Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAROSHA Aug10 Jul21 Jul11 Jun29 May31 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
1A  THANKSDAD Aug08 Jul27 Jul11 Jun29 Apr04 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 117 2.00    
THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 May26 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 3.00 15% 5.90    
WESTERN HOPE Aug23 Aug15 Aug08 Jul12 Feb14 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
KETTLE KING Aug23 Aug08 Jul21 Feb28 Feb01 (romero jo)CORREA L 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
VOLUME OF TRUST Jul20 Jul12 Jun28 Jun11 May26 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 2.50 12% 7.70    
WHO CAN WIN Aug24 Aug08 Jul06 May23 May11 (vazquez iva)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-2   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDDEN ACCESS Aug25         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
PRIMITIVO Aug02 Jul11       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
HEARDITALLBEFORE Aug02         (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
AINT NO BANDLEADER Aug25 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun01 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 118 3.50    
SCR  MY BUDDY MICAH         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 12.00    
OKLAHOMA JOE Aug18 Aug02 Jul11     (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
MANDOLIN BREEZE         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 115 10.00    
 
TDN-3   09/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUTLER Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 Jun16 May31 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
BIG TRIP Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun29 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
YOU ARE AWESOME Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 Jun27 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
PRETTY STORMY Aug22 Aug15 Aug03 Jul04 Jun24 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
SPINSTER ROAD Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 Jun21 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 2.50 6% 16.30    
SCR  SMOKIN HOT ENERGY Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 Jun25 May26 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME         (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 8.00    
SCR  FACTUM'S STAR Aug25         (kerr n)HALDAR J 118 15.00    
ANIMO ROBERTO         (inirio car)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
KING PATRIOT Jul11 Jun28       (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 3.00 14% 6.10    
LITTLE RONS ROCKET Aug18 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28   (radosevic)CORREA L 118 2.00 16% 5.20    
WHO CAN'T WAIT Aug18 Aug02       (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 113 15.00    
WINDING RIVER         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
SCR  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug02 Jul11       (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-5   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY CRUSHEM Aug24 Jun08 May23 Apr13 Apr02 (cady kh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00    
RAISON KARTER Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Jul05 Jun24 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 2.50    
FORTUNATE FRIENDS Aug18 Jul19 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.00 69% 0.50    
SCR  KING RICHIE Aug10 Jul21 Jun11 Mar07 Feb16 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 8.00    
ANGEL'S ENTRY Aug29 Aug03 Jun22 Jun02 May17 (inirio car)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 5.00    
GALTERO Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CONDOR CAZA Jul14 Jun30       (zielins)PILARES P 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
RUN ROCKY Aug13 Feb16 Jan22 Jan05   (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Aug22 Jul21 Jun30 May04   (genovese rich)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00    
INTO GOLD Jul14 Jun21       (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00    
JEBIP         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 5.00    
LINO'S KID Aug01 Jun21 May17 Apr28 Apr06 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Aug01 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-7   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIN DOCTOR Aug18 Aug04 Jul26 Jun30 Jun16 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
1A  OHIO EAGLE Aug02 Jul22 Jun30 Jun25 May31 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  JIMTOWN Aug25 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 10.00    
OAKS HONEY Aug02 Jun22 May31 May18 May02 (brown glen)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50    
BLACKTIEANDTUX Aug02 Jun06 Feb26 Feb15 Jan11 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 3.50 10% 9.20    
SWEET JILL'S JACK Jul20 Jun14 May11 Apr26 Jan11 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun25 May31 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEND ME ON Aug18 Aug02 Jul15 Jun20 Jun03 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-8   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTINUATION Aug04 Jul01       (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
LAZARUS PROJECT Aug22 Aug04 Jul19 Jul04 Jun25 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
GOOD IDEA Aug17 Jul13 May25 May09 Apr11 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00    
PAT DADDY Aug15 Jul24 Jul14 Jun20 Jun07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DARK VADER Aug13 Jul24 Jun12 May08 Apr02 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 11% 7.70    
BEER CHASER Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun25 Jun08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 4.50 12% 7.00    
SO DIALED IN Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 Mar24 Mar07 (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.