Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - October 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   10/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Oct11 Sep05       (rone mike)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.00    
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE Oct11 Sep05 Aug02     (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
LITTLE RONS ROCKET Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
2B  OKLAHOMA JOE Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 Aug18 Aug02 (radosevich jake )HOUGHTON D 122 5.00    
FLAG RAISER Oct11         (gorham robe)CORREA L 122 3.50    
COSI EXPRESS         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 15.00    
JOHN'S WILD RIVER Oct10 Sep23       (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 6.00    
SOMETHING ON TAP Oct11         (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
CONTROLLER Sep26 Jul11       (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 10.00    
ANIMO ROBERTO Oct11 Sep22 Sep05     (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-2   10/29/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAT TRAX Oct06 Sep29       (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 4.50    
1A  WAY OF THE WORLD Aug31         (gorham m)DIAZ R 122 4.50    
BETTER HALF Sep29 Aug15       (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 5.00    
2B  GO GIRL Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jun22 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
PRINCESS EM Oct05 Sep20       (doering mark)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 20.00    
MOBIL MEMORY Aug31 Aug15       (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Oct06 Sep14 Aug31     (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 8.00    
WHISKEY DIAMOND Oct10 Sep16       (fadlovich megan)FELICIANO R 122 10.00    
SWEET MOBILTEE Oct10 Sep21       (smith larry)MAYTA J 122 10.00    
IN TROUBLED WATERS Sep29 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 (faulkner ro)CORREA L 122 6.00    
RONNI'S WIND Oct06 Sep23 Sep12     (ballard frank)MCKEE J 122 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
MVR-3   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW SLIDING HOME Oct04 Sep19 Sep01 Aug22 Aug09 (johnson gar)CORREA L 124 2.50    
BIG OHIO Oct10 Sep22       (huffman candace )GONZALEZ A 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAMITE CLOUD Sep29 Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 Jun21 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
OHIO PLAYER Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Aug09 Jul25 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
CHARLEE'S MAGIC Oct11 Sep27 Aug04 Jul13 May31 (trevino stephe)HALDAR J 124 12.00 27% 2.80    
REANIMATE Jul13 May31 Apr27 Mar16 Feb22 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
MUSTANG WILLIE Oct12 Sep26 Aug24 Aug13 Jul14 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
ROSCO P. COLTRANE Oct11 Sep19 Aug17 Jul18 Jun30 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
CALBOYZEKE Sep15 Aug17       (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-4   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMEN OHIO Oct03 Aug13 Jul15 Jun21 Jun06 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
BEEBLEGEE Oct11 Apr05 Mar23 Mar08 Jan25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
SO GO MY LUCEILLE Sep22 Jul20 Jul05     (brown t)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 17% 4.90    
BEST OF YOU Sep22 Sep07 Aug23 Aug08 Jul15 (murillo rodrigu)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Oct07 Sep02 Aug17 Aug04 Jul15 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 121 10.00    
CHLOES ANGEL Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul14 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 124 2.50 7% 14.10    
HAPPY AS YOU GO Oct11 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun01 (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 6% 14.70    
PROPHETESS Oct11 Sep12 Aug29 Jul26 Jun25 (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 121 8.00 28% 2.50    
SANIBEL Oct11 Sep27 Sep09 Aug23 Jul26 (murillo rodrig)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
10  CUE THE BAND Sep26 Sep08 Aug23 Aug01 Jun28 (sweazey scott)FELICIANO R 124 4.50 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-5   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGEL'S SASSY Sep08 Aug17 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (anderson l)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
MOBIL LADY Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 Jun13 May30 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 6.00    
SCR  HAMPTON DANCER Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 May18 Apr27 (anderson susa)FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 20.00    
NANCY'S LESLIE Oct05 Aug24 Jul19 Jun22 Jan24 (cowans d)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
TOTALLY OBSESSED Sep20 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 Jul07 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00    
TIVIS Oct06 Sep08 Aug09 Jul20 Jun03 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 16% 5.30    
AMADEVIL Oct06 Sep08 Jul27 Jun03 May12 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 126 0.60 59% 0.70    
 
MVR-6   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUAL ATTIRE Sep22 Aug02 Jul11     (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 2.50    
1A  EXCITEMENT Sep23 Aug13 Jun28     (hamm timothy)GONZALEZ A 122 2.50    
1X  GRAND ISLE Aug13 Jul22 Jul12 Jun29   (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
HIDDEN ACCESS Oct11 Sep22 Aug25     (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 122 8.00    
2B  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Aug18 Jul12 Jun01     (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep23 Aug13 Jul11     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
RED COMET Sep26 Aug03       (bailey ricardo)FELICIANO R 122 10.00    
HAPPY WICKED Aug13 Aug03       (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 122 15.00    
SMOOCHER Oct11 Sep22       (gorham m)PEREZ E 122 20.00    
TROJAN TALE Oct10         (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
K KID Oct12         (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 122 15.00    
BUCKEYE SKY Aug25         (maker j)MCKEE J 122 6.00    
 
MVR-7   10/29/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 3:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERGER Sep15 Aug13 Jul07     (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
SOFT TALK Sep21         (sharp joe)MCKEE J 119 5.00 5% 18.30    
LADY LOTTIE Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 Jun22   (dacosta jas)CORREA L 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
DOMINUS O'S ME Oct13         (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
SPARKLING JEWEL Sep15 Aug13 Jul08 May13   (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Oct05 Sep01       (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
BACK TO OHIO Oct03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun23   (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.20 38% 1.60    
LADY JASPER Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 Jul08   (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
FACTISIMFLASHY Sep23 Aug15 Aug02 Jul07 Jun01 (chapman james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 20.00    
10  CHICA CHULA Oct05 Sep20 Sep09 Jul08 Jun17 (calvo ke)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 20.00    
 
MVR-8   10/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Aug31 Aug13 Jul26 Jul02 Jun03 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 8.00    
DIAMOND DUST Oct10 Sep19 Aug31 Jul19 Jun21 (radosevich jeff)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00    
MORESTRIDE Oct04 Jul26 Jul14 Jun21 Jun03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
HIP HIP HOORAY Jun03 May06 Apr09 Mar22 Mar02 (gorham m)PEREZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  OL' L B Sep29 Sep15 Sep01 Aug18 Jul18 (rivera nestor)GONZALEZ A 122 6.00    
NICK CAN FIX Oct13 Apr05       (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 122 10.00    
DOUGIE D ORO Oct04 Aug13 Jul26 Jun25 Jun03 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
ALTISSIMO Oct04 Sep06 Aug13 Jul18 Jun03 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
OAKEN Aug13 Jul12 Jun25 Jun03 May21 (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
 
MVR-9   10/29/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R THREE ANGELS Oct04 Aug26 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
JETTIN PEGASUS Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug29 Aug04 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00    
CALI DREAM Oct06 Aug13 Jul21 Jul15 Jun08 (johnson gar)CORREA L 122 12.00    
I RECALL Oct19 Sep19 Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
BALLROOM BLITZ Sep27 Aug13 Jul15 Jun30 Jun08 (gorham m)RIVERA R 122 10.00    
FLATTER HER AGAIN Oct12 Sep21 Sep07 Apr16 Mar26 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
PARFAIT Sep23 Aug26 Jul25 Jul04 Jun03 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 20.00    
BOX STEP Oct06 Sep07 Aug17 Jul28 Jul15 (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
BUCKEYE BLING Sep29 Sep08 Jul28 Jun29 Jun10 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 122 15.00    
10  SHE'S CRAFTY Oct13 Aug24 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 122 20.00    
11  MARKET SUCCESS Oct11 Sep08 Jul21 Jul04 Jun02 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 6.00    
 
MVR-10   10/29/2022 6600ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Sep21 Aug31 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
FOREWARNED Sep24 Aug13 Jul09 May20 Apr23 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 2.50    
RAVEN MOON Aug13 Jun02 May24     (hobson doug)PAUCAR E 122 20.00    
HENRY MAC Aug31 Jul18 Jun29 Jun03 May03 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
MO DONT NO Oct14 Sep27 Sep06 Jul26 Jul18 (johnson l)MCKEE J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAMMY'S SMILE Sep15 Sep01 Aug13 Jul21 Jun25 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 20.00    
I WANNA WIN Sep27 Sep07 Aug13 Jul18 Jun29 (jackson james)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 2.00 63% 0.60    
TANTRUM Sep19 Aug29 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 5.00 10% 9.30    
SILENCE Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Jun25 Jun03 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.