Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICEY APPEAL 8 1 8 54   3 1 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 123 3.50 3.60  
I GOT HOPE 1 8 5 2   2½ 2 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 38% 1.70 1.50 P
BAREFOOT BEACH 5 4 7 6   5 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 8.00  
SANIBEL 6 2 1 1   1½ 45 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 12% 7.30 14.90  
LADY ABRIL 2 7 2 32   4 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
JAILBIRD WEDDING 4 5 6 87   810 614 (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 43.60  
BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA 3 6 3 7   6 714 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 21% 3.70 2.90  
WAR MOON 7 3 43 4   7 816 (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00 53.30  
 
TDN-2   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 3 5 2½ 2   1nk 12 (jackson r)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 17% 4.90 1.30 W
BILLY BEACOUP 5 6 55 5   4 22 (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00 14.90 P
MUCHO PRIMO 4 2 1½ 1   2nk 34 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 8.00 10.40  
KETTLE KING 1 4 65 6   55 4 (romero jose)CORREA L 123 12.00 11% 7.80 25.00  
DEXQUIRE 7 1 31 4   66 57 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.70 2.00  
BIG STOCK WINNER 6 3 43 3   32 67 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00 29.20  
BLISTERING PAKSHI 2 7 76 711½   79 711½ (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 30% 2.40 3.70  
WESTERN HOPE 8 8 811 815½   815 821¼ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00 45.00  
 
TDN-3   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 6 1 1nk 1nk   1 1 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 118 1.80 34% 1.90 0.70 W
MOTOWN COLLECTION 3 3 43 43   43 2 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 4.00 P
ATILANO 4 4 6 55   2 3 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 5.00 15.90 S
ESTILO FAVORITO 1 2 3 3   33 4 (atala )SALAZAR VICTOR 118 5.00 12.90  
AGNELLO'S DREAM 5 5 2nk 2nk   54 511¾ (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 43% 1.30 2.00  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 2 6 56 612   622 635 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 1.80 0.70  
SCR  STREET TRAFFIC               (jackson r)QUEVEDO JOSE 113 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND WINTER 5 2 2nk 1nk   11 1½ (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 2.00 31% 2.20 0.70 W
MRS. ROBINSON 4 6 4 3   21 2½ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00 11.70 P
O K BABY 1 4 6 5   5 32 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 15% 5.90 5.70 S
NATIVE VALLEY 2 5 5 6   6 4 (bird danny)CORREA L 119 2.50 5.70  
SHEZA HOOT 3 3 3 4   3 5 (figueroa nels)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 5.00 9.60  
TALK DIRTY 6 1 1nk 2nk   4 6 (bird danny)DIAZ I 119 6.00 24% 3.10 4.60  
 
TDN-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCKITITLEWAVE 7 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1nk (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 1.70  
NEVANS 4 5 6 6   5 2nk (trevino step)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 10% 9.40 6.00 P
VICTORY DIVISION 3 7 7 7   6 3 (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 3.50 29% 2.50 5.30 S
1A  OLE WATASHI 5 4 4 32   3 4 (trevino g)BIRT BRAXON 123 6.00 6.00  
CANT BUY COOL 6 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 53 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 34% 2.00 1.40  
PLATE IT UP 2 3 32 4   44 6 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 8.50  
GRAND STRATEGY 1 6 5 55   7 7 (reust )SALAZAR VICTOR 123 8.00 18.10  
 
TDN-6   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUE THE BAND 6 2 1 1   12 1 (shanyfelt valerie)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 12.60 1.20 W
BISCAYNE BAY 7 1 3 2   22 2 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 3.00  
BEST OF YOU 5 4 77 57   4 3 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 8.00 10.80  
STATUS SYMBOL 4 3 2 32   32 4 (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 10% 9.40 2.50  
DOUBLE D'S REVENGE 2 5 66 47   57 59 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 15.00 5% 17.20 12.90  
PERSEVERING HONOR 3 7 55 7   611 611½ (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 17.60  
QUEEN OF THE TILES 1 6 4 6   714 715¼ (vazquez ivan)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 38.30  
SCR  GRIZABELLA               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  NORTHERN JOURNEY               (cline robert )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
 
TDN-7   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL FURY 5 5 5 3½   2nk 1¼ (jackson r)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 6% 16.20 4.80 W
WILLISTON WAY 6 3 1nk 1½   1nk 2¼ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 27% 2.70 2.40 P
OBIWAN 4 4 3 2½   32 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 13.90 S
1A  AHIMELECH 3 6 6 6   5 44 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 12.40 2.70  
WOODLAND WALK 2 2 4 5   4 54 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 39% 1.50 1.70  
MORE THAN GOOD 1 7 7 7   7 67 (skerrett je)CORREA L 121 3.00 2.70  
FREE SAILIN 7 1 2nk 4¾   6 712½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 8.00 18.90  
SCR  TIME TO SHOOT               (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
 
TDN-8   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUSHI Q 3 4 1 11   1 1 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 2.80  
HOSANNA 1 6 42 31   2 2 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 21% 3.80 1.70 P
1A  COSTUME JEWELRY 8 2 6 53   46 3 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00 2.80  
YOU NAME IT 7 1 5 42   56 4 (gorham ro)PILARES P 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40  
PENNIESANDDIMES 4 3 2 21   35 5 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00 23.50  
CONGRATS JENSEN 2 5 32 7   6 611¼ (cline rober)CORREA L 119 6.00 8.10  
DEB'S ALL OUT 5 8 8 8   710 712½ (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 13% 6.90 8.40  
BAY MAGIC 6 7 7 64   814 819 (barton amanda)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 7% 14.00 20.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.