Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - August 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ISLAND WINTER Aug23 Aug10 Jul05 Jun20 May04 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
2  PROUD MAID MARIAN Aug03 Jun22 May26 May11   (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.50 ★    
3  TUFFIAN Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 Jun13 May26 (jackson jam)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  ANNMARIA Aug03 Apr11 Mar22 Mar09 Jan04 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Aug16 Jul18 Jun07 May04 Feb09 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 4.50 ★    
6  CHILLIN LADY Aug17 Jul12 Jun13 May21 Mar19 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-2   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFINE Aug13 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08   (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  ACCURATE Aug17 Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
3  MR LOOOCH Jul28 Jul05 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (quartarolo anth)FELICIANO R 117 3.00 9% 9.80    
4  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Jun25 Jun08 May25 May12 Apr26 (zielinski rich)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  BABA LOOEY Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 May16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
6  KEEPING SCORE Jul27 Jun30 Jun21 May17 Apr28 (castro )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 6.00    
7  TEAM LEYENDECKER Aug23 Jun28 May30     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 119 12.00 ★    
 
TDN-3   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASTRAY CAT         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 35% 1.80    
2  WHERES HUNTER Jul03 Jun17       (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 12.00    
3  PRACTICAL MAN Aug10 Jun22 Jun02 May12 Apr10 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
4  SMUDGE THE CAT Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 May30 May12 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 ★    
5  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Aug17         (schuster r)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 ★    
6  INSACIABLE PRINCE Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 (romero jo)CORREA L 119 3.50 ★    
7  BUILT LIKE TARZAN Aug17 Jul25 Jun29 Jun16   (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 123 8.00    
 
TDN-4   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA BELIEVER Aug17 Jul28 Jan24     (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 114 15.00    
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Jul25 Jul07 Mar22 Feb22 Jan11 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 119 15.00 ★    
2  TRAITOR AMONGST US Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 May30 May12 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  DYNAMIC REACH Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 May25 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
4  RED HOT POWER Aug15 Jul20 Jul12 Jul04 Jun11 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 117 6.00    
5  COOLER Jul28         (cowans d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
6  TURNING PAGES Jul28 Jul11 May23 May12   (trevino st)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 3.00 19% 4.40    
7  WEEKEND BUZZ Jul28 Jul13 Jun03 Mar28 Feb26 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
TDN-5   08/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M JAC'D Jul26 Jul07 Jun07 May11 Apr25 (vazquez ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  SIREN CALL Aug08 Jul19       (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 123 3.50 ★    
3  CRIMSON LEGION Aug13 Jul26 Jun27 Jun11   (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 ★    
4  AUGMENTING ASSETS Aug08 Jul26 Jun28 May30 May16 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00 32% 2.20    
5  ETTA Aug09 Jun27 Jun11     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
6  STARLITESLEW Jul26 Jul07 Jun27 Jun11 Feb21 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 ★    
 
TDN-6   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCGRAW Jul28 Jul21 Jul05 May30 Jan19 (fadlovich m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08   (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
SCR  ONE MORE CHAPTER         (cuttino mar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 12.00 8% 11.50    
4  ZAKARIA Aug08 Jul04 May26 Apr04 Mar19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
5  WILDCAT BILL Aug04 Jul13 Jun25 Jun08 May25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 8.00 12% 7.60    
6  HOPPY GILMORE Aug09 Jul21 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  KISSINGER May25 Apr25 Mar18 Feb18 Jan24 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-7   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAY BEE GEE Jun24 Jun08 Apr01 Feb27 Jan30 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  MISS OXBOW Jul26 Jun22 May26 May07 Mar18 (cline rober)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 4.00    
2  J P'S GLADYS Aug15 Jul26 Mar26 Feb23   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  QUARANTINA Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 Jun06 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 ★    
4  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 Mar01 (skerrett j)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SABELLE Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May31 May11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
6  CEVICHE Aug14 Jul26 Jul06 Jun06 May23 (casalin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
7  MARIPOSA D'ORO Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 May23 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   08/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACK LUVS NOVA Aug02         (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 15.00    
2  OHIO MUNNY Aug18 Jul13 Jun08 May11 Feb20 (galloway khade)DIAZ I 121 3.50    
3  DAD'S YANKEES         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  AW ITE Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 Jun03 May23 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 ★    
5  HENRY THE CAT Jul25         (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
6  FAHRENHEIT Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May30 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  FIRST SONG Aug10 Jul22 Jun25 May24 May07 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
8  WEST LEONARD Jul18 Jun30 Jun03 May23 May07 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.