The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - October 29, 2022

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MVR-1   10/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
:224 :481 1:023     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLER 7 7 7 710   51¼ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 10.00 10.90  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 9 1 5 45   42¼ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 5.00 25% 2.90 3.60 P
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 3 5 33 2½   1nk 32 (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 6.00 3.50  
ANIMO ROBERTO 8 6 47 66   34 4(inirio carlos)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.80  
SOMETHING ON TAP 5 8 811¾ 911½   65(doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 40.70  
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE 6 4 2nk 1½   2nk 6(rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 10% 8.90 3.20  
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 4 10 915¾ 811½   87(rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.00 3.20  
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE 10 2 6 5   9812 (radosevich s)HOUGHTON D 122 5.00 3.60  
FLAG RAISER 1 3 1nk 31   7917¼ (gorham m)CORREA L 122 3.50 6.00  
COSI EXPRESS 2 9 1020¾ 1026½   1022½ 1020¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 15.00 23.20  
 
MVR-2   10/29/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:43
:223 :471 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN TROUBLED WATERS 10 1 21 21   14 1(faulkner c)CORREA L 122 6.00 11.00  
RONNI'S WIND 11 10 8 89   42(ballard frank)MCKEE J 122 3.00 32% 2.20 0.60 P
SWEET MOBILTEE 9 5 3 4   68 313 (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 10.00 40.30 S
2B  GO GIRL 7 2 53 6   7415 (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 9.60  
KAT TRAX 3 7 7 7   8517½ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50 9.90  
WHISKEY DIAMOND 8 3 11 11   24 617¾ (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 122 10.00 14.90  
BETTER HALF 5 4 4 3   3718 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 5.00 9.60  
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 6 9 9 912   9819 (sweeting craig)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00 9.80  
MOBIL MEMORY 2 6 64 5   57 919¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 44% 1.30 5.50  
PRINCESS EM 1 11 1112 1124   1017¾ 1029¾ (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00 41.70  
1A  WAY OF THE WORLD 4 8 109 1016   1118¼ 1140¼ (gorham m)DIAZ R 122 4.50 9.90  
 
MVR-3   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
:23 :471 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OHIO PLAYER 4 7 21 2nk   1nk 1½ (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 6.10  
CALBOYZEKE 9 2 3 3.2   2nk 2½ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 46% 1.20 0.70 P
REANIMATE 6 1 11 1nk   3.2 3(castro a)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 31.80 S
CHARLEE'S MAGIC 5 5 53 5   44(trevino g)HALDAR J 124 12.00 27% 2.80 19.00  
SHOW SLIDING HOME 1 8 7 6   65(johnson l)CORREA L 124 2.50 4.90  
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 8 3 43 4¼   56(romero a)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.40  
MUSTANG WILLIE 7 4 8 8   87(urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 40.40  
BIG OHIO 2 9 910¼ 910½   911¾ 813½ (huffman m)GONZALEZ A 126 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
DYNAMITE CLOUD 3 6 6 75   7913¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 16.30  
 
MVR-4   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
:231 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CUE THE BAND 9 2 4 1½   1110¼ (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 15% 5.50 2.10 W
CARMEN OHIO 1 5 31 44   5210¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 9.70  
SO GO MY LUCEILLE 3 3 2nk 2½   2311¼ (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 17% 4.90 11.90 S
CHLOES ANGEL 5 9 89 7   6411¾ (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 2.50 7% 14.10 3.00  
PROPHETESS 7 7 5 5   3515 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 121 8.00 28% 2.50 9.60  
BEEBLEGEE 2 4 78 8   811 616½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 10.00 20.10  
HAPPY AS YOU GO 6 6 6 6   710½ 719¾ (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 6% 14.70 2.50  
BEST OF YOU 4 8 914½ 913¼   916 821½ (murillo alejandro)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 26.50  
SANIBEL 8 1 1nk 3½   4927½ (murillo alejandro)HALDAR J 124 15.00 38.00  
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE               (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 10.00    
 
MVR-5   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
:233 :473 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMADEVIL 6 1 1nk 11   14 1(wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 126 0.60 59% 0.70 0.30 W
TIVIS 5 2 3 21   24 2(gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 16% 5.30 6.50 P
NANCY'S LESLIE 3 5 5 43   47 310 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 3.60 S
ANGEL'S SASSY 1 4 2nk 3   3411½ (anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 17.60  
TOTALLY OBSESSED 4 3 4 54   58 512 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 28.30  
MOBIL LADY 2 6 65 610   613 617 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 6.00 18.20  
SCR  HAMPTON DANCER               (anderson l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 20.00    
 
MVR-6   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
:234 :49 1:151 1:414   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1X  GRAND ISLE 11 5 5 4 11 11(hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.50 40% 1.50 6.00 W
2B  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 13 8 75 6 5 32(hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00 25.70 DQ↓3
SAMMY AND SHORTY 1 1 3 3 31 23(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 5.00 13% 6.90 10.30 P
K KID 9 10 99 85 4 4412 (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00 36.40  
BUCKEYE SKY 10 7 42 7 6 610 515½ (maker j)MCKEE J 122 6.00 6.00  
HIDDEN ACCESS 8 9 88 98 8 711 619 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 122 8.00 25.70  
TROJAN TALE 6 4 1nk 1nk 21 5722¼ (maker j)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80 0.40  
SMOOCHER 5 11 1114 1112½ 910¾ 817 828½ (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 20.00 49.30  
CASUAL ATTIRE 3 3 1013½ 1012 1011 919 930½ (hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50 6.00  
HAPPY WICKED 4 12 1215 1213 1213½ 1022 1035¼ (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 15.00 87.70  
RED COMET 2 2 6 5 1112½ 1123 1137½ (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 122 10.00 11.90  
1A  EXCITEMENT 7 6 2nk 2nk 7 1226 1252½ (hamm timothy)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50 6.00  
 
MVR-7   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:07
:233 :483 1:15 1:423   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK TO OHIO 7 6 43 3 11 15 1(rivelli larry)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.20 38% 1.60 0.40 W
SOFT TALK 2 4 54 5 4 25 2(sharp joe)MCKEE J 119 5.00 5% 18.30 7.60 P
SPARKLING JEWEL 5 9 9 77 5 3313 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 10.30 S
10  CHICA CHULA 10 10 10 9 8 5413¼ (calvo kelsie)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00 56.90  
LADY LOTTIE 3 1 11 1½ 21 4513¾ (dacosta jason)CORREA L 119 3.50 34% 1.90 4.20  
LADY JASPER 8 7 7 8 7 611 617¾ (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 80.40  
SERGER 1 2 32 4 68 712½ 718½ (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 10.00 44.10  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 6 3 21 2½ 31 812¾ 837½ (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00 78.70  
DOMINUS O'S ME 4 5 8 1012¾ 1013¾ 920¾ 960 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 23.30  
FACTISIMFLASHY 9 8 64 6 912¾ 1026¾ 10100 (chapman k)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00 58.40  
 
MVR-8   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
:222 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORESTRIDE 3 5 4 2   2nk 1¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 27% 2.80 1.90 W
DOUGIE D ORO 6 2 2nk 1   1nk 2¼ (sparks s)FELICIANO R 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
ALTISSIMO 7 7 5 5   33(zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.80 S
NICK CAN FIX 5 8 8 710½   7412½ (trevino g)DIAZ I 122 10.00 8.20  
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 1 4 3.2 3   4513 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 8.00 8.80  
DIAMOND DUST 2 3 1nk 4   6618½ (radosevich jeff)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 11.00  
OAKEN 8 1 7 810¾   810¾ 719½ (urieta johanna)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 53.00  
HIP HIP HOORAY 4 6 6 66   5822¾ (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 15.00 23.20  
SCR  OL' L B               (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
 
MVR-9   10/29/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
:242 :491 1:14 1:40   1:534   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I RECALL 4 3 3 4 1nk 13 1(bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.80 47% 1.10 1.30 W
11  MARKET SUCCESS 11 8 43 31 3 35 2(jackson r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00 14.60 P
R THREE ANGELS 1 1 2 1½ 2nk 23 310 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.80 S
10  SHE'S CRAFTY 10 10 9 1110 911¼ 511 411½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 122 20.00 30.50  
BUCKEYE BLING 9 11 7 6 4 410 517¾ (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 122 15.00 7.80  
FLATTER HER AGAIN 6 4 1 2½ 6 614 629½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 36.80  
JETTIN PEGASUS 2 6 11 9 7 717 730¼ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00 57.50  
BOX STEP 8 9 8 8 8 918 837¼ (yoder d)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00 32.70  
BALLROOM BLITZ 5 2 6 5 5 818 941¼ (gorham m)RIVERA R 122 10.00 7.70  
PARFAIT 7 7 10 109 1112¼ 1020 1042¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 20.00 34.70  
CALI DREAM 3 5 5 7 1011¼ 1126 1161¼ (johnson l)CORREA L 122 12.00 45.90  
 
MVR-10   10/29/2022 6600ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
:244 :502 1:151 1:404   2:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANNA WIN 7 1nk 31 2½ 11 1nk 1¼ (jackson r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.00 63% 0.60 2.50 W
FOREWARNED 2 85 6 42 21 2nk 2¼ (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50 1.20 P
MO DONT NO 5 3.2 2½ 3½ 43 3310¾ (johnson l)MCKEE J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.90 S
TANTRUM 8 48 94 8 59 415½ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 10% 9.30 5.30  
SAMMY'S SMILE 6 64 6 7 7521¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00 29.90  
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 1 2nk 1½ 1½ 33 4624¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 16.20  
HENRY MAC 4 55 5 55 6725½ (west w)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 11.90  
SILENCE 9 77 7 6 811¼ 828 (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 15.10  
RAVEN MOON 3 99 8 9 912¼ 928¾ (hobson doug)PAUCAR E 122 20.00 55.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.