Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Tuesday - July 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA LA ANGEL 5 6 6 4   34 1hd (jordan rick)BUSH V 120 4.50 19.30  
BAY MAGIC 2 3 11 11   12 2hd (radosevich je)BRACHO A 120 2.50 59% 0.70 0.30 P
LEJEUNE 4 2 31 21   22 3 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 120 3.00 17% 5.00 3.40 S
LADY POWER 1 5 45 5   47 4 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 6.80  
APPEALING SENORITA 6 7 79 711   612½ 515½ (salcedo ramon)DE AZAEL 120 8.00 37.70  
WACKER'S GIRL 3 4 5 6   713 619¼ (rodak geraldine)WHITACRE B 120 6.00 15.20  
1A  GINGERMYSISTER 7 1 21 33   511 721½ (melancon )BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 3.00 3.40  
 
BTP-2   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:132 1:26   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST AND OBEY 5 1 3 4¾ 4 4 1¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 120 4.00 12% 7.60 13.10 W
OPHA MAY 3 5 44 3½ 3.2 2nk 2¼ (lopez carlos)HALDAR J 115 3.00 10% 9.00 6.70 P
THE PINK Z 2 2 11 2nk 1nk 1nk 3½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 116 1.80 56% 0.80 0.60 S
HEIDI'S SINATRA 6 6 54 5 5 5 43 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 8.00 16.00  
TEQUILA FLATS 4 3 21 1nk 2nk 31 5 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 4.50 2.00  
DIAL MR PROSPECTOR 1 4 66 6 6 6 610 (holton a)WHITACRE B 120 10.00 25.20  
 
BTP-3   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:15 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINDY'S STORM 4 3 1nk 11 1 12 14 (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 119 10.00 11.70  
VAMOS ANTONIO 2 2 33 3 32 22 24 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 6.00 12% 7.50 21.90 P
NICE KAZ 1 1 2nk 21 2 32 3 (hester haley)DE AZAEL 125 8.00 11% 7.80 26.30 S
KEEN MIND 5 6 4 4 42 45 4 (fletcher kevi)BRACHO A 119 1.80 43% 1.30 0.60  
UNCLE DICK 3 7 6 710¾ 6 5 5 (helmbrech)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 4.50 4.00  
PASSIONATE LUCK 7 4 5 5 7 610½ 613 (platt noah)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 24.40  
FATHER PATRICK 6 5 78 6 5 710¾ 713 (newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 13% 6.50 3.20  
 
BTP-4   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:18 1:322   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENORA PANQUEQUES 2 6 613 6 32 1nk 1 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 6.00 9% 10.70 2.40 W
GIMME CLEARANCE 6 5 44 31 1nk 2nk 2 (silva ferna)JIMENEZ J 125 2.50 19% 4.20 1.10 P
CABARET FLEUR 5 2 59 5 44 35 314¼ (overholt pau)HALDAR J 125 3.00 33% 2.00 7.20 S
SWEETER THAN HONEY 4 3 34 4 5 48 417¾ (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 3.50 12.20  
MYSTIC ANN 3 1 2½ 2nk 6 612½ 525¼ (melancon paul)MOJICA JR 125 10.00 17% 4.70 27.10  
FAYEGOTEVEN 1 4 1½ 1nk 2nk 510 636¼ (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 3.30  
SCR  FOREVER FACTUM               (kerr n)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
 
BTP-5   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:12 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  HONKY TONK HERO 12 9 9 6 4 31 1 (evans michae)HALDAR J 123 5.00 30% 2.30 9.80 W
LAUGH A LOT 6 7 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 2 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.10 P
QUICK MASTER 3 3 7 5 5 42 3 (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 8.00 8% 10.90 7.80 S
SIMON PETER 4 4 10 10 7 6 4 (bergin tom)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 6.00 19.50  
HOLY CROSS 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 5 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 10.00 5.70  
12  FIGHTING HEART 10 8 54 3 32 54 66 (cahill steven )REYES R 123 12.00 25.50  
LOMU 9 5 64 7 6 7 7 (wiggins lon)RIQUELME J 123 4.50 7.70  
C F V WICKED RED 8 10 1212¼ 1212¼ 1217 9 8 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 20.00 90.90  
CONTRACTOR BILL 1 2 43 4 8 8 910¼ (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00 38.00  
READY PURSUIT 7 12 1110¼ 8 911½ 10 1011 (antonuik jerry)LEON SONNY 117 15.00 6.10  
ZIP IT SCOTTY 5 1 8 1110¼ 1012 1113¾ 1118¼ (jazdzewski jon)MACHADO LUAN 117 20.00 61.20  
13  KY HOT BROWN 11 6 3 9 1115 1214¼ 1219½ (ramos fra)BETANCOURT RONNEY 117 15.00 79.40  
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 3.50    
SCR  PERFECT PAINTING               (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 123 20.00    
SCR  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 117 10.00    
SCR  THIRSTY OWL               (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
 
BTP-6   07/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:143     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  TAMMY'S TOY 5 3 4 3   22 1¾ (cline robert)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.00 1.30  
SURROUNDER 9 1 1½ 11   12 2¾ (kerr n)OUZTS W 124 5.00 4.20  
SQUEAKY CLEAN 7 2 3 21   33 3 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 60% 0.70 7.30 S
WHISKEY HELPS 2 6 5 4   4 4 (cline robert)HALDAR J 124 4.00 1.30  
TWELVE PACK STEVE 4 9 911 911½   6 5 (townley steve)CANUTO THIAGO 115 2.50 11% 7.70 2.40  
1A  HONKY TONK MUSIC 6 5 6 68   5 611¼ (waltermire )MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 6.00 5.70  
SIR THORIN 8 7 78 79   712½ 718½ (lowry anthony)DE AZAEL 124 20.00 67.60  
FRESHWATER PIRATE 3 8 89 810   817½ 828¼ (laugherty)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00 37.20  
GOLD'N MUSIC 1 4 2½ 56   925½ 959 (fletcher kevi)BRACHO A 124 6.00 5.70  
SCR  BELTON AVE               (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:161 1:294   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY BLOOMER 5 4 4 53 33 1 1 (barker w)MCKEE J 117 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
JUST ZOEY 1 1 11 1 1 2 2 (lowry anthony)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 4.50 P
CONCORDSDIFFERENCE 3 3 21 2 2 3 3 (aguirre juan )CANUTO THIAGO 117 8.00 21.70 S
RUNAWAY BELLE 6 5 3 3 44 46 49 (greenhill)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50 12.60  
MISS ELIANA 4 6 53 42 55 58 517½ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 122 5.00 34% 1.90 3.50  
DE BOLT LIGHT 2 2 6 6 68 610½ 620¾ (howard d)LEON SONNY 122 3.00 2.80  
 
BTP-8   07/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:123 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKYARD HEN 4 4 1nk 33 11 13 1 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 117 2.50 2.70  
LUCKY SHORE 2 3 7 5 43 33 2 (sturgeon robert)MOJICA JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00 3.40 P
10  MY DIOR 9 9 8 8 55 23 33 (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 10.00 8.00  
LADY UNBRIDLED 7 6 2nk 2 32 55 44 (cline robert )BRACHO A 122 6.00 9.00  
FORGLO 5 7 9 9 7 6 54 (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 8.60  
STORMY NILE 1 2 54 7 66 7 6 (ewing michae)WISEMAN ISAIAH 117 15.00 10.80  
FIRST ROYAL 8 8 3½ 1 21 4 79 (danner doug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 117 15.00 6.80  
LITTLE DUTCH GIRL 6 5 6 6 913 911¼ 814½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 122 8.00 5.30  
ESTILO DIFERENTE 3 1 4 4 810 8 916¼ (alessi james)HALDAR J 117 20.00 22.90  
SCR  REVELING               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 5.00 69% 0.40    
 
BTP-9   07/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:224 :473 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZEL 7 5 31 2   11 1 (gali)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 4.50 7% 13.60 3.10 W
KOBE BEACH 3 6 86 68   55 2 (rodriquez regu)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.50 6.30  
RAULITO 8 8 75 7   8 35 (adams l)BRACHO A 123 10.00 5.40  
CALL PAPA 6 9 912 911¾   9 4 (feebeck thomas )MOJICA JR 123 30.00 40.90  
SAVING MAMA 1 4 53 810¼   7 56 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 10.00 7.00  
10  EASILY INFLUENCED 9 1 11 1   21 6 (coyle vernon)HALDAR J 123 12.00 10% 8.80 9.90  
NILSBY 2 3 21 3   3 7 (cash l)MCKEE J 125 2.50 35% 1.90 1.90  
STOP MAKING SENSE 4 2 42 4   45 8 (overholt pau)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 30.00 29.70  
ROLL DINERO ROLL 5 7 64 58   6 9 (ramos fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 6.00 11% 7.80 11.40  
SCR  MO HEAT               (murphy scott)WHITACRE B 123 8.00 7% 12.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.