Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   09/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CHITU Aug25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul21 Jul05 (wilson david)HALDAR J 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  BATTLE OF THE NILE Aug31 Aug05 Jul20 Jun30 Jun01 (raines lindsey )MOJICA JR 121 6.00 ★    
3  FIGHTVILLE Sep13 Aug25 Aug05 Jul20 Jul08 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 1.60 42% 1.40    
4  SAVING MAMA Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul12 Jun28 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 12% 7.50    
5  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Sep02 Aug19 Jul13 Jun17 May26 (rodriquez r)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00 ★    
 
BTP-2   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($18K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPGRADE AL Sep07 Jul05 Jun02 Apr29 Jan15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 ★    
2  I'M MONEY Sep07 Aug22 Aug11 Jul28 Jun28 (short travis)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  WOODLAND WALK Aug23 Jul20 Jun25 May30   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 1.60 69% 0.50    
4  GET HAMMERED Sep07 Jun18 May24 May07 Apr09 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
SCR  KITTENS ADAIR Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 Jun21 May31 (egbert jame)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00 ★    
6  SAMURAI SAINT Sep07 Aug12 Jul15 Jul01 Jun02 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 121 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-3   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORLEANS STORM Sep07 Aug30 Jul14 Jun29 May26 (cline c)REYES R 122 4.50 ★    
2  A K A FIBBER MCGEE Sep07         (ashcraft david)OUZTS W 125 6.00 ★    
3  MY TICKET Sep07 Aug30 Aug19 Aug03 Jul07 (cline robert)HALDAR J 125 3.50 ★    
4  JACKIE DANE Sep07 Aug10 Jul07 Jun21 Apr29 (reed r)MCKEE J 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  BLAZIN AMAZIN Sep07         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 3.00 11% 7.80    
 
BTP-4   09/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXOPHILIA Sep13 Aug17 Aug10 Jun25 May06 (axmaker w)FELIX E 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  SMARTY ARTIE Aug19 Feb19 Jan15     (shifflett cher)AYALA ISAIAS 123 15.00    
3  RAGTIME DOLLY Aug10 Jul19 Jun22 Mar24 Mar05 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  REDHOT KATIE Sep06 Aug10 Jun29 Mar24 Mar03 (cannon ste)MOJICA JR 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
5  SILVER MAPLE Jul13 May25 Mar22 Feb23 Jan11 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00 11% 8.00    
6  HONEY BOURBON Sep13 Aug26 Aug17 Aug01 Jun09 (estvanko ric)HALDAR J 123 6.00 10% 9.20    
7  GENERAL GINNY Aug31 Aug17 Aug04 Jul27 Jun29 (forston roy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
8  TOP HAT BOSS Aug23 Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun28 (adams l)BRACHO A 123 12.00    
9  MAUK'S TUFF Sep13 Aug17 Jun22 Jun13   (haehn r)REYES R 123 8.00    
 
BTP-5   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOBY DREW Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 Jun23 Jun03 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Aug30 Aug04 Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 4.50 ★    
3  COOLER Aug30 Jul28       (cowans william )MOJICA JR 121 6.00 ★    
4  THE PINK Z Aug30 Jul28 Jul12 Jun28 Jun02 (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  CHISELED JUSTICE Aug30 Jun03 May06 Apr04 Mar22 (smith larry)REYES R 118 8.00    
6  MAYNARD G. KREBS Sep08 Aug23 Aug10 Jul13 Jun21 (cline robert)HALDAR J 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
BTP-6   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBO KITTEN Sep06 Aug09 Jul21 Jul07 Jun25 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
2  SURE FIRE         (short thomas)DIAZ CARLOS 122 15.00    
3  GOLD SPINNER Sep07 Aug09 Jul05 Apr29 Mar12 (rodriquez regulo )FELIX E 122 8.00 ★    
4  EASY Sep07         (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  TIZ MORNING LIGHT         (howard john)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  WILDCAT DREAM Sep07 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 Jun12 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 122 5.00    
7  CHASE THE LIGHT Sep06 Jul29       (martinez matthew )OUZTS W 122 15.00    
8  OLIVIA'S JOY Aug17 Jul03 May21     (gilliam james )REYES R 125 4.00 5% 18.00    
 
BTP-7   09/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD JOKE WOKE FOLK Aug19 Aug02 Jun22 May12 Mar25 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 30.00    
2  SELF RULE Sep12 May16       (preston randy)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
3  LIBERTY BLUE Sep07 Jul27 Jul14 Mar10 Feb16 (estvanko richa)REYES R 125 3.50 22% 3.60    
4  CATCHER'S MITT         (wofford willia)ELLIOTT JANE 125 12.00    
5  LITTLE RED RIFLE Aug19 Aug02 Jun08 May13   (semkin sam)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  MONTEREY PENINSULA Sep09 Aug25       (matejka pa)VILLASANA CARLOS 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  WATERBOY Sep09 Jul13 Mar02     (merritt l)FELIX E 125 20.00    
8  XKUZ Sep07 Aug19 Jul29     (michael brian)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00    
9  MONEY POINT Sep07         (dalton michelle)BUSH V 125 20.00    
10  B THEATRICAL Aug03         (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
11  KING'S WARDEN Sep09         (platt no)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 30.00 6% 16.60    
12  Z FORCE MAJURE Sep07 Aug19 Jul13     (navarrete ann)BRACHO A 125 5.00    
 
BTP-8   09/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 2 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANCHORWOMAN Aug24 Jul14 Jun17 May27   (hamm timothy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 6.00    
2  LA BESA Sep01         (hamm timothy)HALDAR J 122 12.00    
3  PRICELESS PICTURE         (anderson l)FELIX E 122 8.00 ★    
4  SWEET MOBILTEE         (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 12.00 ★    
5  SOFT TALK         (sharp joe)MCKEE J 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  SWEET AS MERRIE Aug24         (reed r)BRACHO A 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  RATATAT         (anderson )BETANCOURT RONNEY 122 15.00 ★    
8  DESDEMONA KAY         (riley barbara)REYES R 122 8.00    
9  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Sep09 Aug23 Aug06     (calvo kelsie)AYALA ISAIAS 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.