4 7 7 6 6 6 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 44% 1.30 4.20  
SWEET JILL'S JACK 4 7 6 6 7 716¾ 725½ (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 12.00 29.70  
SCR  JIMTOWN               (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00    
 
TDN-8   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER 6 2 1½ 11 1½ 12 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 12% 7.00 5.20 W
SO DIALED IN 7 1 2½ 21 2½ 22 2 (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50 1.80 P
CONTINUATION 1 7 66 7 6 46 3 (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 3.50 47% 1.10 1.40 S
PAT DADDY 4 3 32 33 47 5 411¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
LAZARUS PROJECT 2 6 5 43 3 36 512 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 19.50  
GOOD IDEA 3 4 77 6 5 6 615 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 18.80  
DARK VADER 5 5 4 5 7 7 719 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 11% 7.70 4.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.