Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHILLIN LADY 5 3 1 11   1 11 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 39% 1.60 1.30 W
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 4 1 2 21   2 21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 2.90 P
ANNMARIA 3 2 33 4   43 3 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 11% 8.10 9.60 S
TUFFIAN 2 4 43 3   3 45 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 27% 2.70 2.10  
PROUD MAID MARIAN 1 5 5 5   511 520¼ (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 6.70  
SCR  ISLAND WINTER               (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS 4 2 21 11   12 1 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 9% 9.70 15.30 W
WOLFINE 1 4 32 31   22 2 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 55% 0.80 1.20 P
MR LOOOCH 3 5 42 4   4 3 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 117 3.00 9% 9.80 0.70 S
TEAM LEYENDECKER 6 3 53 5   3 43 (ramgeet tina)RIVERA R 119 12.00 57.40  
ACCURATE 2 6 64 6   5 54 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 36.30  
KEEPING SCORE 5 1 11 21   6 613¾ (castro )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00 8.10  
SCR  BABA LOOEY               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
 
TDN-3   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM 5 1 32 31   12 1 (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 13.90  
PRACTICAL MAN 3 4 1nk 1nk   22 2 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 38% 1.60 0.40 P
INSACIABLE PRINCE 6 2 6 57   47 34 (romero jo)CORREA L 119 3.50 11.70 S
SMUDGE THE CAT 4 3 2nk 2nk   33 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 2.50  
ASTRAY CAT 1 7 5 45   511½ 517½ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 35% 1.80 18.60  
BUILT LIKE TARZAN 7 5 44 6   613 618½ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00 24.40  
WHERES HUNTER 2 6 7 713¼   721 728¼ (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 12.00 30.50  
 
TDN-4   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND BUZZ 7 1 3.2 3.2   1nk 1¼ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 15% 5.50 6.80 W
TRAITOR AMONGST US 2 5 4 4¾   2nk 2¼ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10 1.20 P
DYNAMIC REACH 3 6 710¼ 7   5¾ 3¾ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 4.50 10.20  
IMA BELIEVER 1 7 6 5   4¼ 4 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00 21.10  
RED HOT POWER 4 3 5 6   6 5 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 6.00 14.00  
TURNING PAGES 6 2 2nk 1nk   3.2 6 (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 3.00 19% 4.40 3.40  
COOLER 5 4 1nk 2nk   7 712¾ (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 12% 7.10 3.60  
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER               (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:162     1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRIMSON LEGION 3 6 6 64 3 2½ 1 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 3.90  
STARLITESLEW 6 2 2 3 2nk 1½ 2 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 2.90 P
AUGMENTING ASSETS 4 3 5 5 5 46 33 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 32% 2.20 11.00 S
ETTA 5 1 1 1½ 1nk 3 410¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5.00  
SIREN CALL 2 5 4 4 6 68 513 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 3.00  
I'M JAC'D 1 4 3 2½ 4 58 617¾ (vazquez ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 37% 1.70 2.70  
 
TDN-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPPY GILMORE 5 2 54 4   4 1 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 30% 2.40 2.20 W
ZAKARIA 3 1 12 1   12 2 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 12.20  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 2 5 3 5   5 3 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50 5.90  
WILDCAT BILL 4 3 22 3   32 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12% 7.60 6.20  
MCGRAW 1 6 44 2   22 5 (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 2.50 19% 4.30 1.60  
KISSINGER 6 4 67 6   6 6 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 4.50  
SCR  ONE MORE CHAPTER               (cuttino mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 12.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAY BEE GEE 4 3 1nk 14   14 1 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 4.00 5.60  
MARIPOSA D'ORO 6 2 32 45   4 2 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
J P'S GLADYS 1 5 4 35   24 3 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 42% 1.40 1.10 S
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 3 1 2nk 24   34 45 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 33% 2.10 2.20  
QUARANTINA 2 4 5 5   6 5 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 7.50  
CEVICHE 5 6 6 6   5 6 (casalin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 21.70  
SCR  MISS OXBOW               (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00    
SCR  SABELLE               (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
 
TDN-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO MUNNY 1 4 1½ 13   1 11 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 121 3.50 4.70  
FIRST SONG 6 1 4 33   2 21 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 26% 2.80 1.80 P
FAHRENHEIT 5 5 5 56   4 3 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 22% 3.60 3.40 S
DAD'S YANKEES 2 3 2½ 23   35 4 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 20% 4.00 8.80  
WEST LEONARD 7 6 6 7   7 59 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 10.00 11.40  
HENRY THE CAT 4 7 79 6   5 611¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00 6% 16.50 3.10  
AW ITE 3 2 3 45   6 712½ (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 19.70  
SCR  JACK LUVS NOVA               (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.