Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA HOOT Aug23 Aug10 Jul21 Jul12 Jun27 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 117 8.00    
1A  TICKLISH Aug22 Jun13 May17 Apr29 Mar27 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 ★    
2  PASATIME Aug31 Aug04 Jul21 Jul05 Jun20 (sondej amy)CEDILLO MAURO 116 4.00 ★    
SCR  ESTILO ELEGANTE Aug24 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 Jun13 (inir)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.50 11% 8.00    
4  SABELLE Aug31 Jul27 Jul04 Jun25 May31 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 3.00 13% 6.90    
5  NATIVE VALLEY Aug23 Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Jun02 (bird dann)CORREA L 119 6.00    
6  RENO TOUCH         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
TDN-2   09/13/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLYATTHESHOE Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jun28   (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Aug24 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.50 ★    
3  PALTARREVENGE Aug16 Jul28 Jul04 Jun13 May26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  KATHERN'S JOY Aug24 Aug10 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 14% 6.10    
5  CLYDE PARK Aug29 Aug18 Aug08 Jul27 Jul12 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 4.50 ★    
6  VALEROSO Jul31 Jun28 Jun13 Jun02 May24 (urieta johanna)LOPEZ ALBERT 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIPARILLO         (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  STORMY BELLA Aug02 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 Apr26 (sondej amy)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 15.00    
3  BOLD AND BOSSY Aug08 Jul05       (ewing michael )GONZALEZ A 117 4.00 10% 9.50    
4  VALIANT SPARK Aug24 Aug04 May04 Apr22 Apr06 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 117 10.00    
5  TWILIGHT VISION Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 Apr26   (jackson r)FELICIANO R 115 6.00    
SCR  PERFECT PROVISION Aug17 Jun30 Apr08 Mar16   (figueroa ne)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 10% 9.20    
7  ROSE KNOWS Aug10 Jul20 Jul04 Apr26 Apr02 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 115 4.50 ★    
8  FORTUNE BOUND May18         (sims philip)FRANKLIN MALCOM 115 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
TDN-4   09/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RULING EMPIRE Sep01 Aug16 Aug02 Jul14 Jun13 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
2  ACTSPECTATION Jan24         (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 123 2.00 19% 4.30    
3  POWERFUL MOON Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Mar24 (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 10.00 ★    
4  DERBYS MONEYMAKER Jun28 Jun02       (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
5  YOU ARE AWESOME Sep05 Aug18 Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 ★    
6  RUMPOLE Aug15 Jul19 Mar23 Feb23 Jan19 (bowerso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
TDN-5   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME STEEL Aug31 Aug18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan01 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
2  K P SILVER BULLET Aug15 Jul20 Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 (denny travi)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00 36% 1.70    
3  EXONERATED PREZ Aug31 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun29 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 121 10.00 6% 15.40    
4  SIAKAM Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 Jun08 May24 (fl)DA FAUSTO 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  GUN LAP Aug18 Aug09 Jul11 May22 Mar24 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 1.80 20% 4.00    
6  AMES MISTER Aug25 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 May17 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-6   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA POP STAR Aug10 Jul11 Jun16 May17   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  ST PATTY'S SONG Aug29 Aug13 Jul12 Jun27 Jun11 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 114 2.50 ★    
3  SWEET CHELSEA Aug22 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 Jun27 (genovese richard)RIVERA R 119 8.00 ★    
4  WAFFLESORPANCAKES Aug22 Aug13 Jul06 Jun27 Jun11 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 ★    
5  KISSTHECROSS Aug22 Jul26 Jun11     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  WHERETHERE'SSMOKE Aug29 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 Jun11 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
 
TDN-7   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER BANKER Jul14 Jun29 Jun03 May25 Apr28 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 4.50 ★    
2  CHLOES ANGEL Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun11 (romero osc)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
3  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Aug09 Jul25 Jun22 May30 Feb16 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.50 ★    
4  PANAMANIAC Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 Jul14 May30 (shanyfelt valer)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
5  FRONT CIRCLE Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 Jun14 May30 (bookman dona)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  SWEET EVY GRACE Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 May26 Apr28 (murillo-rodrig)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 ★    
 
TDN-8   09/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Jul27 Jul14 Jul01 May30 May06 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 115 6.00 ★    
1A  OHIO STRONG Aug25 Aug09 Jul05 Mar09 Feb18 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 115 6.00 10% 8.80    
2  WILDCAT EXPRESS Aug25 Jul21 Jul05 May30 May17 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUCHO PRIMO Aug23 Aug09 Jul05     (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 15.00    
4  STORMIN SELLY Aug22 Jul21       (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
5  CRYPTO COPY Aug25 Aug12 Jul21 Jul14 May30 (gorham )PILARES P 115 3.50 28% 2.60    
6  MUTINY Aug09 Jul05 May30 May06 Apr26 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 115 2.50 32% 2.20    
7  LITTLE BITA SMOKE Aug09 Jun21 May30 May12   (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 4.00 5% 17.50    
8  KINGDOM DIAMOND Jul21 Jun21 May30 Apr26   (meyers sha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.