Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 6 3 2nk 1nk   1 16 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 46% 1.20 2.60 W
SABELLE 4 1 1nk 2nk   2 26 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 13% 6.90 1.20 P
SHEZA HOOT 2 4 45 4   4 3 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00 2.30  
PASATIME 1 5 33 33   3 410½ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.00 11.00  
NATIVE VALLEY 5 2 6 5   513½ 513½ (bird dann)CORREA L 119 6.00 7.50  
1A  TICKLISH 3 6 5 611½   619½ 624½ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 119 8.00 2.30  
SCR  ESTILO ELEGANTE               (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:411   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLYATTHESHOE 1 5 4 43 4 42 1 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 23% 3.40 2.60 W
PALTARREVENGE 3 3 2 32 31 1½ 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 30% 2.30 2.10 P
VALEROSO 6 2 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 35 (urieta johanna)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 8.00 6.60  
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 2 6 5 5 54 5 4 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 1.60  
CLYDE PARK 5 1 3 2nk 2nk 3½ 5 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 11.30  
KATHERN'S JOY 4 4 6 6 68 611½ 614½ (inirio )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 14% 6.10 23.80  
 
TDN-3   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE KNOWS 6 1 12 14   14 1 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 115 4.50 1.40  
FORTUNE BOUND 7 6 54 45   24 2 (sims philip)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 53% 0.90 1.50 P
BOLD AND BOSSY 3 4 44 5   4 3 (ewing michael )GONZALEZ A 117 4.00 10% 9.50 5.20 S
TWILIGHT VISION 5 3 33 24   34 4 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 115 6.00 7.10  
STORMY BELLA 2 2 22 35   510½ 513¾ (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 115 15.00 48.90  
VALIANT SPARK 4 5 6 6   714½ 615 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 10.00 11.10  
TIPARILLO 1 7 710¼ 710½   613½ 715 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
SCR  PERFECT PROVISION               (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 10% 9.20    
 
TDN-4   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMPOLE 6 1 11 1   1 1 (bowerso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.00 W
ACTSPECTATION 2 4 21 2   2 2 (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 123 2.00 19% 4.30 4.40 P
YOU ARE AWESOME 5 2 31 3   32 3 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 1.20 S
RULING EMPIRE 1 6 6 611   47 4 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 16% 5.30 4.40  
POWERFUL MOON 3 3 4 46   5 510¾ (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00 43.90  
DERBYS MONEYMAKER 4 5 5 510   6 612 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 17.00  
 
TDN-5   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMES MISTER 5 3 1½ 13   1 1 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 1.20  
EXONERATED PREZ 3 1 5 4   33 2 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 121 10.00 6% 15.40 12.50 P
AWESOME STEEL 1 2 2½ 23   2 33 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 4.20  
K P SILVER BULLET 2 4 3½ 54   5 4 (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00 36% 1.70 2.10  
SIAKAM 4 5 4¾ 33   43 5 (fl)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 4.20  
SCR  GUN LAP               (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
 
TDN-6   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERETHERE'SSMOKE 6 2 21 2½   1nk 12 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 16.50  
SHEZA POP STAR 1 5 31 32   33 22 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 12% 7.10 3.80 P
KISSTHECROSS 5 1 11 1½   2nk 32 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 1.80 59% 0.70 0.20 S
ST PATTY'S SONG 2 4 42 4   4 43 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 8.10  
SWEET CHELSEA 3 6 613 511½   512½ 511 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 119 8.00 38.60  
WAFFLESORPANCAKES 4 3 59 612½   616½ 619 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 33.20  
 
TDN-7   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAC 4 1 2nk 1nk   13 1 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.00 W
CHLOES ANGEL 2 6 612¾ 6   4 2 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00 18.60  
SWEET EVY GRACE 6 3 5 34   23 34 (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 3.60 S
FRONT CIRCLE 5 2 1nk 2nk   33 4 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00 45% 1.20 1.30  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 3 5 33 4   55 510¼ (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 9.90  
POWER BANKER 1 4 4 5   6 610¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 4.50 8.90  
 
TDN-8   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY 7 1 1 12   13 1 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 32% 2.20 2.20 W
1A  OHIO STRONG 3 4 3 22   23 2 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 10% 8.80 2.40  
ELLIOT THE DRAGON 1 8 5 36   37 3 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 2.40 S
CRYPTO COPY 6 6 6 46   410 4 (gorham )PILARES P 115 3.50 28% 2.60 2.30  
WILDCAT EXPRESS 2 7 43 57   513 511¼ (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 12.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
MUCHO PRIMO 4 9 9 6   613½ 616¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 15.00 79.60  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 9 3 2 7   715 717¾ (meyers sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 26.20  
STORMIN SELLY 5 5 8 910¼   819 822¼ (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 18.00  
LITTLE BITA SMOKE 8 2 7 8   919½ 923 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 5% 17.50 12.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.