Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:131 1:264   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVING MAMA 4 5 5 31 21 2nk 1hd (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 12% 7.50 6.80 W
FIGHTVILLE 3 4 11 11 11 1nk 2hd (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 1.60 42% 1.40 0.30 P
JUST CHITU 1 1 21 4 43 3 3 (wilson david)HALDAR J 121 3.50 19% 4.20 4.30 S
CAPE MARCO DRIVE 5 2 4 53 5 523½ 48 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00 9.40  
BATTLE OF THE NILE 2 3 3 21 32 4 516½ (raines lindsey )MOJICA JR 121 6.00 19.30  
 
BTP-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI SAINT 4 4 42 32   21 1¼ (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 5.00 1.10  
UPGRADE AL 1 1 2nk 11   11 2¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 2.60 P
GET HAMMERED 3 2 1nk 21   31 3 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 9.00  
I'M MONEY 2 3 3 43   4 412¼ (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 9% 10.20 1.60  
SCR  KITTENS ADAIR               (egbert jame)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00    
SCR  WOODLAND WALK               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.60 69% 0.50    
 
BTP-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:23 :47 :60     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKIE DANE 4 1 1½ 12   1 112¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 122 1.60 62% 0.60 0.30 W
MY TICKET 3 2 2½ 22   2 212¾ (cline robert)HALDAR J 125 3.50 3.40 P
BLAZIN AMAZIN 5 3 5 55   310½ 315¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.00 11% 7.80 8.10 S
A K A FIBBER MCGEE 2 5 4 45   413 429 (ashcraft david)OUZTS W 125 6.00 18.50  
ORLEANS STORM 1 4 31 3   516 535¼ (cline c)REYES R 122 4.50 11.30  
 
BTP-4   09/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
See original race card.
1:381         1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP HAT BOSS 8 4 2½ 11 1½ 1 1hd (adams l)BRACHO A 123 12.00 34.30  
HONEY BOURBON 6 9 6 8 55 5 2hd (estvanko ric)HALDAR J 123 6.00 10% 9.20 8.90 P
REDHOT KATIE 4 2 3 31 32 33 3 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 123 4.50 13% 6.80 4.00 S
MAUK'S TUFF 9 5 4 21 2½ 2 43 (haehn r)REYES R 123 8.00 7.90  
SMARTY ARTIE 2 8 9 9 6 6 54 (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 123 15.00 18.00  
GENERAL GINNY 7 7 52 52 43 4 6 (forston roy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 18.40  
LEXOPHILIA 1 6 8 7 8 7 7 (axmaker w)FELIX E 123 3.50 23% 3.30 1.70  
SILVER MAPLE 5 3 7 63 9 810¾ 8 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 11% 8.00 15.20  
RAGTIME DOLLY 3 1 1½ 4 7 915¾ 914 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 18% 4.50 2.90  
 
BTP-5   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:223 :454 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOBY DREW 1 6 31 21   11 13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 15% 5.80 0.80 W
COOLER 3 5 2nk 4   4 23 (cowans william )MOJICA JR 121 6.00 10.10 P
THE PINK Z 4 1 1nk 11   21 34 (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 2.00 27% 2.70 1.50 S
CHISELED JUSTICE 5 3 4 3   3 46 (smith larry)REYES R 118 8.00 14.20  
MAYNARD G. KREBS 6 2 6 5   56 5 (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 4.00 25% 3.00 8.40  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 4 5 6   6 6 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 29.00  
 
BTP-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY 4 1 1½ 1   13 1 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 2.50 34% 1.90 1.20 W
WILDCAT DREAM 6 6 7 5   23 2 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 122 5.00 13.50  
MAMBO KITTEN 1 4 32 35   33 3 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50 12% 7.10 2.80 S
OLIVIA'S JOY 8 7 6 46   5 4 (gilliam james )REYES R 125 4.00 5% 18.00 6.70  
TIZ MORNING LIGHT 5 2 2½ 2   4 513¼ (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 6.00 27% 2.70 5.70  
CHASE THE LIGHT 7 5 53 611   6 616 (martinez matthew )OUZTS W 122 15.00 11.40  
SURE FIRE 2 8 810¼ 812½   8 718¼ (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 15.00 58.00  
GOLD SPINNER 3 3 43 711   7 818¾ (rodriquez regulo )FELIX E 122 8.00 12.60  
 
BTP-7   09/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:13 1:364   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBERTY BLUE 3 1 3 3 3 1nk 1 (estvanko richa)REYES R 125 3.50 22% 3.60 1.60 W
LITTLE RED RIFLE 5 2 2nk 21 21 32 2 (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 4.90 P
XKUZ 7 4 5 54 4 44 3 (michael brian)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00 14.90  
12  Z FORCE MAJURE 11 7 1nk 11 11 2nk 4 (navarrete ann)BRACHO A 125 5.00 8.20  
WATERBOY 6 5 7 9 88 6 56 (merritt l)FELIX E 125 20.00 10.20  
BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK 1 10 10 7 5 5 6 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00 14.40  
CATCHER'S MITT 4 3 6 6 7 7 711½ (wofford willia)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00 7.80  
SELF RULE 2 11 11 1111½ 1116½ 1015½ 814¼ (preston randy)MCKEE J 121 15.00 7.90  
10  B THEATRICAL 9 8 4 4 6 8 917¾ (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 18% 4.50 9.20  
MONEY POINT 8 6 8 8 99 910½ 1018¾ (dalton michelle)BUSH V 125 20.00 88.40  
11  KING'S WARDEN 10 9 9 10 1014½ 1116½ 1131 (platt noah)DIAZ CARLOS 121 30.00 6% 16.60 93.40  
SCR  MONTEREY PENINSULA               (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-8   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFT TALK 5 5 1nk 1nk   1 112¼ (sharp joe)MCKEE J 122 2.50 39% 1.60 0.80 W
SWEET AS MERRIE 6 3 2nk 2nk   2 212¼ (reed r)BRACHO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80 4.70 P
TOTAL SMOKESHOW 9 1 44 4   4 314½ (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.50 8.30  
ANCHORWOMAN 1 6 31 3.2   3 416¼ (hamm timothy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 6.00 6.90  
SWEET MOBILTEE 4 8 7 5   610½ 519½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 12.00 6.50  
DESDEMONA KAY 8 9 6 6   510½ 620 (riley barbara)REYES R 122 8.00 20.00  
LA BESA 2 7 5 711¾   714½ 721¼ (hamm timothy)HALDAR J 122 12.00 24.20  
RATATAT 7 2 8 814¾   817½ 824¼ (anderson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 15.00 56.90  
PRICELESS PICTURE 3 4 98 915¾   923 942¼ (anderson l)FELIX E 122 8.00 21.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.