Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT HOPE Aug10 Jul11 Jun16 May17   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  LADY ABRIL Aug04 Jul20 Jun16 May25 Mar30 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA Jun25 Jun03 May25 May10 Apr16 (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
4  JAILBIRD WEDDING Aug10 Apr02 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 ★    
5  BAREFOOT BEACH Jul26 Jun28 Jun13 May04   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
6  SANIBEL Jul26 Jul05 Jun09 Jun01 May04 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 12% 7.30    
7  WAR MOON Jul20 Jun25 Jun13 May03 Apr06 (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 20.00    
8  PRICEY APPEAL Aug04 Jul26 Jun16 Jun01 May10 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 123 3.50    
 
TDN-2   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KETTLE KING Aug08 Jul21 Feb28 Feb01 Jan11 (romero jo)CORREA L 123 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  BLISTERING PAKSHI Aug09 Jul21 Jun28     (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 30% 2.40    
3  WORTHY OPPONENT Aug09 Jul21 Jun21 May17 Apr28 (jackson james)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 17% 4.90    
4  MUCHO PRIMO Aug09 Jul05       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 8.00    
5  BILLY BEACOUP Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 May31 (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00 ★    
6  BIG STOCK WINNER Aug09 Jul06 Jun28 May23   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 20.00    
7  DEXQUIRE Aug12 Jul21 Jun21 May23 Mar24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
8  WESTERN HOPE Aug15 Aug08 Jul12 Feb14 Jan31 (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 15.00    
 
TDN-3   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jul14         (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 1.80    
1A  STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Jul14 Jun29       (faulkner )CORREA L 118 1.80 34% 1.90    
2  ESTILO FAVORITO         (atal)SALAZAR VICTOR 118 5.00 ★    
3  MOTOWN COLLECTION         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  STREET TRAFFIC Jul14 Jun29       (jackson james )QUEVEDO JOSE 113 8.00    
5  ATILANO         (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 5.00 ★    
6  AGNELLO'S DREAM Jul14 Jun29       (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
TDN-4   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K BABY Aug10 Jul11 Jun07     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 15% 5.90    
2  NATIVE VALLEY Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Jun02 May21 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 2.50 ★    
3  SHEZA HOOT Aug10 Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 May23 (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 5.00    
4  MRS. ROBINSON Aug07 Jun02 May25 May02 Apr19 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.00 ★    
5  ISLAND WINTER Aug10 Jul05 Jun20 May04 Apr09 (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 2.00 31% 2.20    
6  TALK DIRTY Aug10 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 May26 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-5   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEVANS Aug08 Jul21       (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
1A  OLE WATASHI May24 Apr16 Feb15 Jan12   (trevino stephen)BIRT BRAXON 123 6.00    
2  GRAND STRATEGY Jul21 Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 May07 (reus)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 8.00 ★    
3  PLATE IT UP Aug08 Jul21 Jul14 Jul06 Jun20 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
4  VICTORY DIVISION Jun02 May12 Mar22 Jan26 Jan04 (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
5  CANT BUY COOL Jul21 Jul06       (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  BUCKITITLEWAVE Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 Jun21 Jun06 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF THE TILES Aug13 Jul12 Jun11 May18 Mar18 (vazquez iv)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
2  DOUBLE D'S REVENGE Jul21 Jul06 Jun01 May18   (brown t)VELEZ J 119 15.00 5% 17.20    
3  PERSEVERING HONOR Jul27         (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
4  STATUS SYMBOL Aug01 Jul15 Jun30 Jun01 Apr12 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 10% 9.40    
5  BEST OF YOU Aug08 Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 May03 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
6  CUE THE BAND Aug01 Jun28 May25     (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 119 4.50 7% 12.60    
7  BISCAYNE BAY Aug08 Jul21 Jul06 Jun16 Mar26 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
SCR  NORTHERN JOURNEY Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 May13 Apr27 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  GRIZABELLA Aug04 Jul15 Jul01 May12 Apr28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
TDN-7   08/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN GOOD Aug06 Jul20 Jun25 Jun11   (skerrett )CORREA L 121 3.00 ★    
1A  AHIMELECH Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 May30 Feb28 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  TIME TO SHOOT Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May25   (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 12.00    
3  WOODLAND WALK Jul20 Jun25 May30     (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 2.50 39% 1.50    
4  OBIWAN Jul20 Jun08 May24 Apr23 Mar30 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 ★    
5  CHANNEL FURY Jul20 Jun11 May25     (jackson james)CEDILLO MAURO 114 5.00 6% 16.20    
6  WILLISTON WAY Aug06 Jul10 May25 May07 Jan01 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  FREE SAILIN Jul23 Jun11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb19 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 117 8.00    
 
TDN-8   08/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUSHI Q Aug03 May20 May10 Apr26 Apr16 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 ★    
1A  COSTUME JEWELRY Aug04 Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 Jan25 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00    
2  HOSANNA Jun03 May10 Apr25 Feb19 Jan22 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  CONGRATS JENSEN Aug01 Jul13 Jun14 May21 Apr25 (cline rob)CORREA L 119 6.00    
4  PENNIESANDDIMES Jul20 Jul04 Jun13 May30 May16 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 10.00    
5  DEB'S ALL OUT         (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 13% 6.90    
6  BAY MAGIC Aug04 Jul12 Jun24 Jun01 May18 (barton aman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 7% 14.00    
7  YOU NAME IT Aug01 Jul13 Feb14 Jan24 Jan12 (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.