Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLIN LADY 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.50 2.10  
TUFFIAN 1 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00 P
UNWRITTEN 4 3 5 43   55 3 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 9.00 S
ORBETTE 3 5 4 5   44 4 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 18% 4.50 8.30  
TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY 6 1 31 32   3 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.50 20% 3.90 1.90  
CASCABRIA 2 6 6 6   6 610¼ (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 35.90  
 
TDN-2   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112 1:381   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOKED A GOODWIN 1 1 4 32 2 2 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 33% 2.00 0.40 W
AYE AYE SIR 2 2 11 1 1 1 2 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50 4.40 P
DISCLOSURE 5 5 54 55 4 3 3 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 17.80 S
FRANCO (MEX) 4 6 67 6 6 510 47 (hurley l)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 7% 13.80 11.90  
CANDY EXCHANGE 3 3 3 4 55 4 510½ (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00 22.40  
GLENNWOOD 6 4 21 2 3 611½ 615¼ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 3.00 30% 2.30 5.40  
 
TDN-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:132     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACK THE LIFE 2 6 2nk 11 13 15 17 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 18% 4.60 1.20 W
JOE BRRRR 6 3 4 32 33 25 27 (chapman jam)CORREA L 119 2.50 31% 2.20 0.80 P
DIAMOND MONEY 4 1 1nk 21 23 3 3 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 5.00 13.00 S
KRAZY HAWK 5 2 6 65 6 410 4 (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 4.00 16% 5.40 10.90  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 3 4 5 5 49 515 520 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 15.30  
SEND D PACKAGE 1 5 3 4 5 615 625¼ (inirio carlo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 46.10  
 
TDN-4   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISTER MOBIL 6 1 5 43   42 1¾ (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 11% 8.20 2.00 W
PAT'S KARMA 5 2 3½ 22   32 2¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 8.70  
PLAY BALL 2 3 1½ 12   1 3 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 33% 2.10 0.80 S
SWEET LEMON DROP 4 4 4¾ 32   2 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00 4.20  
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 1 6 6 6   56 55 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 54.30  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 5 2½ 57   6 610 (romero jose )SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 7% 13.60 22.20  
SCR  OL' L B               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME               (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 4.00    
SCR  SPEEDY MOBILE               (zielinski ric)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 12.00    
SCR  TIGER TRAIL               (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
SCR  WEEKEND BUZZ               (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:382   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEER CHASER 5 3 4 2½ 1 13 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 60% 0.70 0.20 W
GOOD IDEA 1 2 2 31 43 23 2 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 4.50 9.60 P
LEXATOGA 2 6 6 5 64 34 3 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 13% 6.40 5.70 S
LAUTREC 3 5 5 6 53 46 4 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 9.00  
FALCONS FURY 4 4 3 41 32 5 5 (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00 18.80  
UNCAPTURED PULSE 6 1 1 1½ 2 67 613½ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 43.20  
 
TDN-6   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERIFIED 6 4 21 1nk   1½ 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 24% 3.10 1.70 W
SPINSTER ROAD 4 5 31 32   4 2 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00 7.50 P
BIG TRIP 1 2 11 2nk   2½ 3 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 24% 3.10 1.00 S
GOLDEN READY 3 3 52 43   3 45 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 16% 5.30 4.30  
COTTON JIM 5 1 4 5   58 5 (dacosta jas)CORREA L 119 15.00 21.80  
BIG GAME BOB 2 6 66 6   612 616¾ (horrigan joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 8% 12.20 44.50  
SCR  DAD'S YANKEES               (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
TDN-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDGE OF NIGHT 2 4 2 2nk   1 1 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 3.20  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 1 5 1 1nk   2 2 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 29% 2.50 5.50 P
MOBIL LADY 5 2 4 34   3 3 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.50 4.70  
ANGEL'S SASSY 4 3 32 4   4 45 (anderson susan )BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 34% 2.00 1.00  
ULTRA RAYS 6 1 6 5   6 56 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6% 14.90 12.80  
HAMPTON DANCER 3 6 5 6   5 6 (anderson susa)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00 9.20  
 
TDN-8   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALBOYZEKE 3 4 32 4   1 1 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 8% 11.40 34.10 W
GIV'EM THE BIZ 2 5 1½ 11   2 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 110 2.50 34% 2.00 2.40 P
DOUGS MORNING PICK 4 6 6 6   3 3 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 3.40 S
ACCURATE 8 3 8 7   5 410½ (yoder d)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00 8.30  
1A  TRAITOR AMONGST US 5 7 42 21   4 511¼ (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 2.40  
INTO THE OUT 9 1 5 5   610½ 615¼ (urieta johann)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 23% 3.30 1.40  
FOREIGN 6 2 2½ 31   711 718 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 10.00 30.10  
IMA BELIEVER 7 9 917¾ 916   918 820½ (tumblin andrew)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00 45.60  
COUNTRY TAKE OUT 1 8 7 84   816 921 (hobson do)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 13% 6.80 8.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.