Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FRONTLINER Sep01 Aug03 Jul19 Jun30 Mar19 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  WIZARD WILLIE Aug22 Jul19 Jun27 May26 Apr25 (johnson g)CORREA L 119 2.50    
2  JACK LUVS NOVA Aug02         (poole jeffr)FRANKLIN MALCOM 121 4.50 ★    
3  VALIANT THOR Sep07 Aug18 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (cady khalil)HOUGHTON D 121 6.00    
4  UNCLE KEVIN Jul21 Jul06 Jun25 Jun16 May31 (reust megan)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 7% 12.60    
5  ODDS ON Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 Apr13 Mar16 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 ★    
6  GEHRIG Aug18 Jul04 May23 May04   (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEVANTO (ARG) Aug31 Jul07       (urieta johan)TAPARA BRANDON 123 8.00 ★    
1A  TIP SHEET Jun30 Jun20 Jun01 May18   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 11% 8.40    
2  PHARAOH'S PROPHECY Sep08 Aug22 Aug06 Jun15 Apr30 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
3  STRIKE A BEAT Jun22 May31 May10 Apr16 Apr01 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
4  GRANDGRAN Aug31 Aug04 Jul13     (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  DISCLOSURE Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 Feb28 (skerrett jeff)CEDILLO MAURO 118 5.00 ★    
6  FRANKIE BARONE Jul27 Jul07 Jun26 Jun11 May05 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 2.00 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-3   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW SLIDING HOME Sep01 Aug22 Aug09 Jul06 Jun14 (johnson g)CORREA L 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  MISTER MOBIL Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul14 Jun14 (johnson ga)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 3.00    
2  JACK BE FAST Sep08 Aug22 Aug09 Aug02 Jul14 (hernandez ri)HALDAR J 123 10.00    
SCR  JIMTOWN Aug25 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 Jun03 (inirio carlo)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00 ★    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Aug17 Jul18 Jun30 Jun06 May23 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
5  SWEET LEMON DROP Sep01 Aug17 Jul25 Jun30 Jun16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 ★    
6  YOU'RE MY BOY BLUE Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun25 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
7  FUNNEL CAKE Aug22         (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 114 3.50    
8  PLAY BALL Sep01 Aug17 Jun21 May07 Apr12 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-4   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ROCKY Sep05 Aug13 Feb16 Jan22 Jan05 (madriga)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  BIG TIME FLIRT Sep01 Jul28 Jul11 Jun29 Jun14 (erdel john)RIVERA R 119 6.00 ★    
3  STARS N SPACE Aug13         (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 7% 12.40    
4  JUST INSPIRED Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 (doering mark)KEISER CHELSEY 119 3.00 ★    
5  TWINSPIREDJOEY Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Apr04 Mar19 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
6  ATILANO'S THUNDER Jul28         (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALKBACK Aug25 Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 (castillo jabdi)LOPEZ ALBERT 121 3.00 15% 5.60    
2  CHILLIN LADY Aug30 Aug17 Jul12 Jun13 May21 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  JLO CAN DANCE Aug25 Aug16 Jul13 Jun25 May02 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
4  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Jun07 May04 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 ★    
5  LUCKY QUARTERS Aug15 Jul11 Mar08 Feb21 Jan05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
6  MARIPOSA D'ORO Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORBETTE Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jun19 Jun08 (spiess m)DIAZ I 121 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  UNWRITTEN Sep01 Aug17 Aug03 Jul04 Jan26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 12% 7.50    
3  Z U IN MY DREAMS Sep01 Aug10 May04 Mar21 Feb14 (skerrett )CORREA L 121 5.00 ★    
4  CHARGAREE Aug15 May31 Apr29 Apr02 Feb21 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  CAROL'S ROYALTY Sep01 Aug09 Jul11 Jun27 Jun07 (romero jos)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 6.00    
6  GOOD ALTERNATIVE Jul04 Jun01 May18 Apr09 Mar26 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMTHEPRINCE Aug31 Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul12 (jones e)DIAZ I 123 4.50 ★    
2  TAMANRASSETT Aug16 Jul18 Jun22 May16 May04 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  FAHRENHEIT Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 (trevino)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 5.00 19% 4.20    
4  MAN DOWN Aug24 Jul28 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 12% 7.60    
5  GALTERO Sep05 Aug18 Aug08 Jul19 Jul04 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 6.00    
6  SLICK SILVER Aug16 Jun02 May20 Apr23 Apr10 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.80 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-8   09/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANTRUM Aug29 Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
2  DEBDURITE Mar02 Feb16 Jan21 Jan05   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
SCR  UPTOWN Aug13 Jul05 Jun03 May02   (waltz brian)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 3.50 5% 17.50    
4  MAGICAL EXPRESS Aug31 Aug09 Jul07 Jun27 Jun06 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 ★    
5  SMASH Aug24 Aug09 Jun14 May31 May12 (vecchio ca)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00    
SCR  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Aug31 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 117 4.00 21% 3.70    
7  MAKING ME CRAZY Aug22 Aug01 Jun25 Jun16 Jun02 (mahan p)RIVERA R 119 12.00    
8  DYRDEK Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 May25 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.