Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Wednesday - August 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z U IN MY DREAMS 3 6 3½ 12   1 1½ (skerrett )CORREA L 119 8.00 16% 5.10 5.80 W
ISLAND WINTER 6 2 41 4   2 2½ (johnson)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 3.50 24% 3.10 1.70 P
NATIVE VALLEY 2 5 67 6   57 33 (bird danny)DIAZ I 121 6.00 15.30  
TALK DIRTY 1 4 2½ 32   3 4 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 22% 3.60 5.70  
SHEZA HOOT 5 1 1½ 22   46 59 (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 3.80  
O K BABY 4 3 5 5   69 613 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 2.30  
 
TDN-2   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZA POP STAR 3 5 2 2   22 11 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 2.20  
I GOT HOPE 7 1 1 1   12 21 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00 41% 1.40 0.80 P
SASSY POWER 1 7 5 44   3 3 (radosevic)CORREA L 117 5.00 11.70  
1A  CRYPTONIC CATWALK 5 2 3 33   44 4 (brown t)VELEZ J 119 3.50 32% 2.10 4.00  
WELLOILEDCAT 2 6 7 6   510 513¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.30  
JAILBIRD WEDDING 6 4 6 710½   711 617¾ (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 110 4.00 14.30  
SHOW ME SOME SASS 4 3 43 59   611 722 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 4.00  
 
TDN-3   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:011     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAROSHA 2 6 54 21   12 1 (poole m)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 5.70  
JOHNS BIG RED 6 1 21 31   3 2 (radcliff donal)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 3.00 7.00 P
PLAYING BALL 1 3 11 11   22 37 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 5.20  
NOSEY POWER 7 2 32 4   5 4 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 3.40  
DASH OF FIRE 3 7 7 5   4 510¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 50% 1.00 1.40  
STRIKING AGAIN 5 5 6 7   7 616¼ (miller ar)CORREA L 123 10.00 13.30  
GRANDE RED 4 4 43 6   6 716¼ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 15.00 22% 3.60 10.40  
 
TDN-4   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IAMGOINGTOSHINE 3 2 21 2   11 1 (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 2.20  
NEXT GENERATION 6 3 5 42   21 2 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 55% 0.80 1.20 P
INDELIBLE IMAGE 5 7 6 5   3 3 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 10.00 18.70  
ONLY ONE BOSS LADY 7 6 7 7   55 49 (ruberto louis )HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 29.10  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 2 4 4 6   65 510 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.50 6.00  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA 1 8 8 8   7 613¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 20.00 35.30  
DIAL AGAIN 4 5 32 3   8 717 (andrade)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 8.70  
SWEET OUTLOOK 8 1 11 1   44 818¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 115 15.00 8.90  
SCR  RUNLIKEJACKIEO               (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 115 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-5   08/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY ANDY 3 3 21 1nk 14 14 1 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 13% 6.60 1.70 W
ALGORIX 5 1 32 3 24 24 2 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 16% 5.30 2.50 P
YOU ARE AWESOME 6 2 5 5 4 4 310 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50 12% 7.10 4.20 S
OPEN OUT 4 4 42 4 5 5 410 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 7.20  
SUPER VISION 2 5 11 2nk 34 34 510¾ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 9% 10.60 11.80  
GUCCISSIMO 1 7 710¼ 713¼ 619½ 617¼ 620 (bailey ricardo)BAEZ M 114 12.00 11.30  
FRED'S COUNTRY BOY 7 6 6 6 719¾ 723¼ 732¾ (ruberto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 8.10  
SCR  KNIGHTS KEY               (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  YO BERBS               (brown t)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
 
TDN-6   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFERDITA 4 3 4 1½   1 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 3.50 13% 7.00 1.60 W
ROSE KNOWS 3 1 21 2½   2 2 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 115 2.00 49% 1.10 0.50 P
LITTLE EMPIRE 5 2 5 5   4 316¾ (reust megan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.00 8.70 S
TWILIGHT VISION 1 5 11 4   510½ 418¾ (jackson jam)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 8.00 18.00  
AWESOME WONDER 2 4 31 3   3 519¾ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 5% 17.20 16.20  
SCR  LEWD               (vazquez ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 115 4.00    
 
TDN-7   08/10/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING RICHIE 2 2 1 12 11 1½ 1¼ (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 114 8.00 18.00  
OWN THE TOWN 3 5 55 5 54 31 2¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 4.30  
FUEGO CALIENTE 5 6 43 33 43 52 3 (urieta joha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.00 29% 2.40 1.70 S
FIRST SONG 7 4 2 22 21 2½ 4 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90  
FU ROO 1 1 3 43 32 42 5 (feliciano benn)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 14% 6.20 5.80  
YONDERING 4 7 7 610 6 66 68 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 7.80  
KATHERN'S JOY 6 3 67 711½ 717½ 716 721½ (inirio carlos)RIVERA R 119 15.00 8% 11.00 46.10  
 
TDN-8   08/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FELIX 5 4 4 21   3.2 1¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 15% 5.80 0.90 W
PRACTICAL MAN 7 2 1½ 11   1nk 2¾ (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 6.00 12.10 P
DUKE OF FENWAY 3 6 31 42   4 3¾ (atala jose)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 3.00 38% 1.60 6.00 S
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 6 1 2½ 31   2nk 4 (flores israel)RIVERA R 118 3.50 16% 5.30 4.50  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 4 3 7 7   6 5 (romero jos)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00 36.50  
WAITES KINGDOM 2 7 6 6   5 67 (romero jo)CORREA L 118 12.00 19.90  
HEARNS 1 5 5 56   7 712¼ (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50 8% 12.00 3.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.