Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Wednesday - August 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFFIAN Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 May26 May04 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
CASCABRIA Aug03 Mar09 Mar02 Jan05   (skerrett jeffre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
ORBETTE Aug09 Jul26 Jun19 Jun08 May02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 18% 4.50    
UNWRITTEN Aug03 Jul04 Jan26     (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
CHILLIN LADY Jul12 Jun13 May21 Mar19 Mar06 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 4.50    
TRUEAMERICANBEAUTY Aug03 Jun27 Jun11 May25 May11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-2   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOKED A GOODWIN Aug04 Jul18 Jul07 May30 Feb18 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 33% 2.00    
AYE AYE SIR Jul27 Jul18 Jun25 May30 May12 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 2.50    
CANDY EXCHANGE Jul26 Jul12 Jun21     (romero o)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
FRANCO (MEX) Jul27 Jul18 Jul07 Jun08   (hurley l)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 7% 13.80    
DISCLOSURE Aug04 Mar31 Feb28     (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00    
GLENNWOOD Jul28 Jul12 Jun29 Jun11 May30 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-3   08/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEND D PACKAGE Jul29 Jun30 May07 Mar12 Jan30 (inirio carlo)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
SHACK THE LIFE Jul19 Jun02 May21     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
BUILT LIKE TARZAN Jul25 Jun29 Jun16     (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
DIAMOND MONEY Jun29 Jun16 Jun02 May21 Jan01 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
KRAZY HAWK Jul19 Jun02 May21     (cady khalil)CLEMENTE ALFRED 123 4.00 16% 5.40    
JOE BRRRR Jul28 Jul19 Jun21 Jun08 May13 (chapman jam)CORREA L 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
TDN-4   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MISTER MOBIL Aug02 Jul14 Jun14 Jun01 May21 (johnson gary)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  SHOW SLIDING HOME Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 May03 Apr16 (johnson gar)CORREA L 123 4.00    
SCR  TIGER TRAIL Jun14 Mar24 Mar09 Feb19   (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
SCR  WEEKEND BUZZ Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 Mar28 Feb26 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00    
YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Aug02 Jul05 Jun25 May31 May02 (inirio)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
PLAY BALL Jun21 May07 Apr12 Feb28 Feb14 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 33% 2.10    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Jul18 Jun30 Jun06 May23 May07 (romero jose )SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 7% 13.60    
SWEET LEMON DROP Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 May24 May07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 8.00    
PAT'S KARMA Aug02 Jul14 Jun25 Jun06 May18 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
SCR  SPEEDY MOBILE Aug02 Jul14 Jun30 Jun14   (zielinski ric)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 12.00    
SCR  OL' L B Jul18 Jun30 Jun16 May18   (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-5   08/17/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD IDEA Jul13 May25 May09 Apr11 Apr04 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 4.50    
LEXATOGA Jul27 Jun27 Jun07 May12 Apr15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 3.00 13% 6.40    
LAUTREC Jul25 Jul13       (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50    
FALCONS FURY Jul28 Jul12 May20 Apr19   (wilson david )FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 6.00    
BEER CHASER Jul27 Jul12 Jun25 Jun08 May17 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
UNCAPTURED PULSE Aug02 Jul12 Mar18 Mar05 Feb16 (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
 
TDN-6   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG TRIP Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun29 Jun16 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
BIG GAME BOB Jul31 Jun28 May30     (horrigan joh)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 20.00 8% 12.20    
GOLDEN READY Jul27 Jun21 May30 Mar02 Jan19 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
SPINSTER ROAD Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 Jun21 Jun01 (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00    
COTTON JIM Aug03 Jul07 Jun25 Apr12 Apr05 (dacosta jas)CORREA L 119 15.00    
SCR  DAD'S YANKEES         (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
VERIFIED Jun01 May17 Apr28 Apr09 Mar24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
TDN-7   08/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTALLY OBSESSED Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 May07   (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 29% 2.50    
EDGE OF NIGHT Jul21 Jun02 May12 Apr28 Apr09 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
HAMPTON DANCER Jun21 Jun03 May18 Apr27 Jan24 (anderson susa)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 5.00    
ANGEL'S SASSY Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May18   (anderson susan )BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 34% 2.00    
MOBIL LADY Jul21 Jun13 May30 May12 Apr28 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
ULTRA RAYS Jul27 Jul20 Jun22 May30 May11 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
TDN-8   08/17/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIV'EM THE BIZ Jul14 Jun28 May12 Apr26 Apr02 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 110 2.50 34% 2.00    
1A  TRAITOR AMONGST US Jul13 Jun25 May30 May12 Apr26 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.50    
COUNTRY TAKE OUT Aug04 Jun25       (hobson do)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
CALBOYZEKE         (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 8% 11.40    
DOUGS MORNING PICK Jul13 Jun25 Jun08     (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
FOREIGN Jul14 Jun02 May17 May03 Apr26 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
IMA BELIEVER Jul28 Jan24       (tumblin andrew)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 15.00    
ACCURATE Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 Mar28 (yoder d)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
INTO THE OUT Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03   (urieta johann)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.