Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ODDS ON 5 1 22 1nk   11½ 13 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 ★ 4.70  
1A  FRONTLINER 1 4 57½ 42½   21½ 23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60 P
2  JACK LUVS NOVA 2 6 68½ 53½   54½ 37¾ (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 4.50 ★ 4.50 S
6  GEHRIG 6 2 33½ 31½   34 49¼ (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 51% 1.00 2.00  
4  UNCLE KEVIN 4 5 47½ 67   67½ 513 (reust megan)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 7% 12.60 7.30  
3  VALIANT THOR 3 3 12 2nk   44 614½ (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00 20.10  
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE               (johnson g)CORREA L 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:123 1:394   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GRANDGRAN 4 3 11½ 12 11 2nk 1½ (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 3.50 12% 7.20 3.90 W
5  DISCLOSURE 5 7 65¾ 42¼ 31 1nk 2½ (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 ★ 2.20 P
3  STRIKE A BEAT 2 5 55½ 63¾ 62¼ 51¾ 33¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★ 5.10 S
1A  TIP SHEET 7 2 21½ 22 51¼ 41½ 44½ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 11% 8.40 4.30  
6  FRANKIE BARONE 6 1 33½ 52¼ 21 31 56¾ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.00 53% 0.90 2.20  
1  LEVANTO (ARG) 3 4 45½ 32 41¼ 63¼ 66¾ (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 ★ 4.30  
2  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY 1 6 77¼ 74 75¼ 76¼ 712½ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 20.50  
 
TDN-3   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PLAY BALL 7 1 2nk 1nk   12½ 1¾ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 123 2.50 44% 1.30 0.40 W
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 5 61¼ 61½   33 2¾ (johnson g)CORREA L 123 3.00 28% 2.60 5.30 P
5  SWEET LEMON DROP 4 2 3.2 3.2   22½ 31½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★ 6.20 S
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 7 71½ 4¼   54½ 47 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 8% 12.00 16.20  
2  JACK BE FAST 2 3 1nk 2nk   43 57 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 123 10.00 35.80  
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE 5 4 4¾ 72½   77½ 67¾ (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 12.30  
7  FUNNEL CAKE 6 6 51¼ 51¼   66½ 710¼ (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50 9.40  
SCR  JIMTOWN               (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  MISTER MOBIL               (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00    
 
TDN-4   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STARS N SPACE 3 5 43 32   21 1nk (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 7% 12.40 8.20 W
5  TWINSPIREDJOEY 5 1 11½ 1nk   11 2nk (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 15% 5.70 2.50 P
2  BIG TIME FLIRT 2 3 31½ 42¼   44½ 37 (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 6.00 ★ 4.00 S
1  RUN ROCKY 1 4 21½ 2nk   31 47¼ (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.90  
4  JUST INSPIRED 4 2 56 59¼   59½ 513¼ (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 ★ 10.70  
6  ATILANO'S THUNDER 6 6 612 610¾   69¾ 614½ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 36.60  
 
TDN-5   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JLO CAN DANCE 3 5 63½ 53¼   31 11¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00 3.70  
2  CHILLIN LADY 2 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 21¾ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 33% 2.00 4.60 P
5  LUCKY QUARTERS 5 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 32¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 5.00 30% 2.30 2.50 S
4  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 4 3 31½ 43¼   54 45 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 ★ 8.10  
6  MARIPOSA D'ORO 6 2 42 64¼   65 55½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★ 5.40  
1  TALKBACK 1 6 53½ 33   41½ 67¼ (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 3.00 15% 5.60 2.50  
 
TDN-6   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GOOD ALTERNATIVE 6 1 52¼ 5¾   3½ 11¼ (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 ★ 4.30  
4  CHARGAREE 4 5 41¼ 4¾   4¾ 21¼ (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 2.50 33% 2.00 3.80 P
3  Z U IN MY DREAMS 3 3 3.2 2nk   1nk 31¼ (skerrett )CORREA L 121 5.00 ★ 6.60 S
5  CAROL'S ROYALTY 5 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 41½ (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 2.90  
2  UNWRITTEN 2 4 2nk 3.2   53¼ 53½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 12% 7.50 2.00  
1  ORBETTE 1 6 64¾ 64¾   64¾ 64¼ (spiess m)DIAZ I 121 10.00 11% 8.00 7.50  
 
TDN-7   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:13     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GALTERO 4 2 1½ 2½ 23½ 2nk 11¾ (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 6.00 13.20  
2  TAMANRASSETT 2 1 4¾ 45 34½ 31½ 21¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 ★ 1.40 P
1  IMTHEPRINCE 1 5 55¾ 513 511½ 56 33¾ (jones e)DIAZ I 123 4.50 ★ 3.60 S
6  SLICK SILVER 5 3 2½ 1½ 13½ 1nk 45½ (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.80 42% 1.40 1.10  
4  MAN DOWN 3 4 3½ 35 44½ 43 55¾ (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 12% 7.60 14.30  
SCR  FAHRENHEIT               (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
TDN-8   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANTRUM 1 5 56½ 56½ 46½ 34½ 1½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 25% 3.10 0.50 W
8  DYRDEK 6 2 21½ 21½ 22½ 22 2½ (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 26% 2.80 3.10 P
5  SMASH 4 1 11½ 11½ 12½ 12 3¾ (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 12.30  
7  MAKING ME CRAZY 5 6 610½ 67 36½ 44½ 45½ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 12.00 14.80  
2  DEBDURITE 2 4 31½ 32 58½ 59½ 516½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00 8.10  
4  MAGICAL EXPRESS 3 3 43 45 69 69¾ 620 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★ 8.40  
SCR  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY               (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  UPTOWN               (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 5% 17.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.